Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
7.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
89
lifetime
Volume
$884
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$23
4 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 07-01 03:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
42%
Crypto
40% 0% $-9
Other
12% 0% $-7
Sports
5% 100% +$8
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -10 $-8 100¢ $-10 $-2 06-16 19:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-0 06-16 19:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -30 $-4 12¢ $-3 +$0 06-16 19:38
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? Yes -20 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-16 19:37