Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
76,027
lifetime
Volume
$1.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
99%
Politics
0%
Other
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 5698 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +99 $57 57¢ $56 $-1 06-29 23:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +66 $55 84¢ $55 +$0 06-30 00:37
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +58 $49 86¢ $50 +$0 06-30 04:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +56 $51 86¢ $48 $-3 06-25 06:44
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +63 $50 73¢ $46 $-4 06-27 12:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +52 $45 86¢ $45 +$0 06-25 00:26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +66 $50 66¢ $44 $-6 06-30 08:50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +48 $41 86¢ $42 +$0 06-27 06:25
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +62 $41 66¢ $41 $-0 06-30 12:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +47 $40 86¢ $40 +$0 06-26 07:48
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +43 $40 93¢ $40 +$0 06-30 14:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +52 $38 74¢ $39 +$1 06-26 09:07
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +43 $37 86¢ $37 $-0 06-27 17:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +42 $33 80¢ $34 +$1 06-28 23:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +38 $33 88¢ $33 +$0 06-29 17:04
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +39 $32 84¢ $33 +$1 06-29 21:06
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +38 $31 84¢ $32 +$1 06-27 06:13
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +36 $30 86¢ $31 +$1 06-29 18:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +42 $29 70¢ $29 $-0 06-26 21:20
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +34 $29 85¢ $29 +$0 06-30 15:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +31 $28 92¢ $28 +$1 06-30 07:55
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +34 $28 83¢ $28 +$0 06-26 03:27
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +27 $24 90¢ $24 +$0 06-30 17:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +26 $24 92¢ $24 +$0 06-29 07:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +39 $24 59¢ $23 $-1 06-29 02:10
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +39 $25 58¢ $23 $-2 06-26 09:37
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +25 $21 86¢ $21 +$1 06-29 02:39
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +27 $23 75¢ $20 $-2 06-29 19:30
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +22 $19 88¢ $19 +$0 06-28 02:00
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +43 $21 44¢ $19 $-2 06-27 18:37