Annual-Standoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-30 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

100% 56% $-25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on april 2 2026	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	04-02 05:58
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	3	$47	26	26	+0	open	—	04-20 19:24
spx up or down on april 20 2026	3	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	04-20 19:25
spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	3	$34	20	19	+0	open	—	04-22 21:06
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	1	$34	38	0	+38	open	—	03-28 05:35
spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	06-18 06:10
spy up or down on june 15 2026	1	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	06-15 06:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	2	$29	36	36	+0	Down	$-11	05-04 12:14
Will Google reach $310 in April?	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	04-08 15:50
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	4	$25	28	17	+11	open	—	04-06 13:14
spx up or down on june 25 2026	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	06-25 13:27
spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	4	$25	26	26	+1	open	—	04-23 12:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	3	$25	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 15:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	2	$23	27	0	+27	open	—	04-24 12:17
spx opens up or down on april 9 2026	3	$23	27	16	+11	open	—	04-09 05:21
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-20 17:28
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	2	$22	27	0	+27	open	—	05-18 19:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 15:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 16:49
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-08 15:46
spx opens up or down on april 21 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-21 14:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 16:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 11:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 07:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 17:28
nvda close above 195 on april 14 2026	4	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	04-14 20:31
spx up or down on april 17 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-17 21:49
spx up or down on april 10 2026	2	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	04-10 19:12
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$15	25	0	+25	Down	$-15	05-07 11:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	2	$14	20	0	+20	Up	+$6	05-13 15:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:01:05	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x416677…
06-30 16:00:11	msft up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xc3352d…
06-30 15:59:25	spy up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd665cb…
06-29 13:01:14	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x097a88…
06-29 13:00:59	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb22dd3…
06-25 13:27:53	spx up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf19616…
06-24 18:22:56	spx up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xee7fd9…
06-24 18:22:37	spy up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0da1d8…
06-23 04:26:02	spx up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x62eb32…
06-23 04:25:46	spy up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9d641e…
06-22 06:49:49	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x4d1f64…
06-22 06:49:05	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xadf1bb…
06-19 02:46:49	spy up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1d691b…
06-19 02:45:29	spx up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd936d9…
06-19 02:41:17	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6a32f7…
06-18 06:10:01	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xd5d050…
06-16 20:18:59	aapl up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x45dd87…
06-16 20:18:43	nvda up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe057c8…
06-16 20:18:02	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x037cbe…
06-16 20:17:46	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x417ac7…
06-16 20:17:02	spy up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc11035…
06-15 06:17:55	msft up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x11d824…
06-15 06:17:16	nvda close above 215 on june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2eb06a…
06-15 06:14:01	spy up or down on june 15 2026	Up	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x1fcd02…
06-12 12:50:31	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x536b4d…
06-12 07:14:37	wti up or down on june 12 2026	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb083b3…
06-11 22:16:24	spx up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf7ae9c…
06-11 22:16:00	msft up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcc8cf2…
06-11 22:15:34	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xef9bb3…
06-11 12:17:13	spy up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc8d0fb…
06-11 12:15:33	msft up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0468eb…
06-11 12:15:25	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5ef4f8…
06-11 12:14:52	amzn up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa6a974…
06-11 12:13:42	meta up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x314ba2…
06-11 12:13:15	msft up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb5019e…
06-11 12:05:18	spx up or down on june 11 2026	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x952786…
06-05 13:56:54	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8bc099…
06-05 12:50:24	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x775b4e…
06-05 12:49:48	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x0429f8…
06-05 07:01:42	wti up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2b9299…
06-05 06:59:12	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x1f6c54…
06-05 06:49:00	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x7b79e9…
06-04 12:04:48	amzn up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x476b23…
06-04 12:04:12	nvda up or down on june 4 2026	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x284892…
06-04 12:04:10	msft up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0713c4…
06-03 12:11:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xc2e9f9…
06-03 04:54:03	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x324f97…
06-03 04:53:17	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 3?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x52298d…
06-03 04:52:16	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x27ae89…
06-03 04:51:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa7681e…
06-03 04:50:27	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on June 3?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe8c16d…
06-03 04:48:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x43ca08…
06-03 04:47:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdceea1…
06-02 12:25:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x3c1e12…
06-01 05:08:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x547d85…
06-01 05:07:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x778358…
05-22 17:19:51	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x663204…
05-22 16:56:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeab3ac…
05-22 16:55:39	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfed1fc…
05-22 16:44:50	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x1663e3…
05-22 16:43:47	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xcc6bff…
05-22 14:13:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb3deb7…
05-20 18:04:09	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x487094…
05-20 17:34:12	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6f1096…
05-20 17:33:48	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x44425a…
05-20 17:32:22	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x6cc33f…
05-20 17:32:06	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9fe470…
05-20 17:31:12	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4fed4b…
05-20 17:28:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x45223f…
05-20 17:28:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x0046b3…
05-20 12:47:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xc8c898…
05-20 05:19:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x083b3c…
05-19 18:48:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7f7811…
05-19 18:48:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4e893a…
05-19 04:32:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x777351…
05-19 04:26:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9e4dce…
05-19 04:26:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9974d2…
05-18 19:45:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x1a3dcf…
05-18 13:31:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x8722f6…
05-18 07:07:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x7e1a0f…
05-18 05:43:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xceb581…
05-18 05:43:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfcf86d…
05-18 05:43:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9987d0…
05-15 10:35:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x16af59…
05-15 10:35:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9f5c98…
05-14 11:18:35	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x93aac1…
05-14 11:14:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x295cfd…
05-14 11:13:46	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x4233e1…
05-13 20:23:52	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4255b0…
05-13 20:23:36	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x246651…
05-13 15:06:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x3b223b…
05-13 15:05:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6dcb46…
05-13 12:21:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x61fc7b…
05-13 03:07:43	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x1f8ee9…
05-13 03:06:14	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x58ed67…
05-13 03:05:56	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x75d7d4…
05-13 03:05:11	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0733e6…
05-13 03:04:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5990fe…
05-13 03:04:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x2bd6a5…
05-13 03:04:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb195d9…