Complex-Archives — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,286

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-18 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

46% 36% +$1

Crypto

32% — —

Politics

16% 0% $-0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-100	$-13	8¢	$-8	+$4	06-17 09:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-24	$30	30¢	$-7	$-37	07-18 21:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	17	$377	409	409	+0	open	—	07-18 21:08
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?	9	$103	179	179	+0	open	—	03-08 14:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$78	150	150	+0	open	—	07-12 11:01
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	16	$70	135	135	+0	open	—	03-05 10:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$67	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 14:29
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	6	$54	103	103	+0	open	—	03-08 01:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$52	66	66	+0	open	—	06-16 17:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$46	90	290	-200	open	—	06-17 09:41
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$44	100	100	+0	open	—	03-17 11:35
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 100 119	23	$42	411	411	+0	open	—	03-17 16:03
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	10	$39	152	152	+0	open	—	03-05 12:21
Nothing Ever Happens: March	4	$34	100	100	+0	open	—	03-06 07:30
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$33	126	126	+0	open	—	03-08 00:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	15	$31	266	273	-7	Down	+$4	05-12 11:10
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	16	$27	156	156	+0	open	—	03-18 02:13
us strikes iraq by march 31	6	$23	40	40	+0	open	—	03-03 09:56
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	12	$23	163	163	+0	open	—	03-06 04:14
will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	7	$23	150	150	+0	open	—	03-06 07:17
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	9	$22	142	142	+0	open	—	03-04 02:19
will phoenix suns advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	2	$22	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 09:56
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	03-04 01:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$20	65	65	+0	open	—	03-01 01:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	33	$19	650	650	+0	open	—	06-01 14:29
us strikes iraq by march 7	4	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	03-03 01:31
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 14c	6	$19	101	101	+0	open	—	04-05 13:45
cs2 aur1 all 2026 04 01	18	$19	156	156	+0	open	—	04-01 14:15
will israel strike greater beirut on march 4 2026	12	$18	276	176	+100	open	—	03-04 06:33
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	2	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	03-03 18:45
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	17	$17	140	140	+0	open	—	03-02 03:08
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$17	22	22	+0	open	—	03-01 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 21:08:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	259	34¢	$88	0xd9c288…
07-12 19:33:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xd2cac1…
07-12 11:01:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x6557b7…
07-10 02:13:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x3a65a1…
07-09 08:53:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x95dd99…
07-09 07:29:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcb9dcc…
07-09 01:33:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xec7b8d…
07-08 23:48:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe9008e…
07-08 22:14:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xbce4b3…
07-06 03:20:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0xbdad87…
07-05 14:29:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xc1a4f9…
07-03 12:21:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$27	0x6af3af…
07-02 07:30:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xe3d3e9…
07-02 05:09:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x412ba9…
06-27 11:05:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2b3bc1…
06-27 10:32:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xc98cfc…
06-27 08:01:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4d1040…
06-27 05:24:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x666d2f…
06-27 05:10:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x922067…
06-27 04:47:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x847809…
06-27 03:25:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd8df8b…
06-27 03:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbdd7b7…
06-27 03:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x7fa963…
06-27 02:23:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9e2ddf…
06-27 02:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe6b4fc…
06-27 02:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xdea805…
06-27 02:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x844a7c…
06-27 01:16:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x34f125…
06-26 22:23:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xc4865e…
06-17 09:41:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	11¢	$10	0xce12ec…
06-16 17:57:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x5d3f2d…
06-16 13:07:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xfdef8b…
06-16 11:33:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xa3a363…
06-16 08:35:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x8582ff…
06-16 04:01:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	SELL	302	0¢	$0	0xa7f24f…
06-16 04:01:00	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xeed90c…
06-16 03:53:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6c7ce0…
06-16 03:41:09	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	102	0¢	$1	0x24f6a9…
06-15 16:37:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xd8b3bc…
06-15 16:20:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xa985fd…
06-15 11:16:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x53c078…
06-15 08:46:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	28¢	$28	0x19d3f5…
06-15 08:33:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x26dbe7…
06-15 08:22:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x68378a…
06-15 08:17:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x3ca6fa…
06-15 08:17:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xcf91f4…
06-15 08:17:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x2352d2…
06-15 06:42:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x2e1290…
06-15 06:37:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	40¢	$26	0xe250fa…
06-09 12:23:57	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x2956b1…
06-09 12:10:12	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xfed7fb…
06-09 11:56:36	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x5afaf1…
06-09 11:49:54	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0xbf820f…
06-01 14:29:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x4aa668…
06-01 14:02:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x43a30e…
06-01 14:01:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0x69b172…
06-01 13:59:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x221237…
06-01 13:57:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x2bbe7c…
06-01 13:56:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf16376…
06-01 13:56:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x04fb2f…
06-01 13:54:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2b386d…
06-01 13:52:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x2a3ca1…
06-01 13:48:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6c2879…
06-01 13:45:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x139ac9…
06-01 13:41:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4abfc0…
06-01 13:39:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0e8973…
06-01 13:35:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x1c04d6…
06-01 13:34:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xcf890e…
06-01 13:32:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x56d5fc…
06-01 13:31:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x3de003…
06-01 13:31:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x5212b5…
06-01 13:30:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x2cc291…
06-01 13:11:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xef7b47…
06-01 13:08:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xe7d6ec…
06-01 13:08:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x070b30…
06-01 13:06:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0xf8d9d4…
06-01 13:05:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x6b134d…
06-01 13:03:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xb16871…
06-01 13:03:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x3b6bdd…
06-01 12:44:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb0b729…
06-01 12:41:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3ff4fb…
06-01 12:03:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	51	3¢	$1	0xd69ee3…
06-01 12:00:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x1927b8…
06-01 11:56:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xca76ac…
06-01 11:54:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x340961…
06-01 11:36:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xe2a331…
05-12 11:55:35	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x6d70d7…
05-12 11:44:18	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	BUY	144	0¢	$0	0x27241f…
05-12 11:43:40	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x80e12c…
05-12 11:43:05	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x06c4f1…
05-12 11:42:33	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0xbc4846…
05-12 11:40:06	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd52a80…
05-12 11:36:29	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xc6352e…
05-12 11:19:04	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0x62f0cd…
05-12 11:10:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x492a8e…
05-12 10:45:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0x776207…
05-12 10:38:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x643cad…
05-12 10:38:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x9d8d59…
05-12 10:29:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3e9b98…
05-12 10:24:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xd1bcf3…