Grotesque-Sled — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.50K

Unrealized P&L

-$434

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

515

Trades

3,302

lifetime

Volume

$325.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$1.08K

8 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 11-03 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Other

54% 45% +$1,483

Politics

46% 58% +$1,839

Sports

1% 54% +$181

Tech

0% 40% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	+6,481	$1,623	15¢	$940	-$683	10-27 19:48
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+630	$156	18¢	$113	-$43	10-22 03:30
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports	+43	$20	29¢	$12	-$8	11-03 04:44
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+10	-$225	83¢	$8	+$233	09-23 10:48
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+9	$7	82¢	$8	+$1	09-21 14:55
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+5	$4	75¢	$4	+$0	09-20 10:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+0	-$64	82¢	$0	+$64	09-30 11:06
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$2	38¢	$0	+$2	11-01 15:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	71	$42.3K	38,139	33,912	+4,227	No	-$5,041	04-29 12:24
will xi jinping visit us by september 23	126	$38.3K	20,279	20,279	+0	Yes	+$1,603	09-23 18:12
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	134	$35.9K	21,651	21,651	+0	Yes	+$5,270	04-10 03:29
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	141	$25.9K	21,891	6,158	+15,733	Yes	+$2,153	05-19 15:08
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	123	$21.2K	14,580	14,545	+35	Yes	+$1,118	05-01 14:42
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	278	$20.3K	22,171	7,201	+14,970	Yes	+$7,852	05-13 13:33
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	103	$16.6K	11,565	11,629	-64	Yes	+$107	04-23 23:18
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	112	$14.6K	11,069	3,597	+7,471	No	+$95	06-30 11:44
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	132	$14.5K	7,819	8,068	-249	Yes	+$390	08-10 23:33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	67	$8.3K	6,391	6,391	+0	open	—	09-30 11:06
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	43	$8.1K	4,100	4,100	+0	No	+$27	06-29 08:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	101	$5.9K	32,442	20,099	+12,343	No	-$4,675	05-19 02:10
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	92	$5.7K	6,586	7,270	-685	No	-$3,747	05-14 04:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	71	$4.0K	2,807	2,507	+300	Yes	+$423	05-11 01:31
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$3.5K	4,181	0	+4,181	United States	+$681	07-02 00:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	17	$3.4K	2,079	2,079	+0	Yes	+$127	05-26 07:59
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	158	$3.3K	4,297	4,287	+10	open	—	09-23 10:48
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	75	$3.2K	4,868	3,424	+1,444	Yes	-$587	05-17 08:52
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	4	$2.5K	2,760	0	+2,760	France	+$260	07-04 22:08
Will T1 Qualify to the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage	17	$2.5K	2,649	0	+2,649	Yes	+$173	07-01 05:34
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	42	$2.1K	7,697	1,216	+6,481	open	—	10-27 19:48
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 total games 3pt5	3	$1.8K	2,154	0	+2,154	Over	+$304	07-08 07:38
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	24	$1.6K	2,061	915	+1,146	No	-$770	07-12 11:43
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	30	$1.5K	1,087	1,077	+10	No	+$12	04-23 04:36
lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01	4	$1.3K	1,374	0	+1,374	T1	+$74	07-01 09:28
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	5	$1.2K	1,487	1,154	+333	No	-$294	06-16 01:40
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 total games 3pt5	4	$1.2K	662	662	+0	Over	+$161	06-12 13:19
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$1000	1,124	0	+1,124	France	+$124	06-30 16:02
fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	6	$996	715	462	+253	Over	-$104	06-15 04:11
fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	2	$926	526	526	+0	Over	+$126	06-17 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:16:03	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x623d32…
11-03 04:44:18	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x0e4d61…
11-01 15:45:24	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xb35ed3…
10-31 21:51:25	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	21	49¢	$10	0x2245e1…
10-31 15:26:58	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2ae9f8…
10-31 13:53:22	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x4bf06d…
10-28 12:51:13	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	8¢	$320	0x732610…
10-27 21:01:21	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xa36d4e…
10-27 19:48:41	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8b0789…
10-27 16:37:57	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8cca20…
10-27 12:10:47	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf01f1b…
10-27 03:23:39	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x871f70…
10-27 03:23:14	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0xb003a5…
10-27 01:16:05	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x622330…
10-27 01:16:00	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xb0c9e0…
10-26 13:54:41	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x000142…
10-26 10:49:44	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x1ffa10…
10-26 08:05:57	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x514446…
10-26 08:04:11	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x55b970…
10-25 13:16:48	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x820dd1…
10-24 16:59:17	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x9d825e…
10-24 08:22:12	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x856f83…
10-24 07:44:32	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xd78671…
10-24 07:00:15	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xebbc07…
10-24 06:59:44	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	369	23¢	$85	0x20a8d2…
10-24 06:59:23	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0x270b51…
10-23 22:50:27	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	23¢	$6	0x83c430…
10-23 18:58:44	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xdaf236…
10-23 18:58:39	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$7	0x0c954c…
10-23 18:58:36	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,416	25¢	$354	0x4cdc06…
10-23 18:58:20	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xd0ee0f…
10-23 18:58:20	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	783	24¢	$188	0x0d7333…
10-23 18:58:06	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x2ee966…
10-23 18:58:05	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6cd6e4…
10-23 18:58:03	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	571	23¢	$131	0x2aedaf…
10-23 18:57:53	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x49332f…
10-22 03:30:48	Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	134	20¢	$27	0x2c97f0…
10-22 03:30:42	Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	20¢	$13	0x7cdb05…
10-22 03:30:17	Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xf43570…
10-22 01:30:30	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xfd9b97…
10-21 12:17:17	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0xc9ca06…
10-21 07:49:06	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	22¢	$18	0xefe6be…
10-21 00:07:57	Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x5c6762…
10-21 00:07:38	Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xbef549…
10-20 11:01:24	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x734255…
10-20 11:01:08	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xe01c44…
10-20 01:03:26	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	14¢	$27	0x131e49…
10-19 19:34:14	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x3eff16…
10-19 15:57:14	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x068f48…
10-19 13:41:35	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	26¢	$91	0x828523…
10-19 12:57:15	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0xa908eb…
10-19 12:02:47	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	26¢	$31	0x33086b…
10-19 10:12:08	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x580ec9…
10-19 07:02:11	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x052829…
10-18 17:27:02	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	29¢	$41	0xc32a87…
10-18 06:26:08	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	29¢	$41	0x6c0c0e…
10-18 06:25:57	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	29¢	$23	0xab94ac…
10-17 19:12:36	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	23¢	$45	0x935b85…
10-17 14:24:53	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x39a864…
10-17 08:57:26	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x7c063c…
10-17 01:27:54	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x1c6db6…
10-16 11:02:18	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	SELL	557	77¢	$429	0x0071e6…
10-15 12:25:17	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd9c7ff…
10-15 09:42:32	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x2fe57c…
10-15 00:18:19	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0xdc8f6c…
10-14 22:27:48	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x460273…
10-14 22:27:46	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	59	20¢	$12	0x3e2b8b…
10-14 05:58:20	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xfb5c92…
10-14 05:58:20	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0x669fbb…
10-14 05:58:20	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x645c44…
10-13 23:24:40	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xfab279…
10-13 16:16:15	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	36¢	$15	0x58ab1a…
10-13 16:15:52	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xa9391b…
10-13 16:14:58	Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xc2f4bd…
10-13 16:07:58	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x59e839…
10-12 10:20:47	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	463	74¢	$342	0xe6410b…
10-12 03:24:11	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	37	74¢	$28	0x7c14ea…
10-12 01:52:09	Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6503b9…
10-12 01:37:36	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xeb8d2b…
10-11 06:46:35	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x777aa3…
10-10 16:47:19	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	20¢	$43	0x9ac8c1…
10-10 03:14:59	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x4217d5…
10-09 23:41:38	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x4febbd…
10-09 23:40:44	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	26¢	$16	0x4c10ea…
10-04 02:22:16	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x380e04…
10-04 02:22:07	Trump meets with Putin by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x34c292…
10-03 09:12:39	Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x615e38…
10-01 00:38:45	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	22¢	$23	0x1dba4d…
09-30 23:57:42	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x80b1ed…
09-30 18:22:38	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	22¢	$15	0x0bf3e6…
09-30 11:06:06	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	679	70¢	$476	0x8da0e8…
09-29 19:46:50	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x2f0b0c…
09-29 17:39:59	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0xc68feb…
09-29 17:10:59	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x11b87c…
09-29 16:42:03	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	65	69¢	$45	0xf03d3b…
09-29 14:09:02	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xde6a75…
09-29 14:09:02	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x769404…
09-29 14:08:57	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	107	69¢	$74	0x8ce389…
09-28 15:53:57	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x8dc7a3…
09-28 15:16:05	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x5b82cf…