Lustrous-Soybean — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.6%

Resolved

4,999

Trades

29,844

lifetime

Volume

$96.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-26 19:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 194 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 31% -$6,862

Other

24% 21% +$128

Politics

9% 23% +$1,831

Sports

7% 19% -$572

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	165	$4.1K	6,726	6,726	+0	No	-$53	04-11 20:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	545	$2.6K	2,951	2,951	+0	Yes	+$370	04-08 10:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	533	$2.4K	3,430	3,430	+0	Yes	+$1,184	04-08 00:24
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	31	$2.3K	3,200	3,140	+60	Yes	+$5	04-14 20:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	39	$1.8K	3,910	3,910	+0	No	-$84	04-14 20:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	304	$1.5K	2,080	2,069	+11	Yes	+$289	04-07 22:36
wta baptist shymano 2026 04 16	137	$1.3K	1,037	1,536	-499	Iryna Shymanovich	+$79	04-16 13:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	37	$1.2K	3,352	3,352	+0	No	-$32	04-20 13:20
atp ruiz forejte 2026 04 16	122	$1.2K	2,077	2,883	-806	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	+$261	04-16 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:35 UTC	15	$1.1K	1,614	692	+922	Down	-$560	04-18 22:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	274	$918	17,514	17,514	+0	No	-$59	04-11 19:23
wta samsono gauff 2026 04 15	106	$873	1,164	1,620	-456	Coco Gauff	+$211	04-16 17:54
wta cocciar podrez 2026 04 15	109	$758	744	976	-232	Veronika Podrez	-$84	04-16 16:29
wta rybakin shnaide 2026 04 16	64	$641	1,213	3,261	-2,048	Elena Rybakina	+$147	04-16 17:57
wta parks andreev 2026 04 16	91	$635	1,917	742	+1,175	Mirra Andreeva	-$119	04-16 14:44
wta maia chwalin 2026 04 16	33	$574	554	2,361	-1,808	Maja Chwalinska	+$314	04-16 14:03
atp shimabu zhukaye 2026 04 15	49	$544	830	798	+32	Sho Shimabukuro	+$211	04-16 04:55
mlb sf cin 2026 04 16	65	$543	509	493	+16	San Francisco Giants	-$6	04-16 18:05
mlb wsh pit 2026 04 16	74	$533	439	624	-185	Washington Nationals	-$2	04-16 19:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:40 UTC	6	$510	712	405	+306	Up	-$137	04-18 22:44
nhl stl utah 2026 04 16	59	$489	462	462	+0	Blues	-$4	04-16 23:16
wta muchova mertens 2026 04 16	56	$470	888	631	+257	Karolina Muchova	-$184	04-16 12:27
atp shapova marozsa 2026 04 16	43	$466	286	308	-21	Denis Shapovalov	+$70	04-16 15:56
atp safiull assche 2026 04 15	72	$410	428	367	+61	Roman Safiullin	-$6	04-16 17:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	107	$402	4,776	4,776	+0	No	-$16	04-11 19:23
atp holmgre galarne 2026 04 15	122	$392	1,934	0	+1,934	August Holmgren	-$87	04-16 06:24
atp moutet musetti 2026 04 16	76	$386	1,158	314	+844	Lorenzo Musetti	-$61	04-16 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	11	$318	1,314	1,023	+292	Up	+$78	10-08 02:33
atp sonego rublev 2026 04 16	42	$306	213	357	-144	Andrey Rublev	+$5	04-16 12:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:30 UTC	11	$287	647	59	+588	Up	+$52	04-18 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0aa3eb…
10-26 19:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x08e6cb…
10-26 19:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x74bef6…
10-26 19:33:26	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xaa6c33…
10-26 19:32:57	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xda1bf8…
10-26 19:32:50	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6f2bcc…
10-26 19:32:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x2a166b…
10-26 19:31:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x855466…
10-26 19:30:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	409	0¢	$1	0x994ace…
10-26 14:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x17f377…
10-26 14:26:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5202a2…
10-26 14:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x15513f…
10-26 14:26:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbc51b2…
10-26 14:26:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x03d08d…
10-26 14:25:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x69dba3…
10-26 14:23:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xebe841…
10-26 14:23:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$1	0x4823ed…
10-26 14:20:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xecea01…
10-26 14:18:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x6e537a…
10-26 14:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x053502…
10-26 14:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdeaaa5…
10-26 14:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x987736…
10-26 14:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2dec34…
10-26 14:18:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa7b8f1…
10-26 14:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x81d15f…
10-26 14:17:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xca4ab8…
10-26 14:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5bb5da…
10-26 14:17:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3d631e…
10-26 14:16:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8ff5d7…
10-26 14:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x104e23…
10-26 14:10:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6a378e…
10-26 14:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1cab70…
10-26 14:10:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 27?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0x84060a…
10-26 11:33:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x12244c…
10-26 11:33:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfe84d4…
10-26 11:33:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe61834…
10-26 11:32:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	136	2¢	$3	0x1f1f62…
10-26 09:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc7389a…
10-26 09:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x27f38f…
10-26 09:48:30	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xaf4182…
10-26 09:48:17	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xe88749…
10-26 09:48:17	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x75512c…
10-26 09:45:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x2202f6…
10-26 09:45:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xb8f463…
10-26 09:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb983e7…
10-26 09:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x02be58…
10-26 09:43:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x259124…
10-26 09:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x9315df…
10-26 09:43:42	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xe20928…
10-26 09:43:38	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x7d4ef9…
10-26 09:43:38	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x61ff03…
10-26 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x725eae…
10-26 09:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x322eaf…
10-26 09:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xcc41e7…
10-26 09:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x3bcba1…
10-26 09:42:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfb65ec…
10-26 09:42:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde2c1c…
10-26 09:42:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4b4fa4…
10-26 09:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xabe479…
10-26 09:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x01514f…
10-26 09:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x066699…
10-26 09:40:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2e14e6…
10-26 09:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd95914…
10-26 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x51355f…
10-26 09:40:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0xfac800…
10-26 09:40:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x68215b…
10-26 09:40:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf5d907…
10-26 09:40:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2c3b38…
10-26 09:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbd41ac…
10-26 09:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x761941…
10-26 09:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x16fa75…
10-26 09:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	117	5¢	$6	0x02c00a…
10-26 09:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x354665…
10-26 09:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xc2a977…
10-26 09:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xacc531…
10-26 09:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdf75da…
10-26 09:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa5c673…
10-26 09:37:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x056f7a…
10-26 09:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xec4120…
10-26 09:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x10d5ae…
10-26 09:34:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x3a557d…
10-26 09:16:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x28a9fd…
10-26 09:15:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	1,118	0¢	$1	0x7f8529…
10-26 09:15:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x99cad2…
10-26 02:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc39ebe…
10-26 02:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc55f57…
10-26 02:28:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbacbbf…
10-26 02:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x201d80…
10-26 02:27:54	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf3f2b6…
10-26 02:27:54	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x5290db…
10-26 02:27:53	XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcdf128…
10-26 02:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0xf714f7…
10-26 02:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaab774…
10-26 02:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6356a6…
10-26 02:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7ecc08…
10-26 02:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3b4217…
10-26 02:25:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xb7f38d…
10-26 02:25:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xf576b7…
10-26 02:22:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x959db8…
10-26 02:21:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,272	0¢	$6	0x5d5c5f…