Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-17?
open
Total volume
$401
$13 in 24h
Trades
43
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$581,575
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-14 11:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-34.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $88
vs crowd: 34% YES on $363)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $95 | $88 | +$7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $47 | $47 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $29 | $105 | $77 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $0 | $88 | $88 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $25 | $25 |
| Median | 3 | $25 | $7 | +$18 |
| Below median | 7 | $4 | $44 | $40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $66 | $66 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $95 | — | +$95 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | +498 | $95 | $95 | 2 | 05-14 11:50 |
| Warped-Call 0x037f…dd7e | Yes | +130 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 00:23 |
| Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | +107 | $88 | $88 | 3 | 05-11 04:38 |
| Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | No | +33 | $27 | $27 | 6 | 05-11 04:48 |
| Wise-Wetsuit 0x35d1…1f70 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-11 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d6b…8ffa | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-11 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 03:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5a4…d8b4 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 04:38 |
| Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 04:47 |
| Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 9 | 05-11 05:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aab…38cc | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 03:39 |
| Illustrious-Butterfly 0xa807…cc2e | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:42 |
| Foolish-Licorice 0x3a8c…249b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 05:43 |
| Edible-Tolerance 0xced4…9083 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-11 04:38 |
| Offbeat-Produce 0x6c96…a146 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 14:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bbf…89b6 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 04:38 |
| Sorrowful-Prior 0x8c27…567a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 11:50:00 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | BUY | 214 | 19¢ | $41 | 0x0b42bd… |
| 05-14 11:50:00 | Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63 | Yes | BUY | 284 | 19¢ | $54 | 0x906f50… |
| 05-13 03:38:45 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | SELL | 45 | 81¢ | $37 | 0x4cfbec… |
| 05-13 03:38:21 | (anonymous) 0x02f7…dd8f | No | BUY | 45 | 83¢ | $37 | 0x3d83a6… |
| 05-12 00:23:31 | Warped-Call 0x037f…dd7e | Yes | BUY | 130 | 19¢ | $25 | 0x3559d8… |
| 05-11 14:33:41 | Offbeat-Produce 0x6c96…a146 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xc41ecb… |
| 05-11 05:43:45 | Foolish-Licorice 0x3a8c…249b | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xc8ba7d… |
| 05-11 05:38:50 | (anonymous) 0x1a51…a6fe | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x3ea0cf… |
| 05-11 05:18:21 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x5055f6… |
| 05-11 04:52:24 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xa19a67… |
| 05-11 04:52:22 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x058273… |
| 05-11 04:52:22 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xfa31df… |
| 05-11 04:52:20 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x8c20aa… |
| 05-11 04:52:18 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x54b529… |
| 05-11 04:52:18 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x63eeab… |
| 05-11 04:52:17 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xf02a4c… |
| 05-11 04:52:17 | Puny-Yahoo 0xb66c…a0f5 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x87f6a9… |
| 05-11 04:48:55 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x1c4cde… |
| 05-11 04:48:54 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x00d4b0… |
| 05-11 04:48:52 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xc98ea7… |
| 05-11 04:48:48 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x4f8875… |
| 05-11 04:47:31 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xf1ed4a… |
| 05-11 04:47:30 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xd9e3bc… |
| 05-11 04:47:28 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x2924d7… |
| 05-11 04:47:24 | Fortunate-Subprime 0x79cf…91ab | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x1179d5… |
| 05-11 04:44:22 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0xc34369… |
| 05-11 04:42:23 | Illustrious-Butterfly 0xa807…cc2e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xe3d1cb… |
| 05-11 04:38:46 | (anonymous) 0xc75b…3ea7 | No | BUY | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0xa3a4e1… |
| 05-11 04:38:45 | (anonymous) 0xf5a4…d8b4 | No | BUY | 11 | 84¢ | $9 | 0x96f661… |
| 05-11 04:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x0d6b…8ffa | No | BUY | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0x0fd46a… |
| 05-11 04:38:41 | Edible-Tolerance 0xced4…9083 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x1a9394… |
| 05-11 04:38:41 | Wise-Wetsuit 0x35d1…1f70 | No | BUY | 9 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xcac319… |
| 05-11 04:38:41 | (anonymous) 0x7bbf…89b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xfbfaf5… |
| 05-11 04:38:39 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x00dbac… |
| 05-11 04:38:39 | Sorrowful-Prior 0x8c27…567a | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xfe5fc2… |
| 05-11 04:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x0d6b…8ffa | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x10431b… |
| 05-11 04:38:39 | (anonymous) 0x7bbf…89b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x60e5a4… |
| 05-11 04:38:39 | Edible-Tolerance 0xced4…9083 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x875f3b… |
| 05-11 04:38:39 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 46 | 82¢ | $38 | 0xeace65… |
| 05-11 03:39:09 | (anonymous) 0x4aab…38cc | No | BUY | 7 | 82¢ | $6 | 0xae8510… |
| 05-11 03:34:26 | Wise-Wetsuit 0x35d1…1f70 | No | BUY | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0xa60f47… |
| 05-11 03:34:26 | (anonymous) 0xe697…708f | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xbd18e7… |
| 05-11 03:34:24 | Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14 | No | BUY | 60 | 82¢ | $49 | 0x7990c4… |