Murky-Symptom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

22,102

lifetime

Volume

$145.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-17 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

39% 51% +$42

Politics

35% 12% $-11

Crypto

24% 20% $-1

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 5531 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	335	$2.6K	10,807	10,807	+0	open	—	04-14 15:35
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	100	$2.4K	2,642	2,642	+0	open	—	04-16 15:22
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	236	$2.3K	6,274	6,274	+0	open	—	04-13 15:15
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	279	$1.8K	1,820	1,820	+0	open	—	04-16 22:35
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	39	$1.5K	1,798	1,798	+0	open	—	04-10 22:22
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	81	$1.5K	1,574	1,440	+134	open	—	04-22 05:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	44	$1.4K	978	971	+8	open	—	04-16 02:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	46	$1.2K	6,017	6,017	+0	open	—	04-09 22:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	39	$1.1K	1,830	1,830	+0	open	—	04-14 23:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	23	$1.1K	1,379	1,379	+0	open	—	04-24 17:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	16	$1.1K	961	961	+0	open	—	05-07 11:44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	54	$1.1K	1,336	1,329	+8	open	—	04-21 18:01
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	42	$1.1K	1,487	1,487	+0	open	—	04-21 19:43
lol sc vitb 2026 04 08	2	$978	694	682	+12	open	—	04-08 20:21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	123	$958	5,261	5,261	+0	open	—	04-13 15:45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	24	$958	817	817	+0	open	—	04-19 12:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	33	$946	981	981	+0	open	—	04-21 03:56
lol sly gal 2026 04 08	2	$941	617	608	+9	open	—	04-08 20:21
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	29	$886	2,007	2,007	+0	open	—	04-07 23:15
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	416	$841	853	832	+21	open	—	04-14 15:33
will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	118	$755	381	381	+0	open	—	04-13 01:31
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner	8	$750	995	0	+995	open	—	04-30 16:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	51	$721	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	04-08 01:26
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	15	$698	736	736	+0	open	—	04-21 23:03
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	172	$685	425	416	+9	open	—	04-14 15:27
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?	23	$672	1,013	1,013	+0	open	—	04-13 14:24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	80	$642	343	343	+0	open	—	04-13 20:05
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	45	$629	365	365	+0	open	—	04-12 19:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	14	$606	320	320	+0	open	—	04-10 22:22
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	69	$592	429	429	+0	open	—	04-16 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 08:23:55	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0x78a82e…
05-17 08:23:55	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x5f517e…
05-17 08:23:55	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x4c67cf…
05-17 08:23:54	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May?	Yes	SELL	84	2¢	$2	0xd7c5d4…
05-17 08:23:54	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x2dcb2f…
05-17 08:23:54	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x0e915f…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	SELL	124	43¢	$53	0xe4ae11…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xd9ab58…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xa76364…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	124	10¢	$12	0x9f7fe2…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x85782f…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	SELL	43	76¢	$32	0x82dc64…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	SELL	43	89¢	$38	0x5b7d53…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	51	30¢	$15	0x4358f1…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x3fb3dd…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x304bc1…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 in May?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x2f9af7…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 in May?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x2c167c…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	No	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0x294ba8…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	109	84¢	$91	0x23d177…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	No	SELL	115	79¢	$91	0x21e1c3…
05-17 08:23:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	34	56¢	$19	0x068a25…
05-13 13:31:58	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $390 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a1f93…
05-13 13:31:37	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x88548c…
05-12 13:45:59	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x38a259…
05-12 13:32:20	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x7ff2ce…
05-12 13:32:06	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xb8d64e…
05-12 13:32:06	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x77d939…
05-12 13:32:06	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	46	60¢	$27	0x516ff1…
05-12 13:32:01	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x004a5b…
05-12 13:31:56	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0x43baf1…
05-12 13:31:50	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xbd18fe…
05-12 13:31:45	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xbbc76d…
05-12 13:31:42	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $260 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x437003…
05-12 13:31:38	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xc3bea9…
05-11 15:15:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $405 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0a03f8…
05-11 14:26:17	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xa4a0c6…
05-11 14:13:16	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5730d4…
05-11 14:11:33	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x776773…
05-11 14:06:16	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	31	15¢	$5	0xaa21bf…
05-11 14:00:42	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	No	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0x8c53b2…
05-11 13:53:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xab6435…
05-11 13:53:14	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x60e5b3…
05-11 13:53:07	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0fd67c…
05-11 13:53:05	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x69998b…
05-11 13:50:07	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x4a9d5e…
05-11 13:45:18	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0b2a47…
05-11 13:41:06	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x235489…
05-11 13:40:55	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x6e3d28…
05-11 13:39:59	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0xe74450…
05-11 13:39:17	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xff7e14…
05-11 13:37:25	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x5bbe77…
05-11 13:37:06	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfeca66…
05-11 13:36:29	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x58b306…
05-11 13:36:07	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe5d738…
05-11 13:35:09	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0x307447…
05-11 13:34:09	Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 11 above $265?	Yes	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xed5df5…
05-11 13:33:17	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x276f74…
05-11 13:32:40	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa8cd2c…
05-08 19:50:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x17eb17…
05-08 19:30:42	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 4 above $400?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8c7962…
05-08 19:02:31	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x2bfe1c…
05-08 18:58:00	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xc5d3b6…
05-08 18:57:51	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x50e315…
05-08 18:57:48	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0xce60f0…
05-08 18:57:08	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xfb2b26…
05-08 18:56:43	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xebc37c…
05-08 17:04:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in May?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x91e709…
05-08 17:00:33	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4ef44f…
05-08 16:56:19	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xf50884…
05-08 16:33:18	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6837f4…
05-08 16:31:35	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x998abe…
05-08 16:31:26	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xf3ca07…
05-08 16:31:23	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x1c5d77…
05-08 16:31:11	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x2efc94…
05-08 13:54:37	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb715f6…
05-08 13:53:11	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 4 above $5.00?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x61965f…
05-08 13:48:36	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.75 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x326147…
05-08 13:46:34	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x181d9f…
05-08 13:45:20	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7541bd…
05-08 13:45:17	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in May?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x951cc9…
05-08 13:45:13	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $405 in May?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf0af40…
05-08 13:45:05	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x25035c…
05-08 13:44:31	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaa1090…
05-08 13:42:52	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0xa24f7e…
05-08 13:41:05	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x255f94…
05-08 13:41:03	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	45	17¢	$8	0xec487a…
05-08 13:39:22	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa504cf…
05-08 13:39:01	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x50426d…
05-08 13:38:19	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0x2a69b8…
05-08 13:36:15	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x8107f3…
05-08 13:36:03	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x7fcb83…
05-08 13:35:56	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x1ea2d6…
05-08 13:35:54	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0xa6d5a4…
05-08 13:35:35	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb04dcb…
05-08 13:35:31	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x05f1b6…
05-08 13:35:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xedc8b0…
05-08 13:35:24	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x2d9248…
05-08 13:35:03	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xfaa670…
05-08 13:35:03	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0xbd80f3…