Insecure-Statement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$485

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,632

lifetime

Volume

$174.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$145

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-09 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

73% 50% +$484

Other

27% 50% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+376	$137	38¢	$145	+$8	06-10 07:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	194	$48.8K	26,583	28,276	-1,693	open	—	05-17 00:53
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	171	$27.1K	19,477	18,690	+787	open	—	03-17 16:31
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	116	$23.3K	16,093	16,222	-130	open	—	05-01 12:44
will trump visit china by march 31	286	$19.4K	34,403	50,091	-15,688	open	—	03-17 09:18
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	131	$18.3K	20,220	17,013	+3,208	open	—	04-09 17:19
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	129	$13.1K	7,517	9,695	-2,178	open	—	04-24 04:03
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	147	$5.3K	7,766	5,588	+2,178	open	—	05-14 23:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	89	$5.0K	17,990	8,762	+9,228	open	—	05-19 00:03
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	48	$4.2K	9,152	2,870	+6,282	open	—	05-17 08:35
Will Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?	74	$3.1K	4,422	2,430	+1,992	open	—	05-14 23:20
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	54	$3.0K	1,787	1,982	-195	open	—	05-04 08:40
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	53	$1.3K	1,218	667	+550	open	—	04-23 09:00
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?	10	$619	100	700	-600	open	—	03-04 21:24
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	37	$610	1,620	1,546	+74	open	—	04-20 08:20
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	8	$527	300	420	-120	open	—	06-04 01:17
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	3	$166	170	0	+170	Yes	+$4	05-14 02:03
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	25	$161	649	0	+649	Yes	+$487	04-28 10:22
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	7	$137	376	0	+376	open	—	06-10 07:04
will galbot have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	4	$107	74	42	+32	open	—	02-14 10:18
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 07:09
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$51	308	0	+308	open	—	04-15 06:28
deepseek v4 released by april 24	5	$36	210	0	+210	open	—	04-24 04:17
lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	5	$29	216	67	+149	open	—	06-07 09:44
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	4	$22	100	100	+0	open	—	06-03 17:42
lol tes we 2026 06 07	2	$20	545	0	+545	open	—	06-07 11:28
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	1	$16	200	0	+200	open	—	06-02 05:03
lol jdg al 2026 02 26	2	$16	26	0	+26	open	—	02-26 13:30
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	2	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	06-06 02:46
lol wb al 2026 03 05	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	03-05 12:35
lol wb al 2026 02 04	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	02-04 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 07:04:27	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x8d3bbe…
06-09 16:40:04	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x17c489…
06-08 03:47:39	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	38¢	$35	0x6d9006…
06-08 03:47:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	37¢	$33	0xca2c65…
06-07 11:28:33	lol tes we 2026 06 07	Team WE	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x69ef7d…
06-07 11:16:04	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game3	Team WE	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x153905…
06-07 10:26:48	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game2	Team WE	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2d0388…
06-07 09:53:33	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game2	Team WE	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x709ba0…
06-07 09:44:06	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	Team WE	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x182ad3…
06-07 09:43:19	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	Team WE	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x9b2f07…
06-07 09:39:39	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	Team WE	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xdfd776…
06-07 09:36:46	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	Team WE	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0xdacc5f…
06-07 09:33:39	lol tes we 2026 06 07 game1	Team WE	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x07853c…
06-06 02:46:01	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd43c36…
06-05 02:06:00	lol tes we 2026 06 07	Team WE	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xc5377b…
06-05 02:04:43	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	36¢	$24	0xdaae1d…
06-05 02:04:21	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x095683…
06-04 23:22:34	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x0ad73d…
06-04 04:43:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x371f94…
06-04 01:17:40	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	68	83¢	$56	0xd4bba7…
06-04 01:16:55	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	152	83¢	$126	0x9b56a0…
06-04 01:16:37	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	84	83¢	$70	0x60caef…
06-04 01:16:30	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0xf7600c…
06-03 17:42:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0xe1fc72…
06-03 16:51:42	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	105	70¢	$74	0xccb6c3…
06-03 10:23:22	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xf2609d…
06-03 10:23:17	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x5f5869…
06-03 09:10:30	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x69ba06…
06-03 09:02:31	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe2464c…
06-03 08:14:53	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	6¢	$4	0x6e3cbd…
06-03 04:33:03	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0xac0575…
06-03 03:51:22	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x1de7f6…
06-02 11:53:16	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0xc17ca2…
06-02 11:34:03	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x78c6d2…
06-02 11:16:42	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x1cd825…
06-02 11:16:22	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xfae3d6…
06-02 05:03:08	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	EDward Gaming	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xf3da47…
05-19 00:03:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$12	0xaa1d42…
05-17 08:35:35	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xe3d2d6…
05-17 08:16:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$25	0xa4cec3…
05-17 08:15:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$25	0x3a125e…
05-17 08:15:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	700	2¢	$17	0x5998ae…
05-17 07:56:43	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	495	2¢	$7	0xf05978…
05-17 07:53:04	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x314790…
05-17 07:52:50	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x262549…
05-17 07:52:48	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xc81496…
05-17 07:49:25	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0xa873a5…
05-17 07:44:08	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xfd391c…
05-17 07:43:53	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	300	4¢	$13	0xaddfb3…
05-17 07:43:42	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0xba1b78…
05-17 06:44:52	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x40822a…
05-17 06:28:32	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x5f2de2…
05-17 06:14:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	981	2¢	$17	0x99fe07…
05-17 06:11:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8965d2…
05-17 06:01:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x1c5f35…
05-17 05:58:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9ef261…
05-17 05:54:07	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x3125bc…
05-17 05:21:15	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xbf1d30…
05-17 05:12:27	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	484	70¢	$339	0x121158…
05-17 05:04:25	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	416	64¢	$266	0x8a68d7…
05-17 04:12:37	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	300	61¢	$183	0x35242d…
05-17 00:53:32	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,330	100¢	$1,329	0xa1c353…
05-17 00:52:08	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,581	100¢	$3,577	0x224837…
05-17 00:51:47	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	932	100¢	$931	0x10f0d4…
05-16 22:07:31	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x81303f…
05-16 22:07:12	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x643a26…
05-16 20:35:21	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	18	64¢	$12	0x767e08…
05-16 20:08:57	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	18	64¢	$12	0x321c86…
05-16 19:39:58	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	147	63¢	$93	0x9fac74…
05-16 19:39:30	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xf243d3…
05-16 18:39:33	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	19	60¢	$11	0x451417…
05-16 18:38:57	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	57	60¢	$34	0x591d63…
05-16 18:38:29	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5d3a46…
05-16 18:35:18	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	115	60¢	$69	0x4d1cc5…
05-16 17:22:16	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	79	63¢	$50	0x613c14…
05-16 17:18:02	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xc84aac…
05-16 17:10:29	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xd21f76…
05-16 17:07:09	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0xb7529b…
05-16 13:40:45	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	59	45¢	$26	0xfc79de…
05-16 13:32:54	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x73fe92…
05-16 13:29:33	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xedd1fe…
05-16 13:28:38	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xc6db21…
05-16 12:13:50	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x119c2f…
05-16 12:02:01	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x564070…
05-16 11:55:38	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	550	100¢	$549	0xdb01ab…
05-16 11:55:22	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,101	100¢	$1,100	0x7c169b…
05-16 11:49:30	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,243	100¢	$3,240	0xad8d1b…
05-16 11:46:21	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9,631	100¢	$9,621	0x992446…
05-16 09:07:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x576bb8…
05-16 09:07:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0x3fab00…
05-16 09:07:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,000	4¢	$76	0xd5388a…
05-16 09:06:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5693d1…
05-16 09:06:47	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	615	4¢	$23	0x61e792…
05-16 08:46:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xf52eac…
05-16 08:46:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x404fba…
05-16 08:46:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,439	4¢	$56	0xbdaac2…
05-16 08:45:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	441	4¢	$17	0x24d1b9…
05-16 08:13:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	409	4¢	$17	0xd7bef8…
05-16 08:13:09	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0xa3ea4b…
05-16 08:12:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xf5b849…