Complex-Archives — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,235

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-09 12:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

68% 36% +$1

Politics

24% 0% $-0

Tech

6% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?	9	$103	179	179	+0	open	—	03-08 14:40
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	16	$70	135	135	+0	open	—	03-05 10:25
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	6	$54	103	103	+0	open	—	03-08 01:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$44	100	100	+0	open	—	03-17 11:35
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 100 119	23	$42	411	411	+0	open	—	03-17 16:03
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	10	$39	152	152	+0	open	—	03-05 12:21
Nothing Ever Happens: March	4	$34	100	100	+0	open	—	03-06 07:30
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$33	126	126	+0	open	—	03-08 00:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	15	$31	266	273	-7	Down	+$4	05-12 11:10
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	16	$27	156	156	+0	open	—	03-18 02:13
us strikes iraq by march 31	6	$23	40	40	+0	open	—	03-03 09:56
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	12	$23	163	163	+0	open	—	03-06 04:14
will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	7	$23	150	150	+0	open	—	03-06 07:17
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	9	$22	142	142	+0	open	—	03-04 02:19
will phoenix suns advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	2	$22	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 09:56
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	03-04 01:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$20	65	65	+0	open	—	03-01 01:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	33	$19	650	650	+0	open	—	06-01 14:29
us strikes iraq by march 7	4	$19	29	29	+0	open	—	03-03 01:31
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 14c	6	$19	101	101	+0	open	—	04-05 13:45
cs2 aur1 all 2026 04 01	18	$19	156	156	+0	open	—	04-01 14:15
will israel strike greater beirut on march 4 2026	12	$18	276	176	+100	open	—	03-04 06:33
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	2	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	03-03 18:45
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	17	$17	140	140	+0	open	—	03-02 03:08
will uae strike iran by march 31	4	$17	22	22	+0	open	—	03-01 11:47
highest temperature in ankara on april 5 2026 16c	15	$15	156	156	+0	open	—	04-05 14:01
will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 17	4	$15	40	40	+0	open	—	03-17 21:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	16	$14	303	266	+37	Up	+$2	05-11 18:45
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	14	$13	277	274	+3	open	—	04-18 14:58
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 100 129	3	$12	50	50	+0	open	—	03-07 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:23:57	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x2956b1…
06-09 12:10:12	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xfed7fb…
06-09 11:56:36	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x5afaf1…
06-09 11:49:54	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Down	BUY	51	3¢	$2	0xbf820f…
06-01 14:29:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x4aa668…
06-01 14:02:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x43a30e…
06-01 14:01:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0x69b172…
06-01 13:59:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x221237…
06-01 13:57:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x2bbe7c…
06-01 13:56:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf16376…
06-01 13:56:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x04fb2f…
06-01 13:54:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2b386d…
06-01 13:52:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x2a3ca1…
06-01 13:48:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6c2879…
06-01 13:45:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x139ac9…
06-01 13:41:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4abfc0…
06-01 13:39:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0e8973…
06-01 13:35:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x1c04d6…
06-01 13:34:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	34	1¢	$0	0xcf890e…
06-01 13:32:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x56d5fc…
06-01 13:31:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x3de003…
06-01 13:31:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x5212b5…
06-01 13:30:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x2cc291…
06-01 13:11:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	52	2¢	$1	0xef7b47…
06-01 13:08:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xe7d6ec…
06-01 13:08:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x070b30…
06-01 13:06:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0xf8d9d4…
06-01 13:05:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x6b134d…
06-01 13:03:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xb16871…
06-01 13:03:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x3b6bdd…
06-01 12:44:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb0b729…
06-01 12:41:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3ff4fb…
06-01 12:03:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	51	3¢	$1	0xd69ee3…
06-01 12:00:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x1927b8…
06-01 11:56:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xca76ac…
06-01 11:54:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x340961…
06-01 11:36:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xe2a331…
05-12 11:55:35	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x6d70d7…
05-12 11:44:18	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	BUY	144	0¢	$0	0x27241f…
05-12 11:43:40	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x80e12c…
05-12 11:43:05	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x06c4f1…
05-12 11:42:33	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0xbc4846…
05-12 11:40:06	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xd52a80…
05-12 11:36:29	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xc6352e…
05-12 11:19:04	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 1	Nova Esports	BUY	255	0¢	$1	0x62f0cd…
05-12 11:10:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x492a8e…
05-12 10:45:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0x776207…
05-12 10:38:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x643cad…
05-12 10:38:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x9d8d59…
05-12 10:29:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3e9b98…
05-12 10:24:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	43	6¢	$3	0xd1bcf3…
05-12 10:15:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xe84d16…
05-12 10:13:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x264fbb…
05-12 10:11:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x7b8000…
05-12 10:09:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x4c7afe…
05-12 09:54:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x6e18d9…
05-12 09:31:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xd02572…
05-12 09:24:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x2da289…
05-12 09:23:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	52	5¢	$3	0xe12468…
05-12 09:17:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xad5601…
05-11 20:03:14	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x62a41d…
05-11 19:51:43	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xdc0286…
05-11 19:48:39	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa6ee25…
05-11 19:46:28	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x3a2d6a…
05-11 19:46:18	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	24	2¢	$1	0xb4ff2b…
05-11 19:46:04	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xd8b076…
05-11 19:45:48	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x8a3396…
05-11 19:44:55	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc609af…
05-11 19:44:03	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa409ee…
05-11 19:43:14	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xc51c74…
05-11 19:42:14	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0efe4e…
05-11 19:42:02	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x580c34…
05-11 19:39:42	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x976cd4…
05-11 19:38:57	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x4cf06c…
05-11 19:36:56	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xff23c4…
05-11 19:36:52	Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x34d493…
05-11 19:36:24	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x938fb8…
05-11 19:36:16	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x6fef64…
05-11 19:35:44	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd154de…
05-11 19:34:36	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x6edc0e…
05-11 19:31:43	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb5d5dc…
05-11 19:28:34	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa4469e…
05-11 19:27:01	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x716d99…
05-11 19:23:19	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x901eb7…
05-11 19:04:46	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x61f274…
05-11 19:04:35	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x26b0a4…
05-11 18:59:41	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x57b70c…
05-11 18:59:32	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x62c1ea…
05-11 18:57:28	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x27a0b5…
05-11 18:56:37	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	47	1¢	$1	0xc5a06e…
05-11 18:56:06	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x510e66…
05-11 18:53:30	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x62cebe…
05-11 18:51:35	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa81348…
05-11 18:45:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	51	4¢	$2	0x0ec90a…
05-11 18:43:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0xb37ad0…
05-11 18:41:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x631090…
05-11 18:40:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0xed50c2…
05-11 18:36:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xf2f297…
05-11 18:31:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2e1168…
05-11 18:29:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xd1cbc7…