Complex-Archives — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

330

Trades

1,752

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-10 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

46% 28% -$23

Crypto

35% 15% +$14

Politics

14% 41% -$8

Tech

4% 20% -$1

Sports

1% 20% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	17	$377	409	409	+0	open	—	07-18 21:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$158	281	281	+0	open	—	06-16 17:57
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?	9	$103	179	179	+0	No	$0	03-08 14:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$78	150	150	+0	open	—	07-12 11:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$72	290	290	+0	open	—	06-17 09:41
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	16	$70	135	135	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 10:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$67	200	200	+0	open	—	07-05 14:29
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 40 64	6	$54	103	103	+0	No	-$1	03-08 01:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$44	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 11:35
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 100 119	23	$42	411	411	+0	Yes	-$7	03-17 16:03
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	10	$39	152	152	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 12:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	4	$37	80	80	+0	open	—	08-03 18:43
Nothing Ever Happens: March	4	$34	100	100	+0	Nothing	+$2	03-06 07:30
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	7	$33	126	126	+0	No	-$2	03-08 00:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	15	$31	266	273	-7	Down	+$4	05-12 11:10
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	16	$27	156	156	+0	No	-$1	03-18 02:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	9	$24	101	101	+0	Up	+$21	08-10 12:13
us strikes iraq by march 31	6	$23	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	03-03 09:56
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	12	$23	163	163	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 04:14
will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	7	$23	150	150	+0	No	-$3	03-06 07:17
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	9	$22	142	142	+0	No	+$3	03-04 02:19
will phoenix suns advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	2	$22	50	50	+0	Yes	+$19	04-15 09:56
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-04 01:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	8	$20	65	65	+0	Yes	$0	03-01 01:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	33	$19	650	650	+0	Up	+$5	06-01 14:29
us strikes iraq by march 7	4	$19	29	29	+0	Yes	-$1	03-03 01:31
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 14c	6	$19	101	101	+0	Yes	+$4	04-05 13:45
cs2 aur1 all 2026 04 01	18	$19	156	156	+0	Alliance	+$2	04-01 14:15
will israel strike greater beirut on march 4 2026	12	$18	276	176	+100	Yes	-$1	03-04 06:33
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	2	$18	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-03 18:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:29:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xe17a14…
08-10 16:29:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc9dca9…
08-10 16:29:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x6dddb4…
08-10 16:28:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x9546cb…
08-10 16:27:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x37460c…
08-10 16:26:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	51	3¢	$1	0x346d3e…
08-10 16:22:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x1fd227…
08-10 16:22:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x5b8444…
08-10 16:22:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xee5e5e…
08-10 16:22:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdf5234…
08-10 16:22:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x1847f0…
08-10 16:21:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x0f00b8…
08-10 16:13:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3b1150…
08-10 16:13:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x975b7d…
08-10 16:13:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x7c1ae6…
08-10 15:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x821e7b…
08-10 15:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xa5ba8d…
08-10 12:58:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5fa8d7…
08-10 12:58:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x9c1736…
08-10 12:57:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	51	0¢	$0	0x9062f5…
08-10 12:54:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xaa3565…
08-10 12:54:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x284b7e…
08-10 12:54:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xfd420f…
08-10 12:44:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd76281…
08-10 12:43:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x692204…
08-10 12:43:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x336a51…
08-10 12:43:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x072146…
08-10 12:43:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfb9bde…
08-10 12:42:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	136	0¢	$0	0x54c3b1…
08-10 12:26:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x549372…
08-10 12:26:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb9494a…
08-10 12:26:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xa0efad…
08-10 12:26:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x8ad3b8…
08-10 12:13:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x3081c6…
08-10 12:12:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xdac871…
08-10 12:12:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x1cd7aa…
08-10 12:12:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x3227f8…
08-10 12:12:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5ea4cf…
08-10 12:12:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x183495…
08-10 12:12:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc1bd59…
08-10 12:12:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x02bfe2…
08-10 12:11:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xda0794…
08-10 11:59:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe13c7e…
08-10 11:58:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x928ed3…
08-10 11:58:33	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x879ed5…
08-10 11:55:40	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xa830e5…
08-10 11:55:34	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x5917d1…
08-10 11:55:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x247499…
08-10 11:55:18	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x51f6c6…
08-10 11:55:18	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x39ba1d…
08-10 11:52:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x5e0a8c…
08-10 11:52:30	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-10 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd1b711…
08-03 18:43:00	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x691a4a…
07-28 21:22:05	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xb4fe73…
07-28 18:00:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xa0419a…
07-28 09:35:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	Yes	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0x2c6f9d…
07-18 21:08:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	259	34¢	$88	0xd9c288…
07-12 19:33:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xd2cac1…
07-12 11:01:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x6557b7…
07-10 02:13:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x3a65a1…
07-09 08:53:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x95dd99…
07-09 07:29:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xcb9dcc…
07-09 01:33:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0xec7b8d…
07-08 23:48:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe9008e…
07-08 22:14:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xbce4b3…
07-06 03:20:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$25	0xbdad87…
07-05 14:29:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xc1a4f9…
07-03 14:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x19dc5e…
07-03 12:21:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$27	0x6af3af…
07-02 07:30:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xe3d3e9…
07-02 05:09:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x412ba9…
06-27 11:05:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x2b3bc1…
06-27 10:32:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0xc98cfc…
06-27 08:01:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4d1040…
06-27 05:24:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x666d2f…
06-27 05:10:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	17¢	$5	0x922067…
06-27 04:47:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x847809…
06-27 03:25:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd8df8b…
06-27 03:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbdd7b7…
06-27 03:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x7fa963…
06-27 02:23:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9e2ddf…
06-27 02:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe6b4fc…
06-27 02:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0xdea805…
06-27 02:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x844a7c…
06-27 01:16:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x34f125…
06-26 22:23:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xc4865e…
06-17 09:41:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	11¢	$10	0xce12ec…
06-16 17:57:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x5d3f2d…
06-16 13:07:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xfdef8b…
06-16 11:33:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xa3a363…
06-16 08:35:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x8582ff…
06-16 06:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$0	0x3568de…
06-16 06:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9ed8ce…
06-16 05:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x9a2de0…
06-16 05:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x37bd32…
06-16 04:13:18	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 15?	No	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x762006…
06-16 04:11:37	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 15?	No	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0xa6bd47…
06-16 04:01:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	SELL	302	0¢	$0	0xa7f24f…
06-16 04:01:00	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xeed90c…
06-16 03:53:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6c7ce0…