Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$620

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

34.9%

Resolved

394

Trades

1,362

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$84

12 positions

First seen

2026-08-11

last 10-14 21:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

73% 27% -$439

Politics

19% 30% -$95

Tech

7% 26% -$68

Sports

0% 25% -$15

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?	Yes	+20	$18	96¢	$19	+$1	08-17 03:09
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?	No	+20	$6	63¢	$13	+$6	08-15 04:48
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?	Yes	+20	$7	60¢	$12	+$5	08-15 01:39
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	+20	$17	57¢	$12	-$5	09-24 20:02
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	+20	$8	50¢	$10	+$2	09-28 05:18
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	+20	$9	26¢	$5	-$4	09-27 13:06
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	+20	$9	25¢	$5	-$4	09-24 14:34
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?	Yes	+15	$5	26¢	$4	-$1	09-24 22:33
Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?	No	+20	$9	15¢	$3	-$6	08-15 04:51
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	No	+20	$12	8¢	$2	-$10	08-20 13:52
Will Chen Pin-an win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?	Yes	+20	$9	2¢	$0	-$9	08-14 13:09
Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?	No	+20	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	08-19 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	19	$203	180	180	+0	Yes	+$1	09-28 12:10
Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	16	$117	101	81	+20	No	-$7	08-13 03:00
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	12	$114	120	120	+0	Yes	-$2	08-19 18:00
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	14	$109	122	122	+0	Yes	-$6	09-24 14:39
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	12	$93	108	108	+0	Yes	+$3	10-01 11:21
Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?	11	$90	92	92	+0	Yes	+$1	08-15 02:54
Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?	12	$82	101	81	+20	Yes	-$8	08-21 03:00
Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal	10	$80	71	71	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:58
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	10	$79	100	80	+20	No	-$1	08-19 18:36
will the end of oak street score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260810194028625	8	$73	45	45	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 09:02
lula flips bolsonaro for brazil president by september 30	4	$72	40	40	+0	No	-$1	09-26 07:46
lula or bolsonaro favored on october 3	5	$70	40	40	+0	Bolsonaro	+$0	09-26 07:46
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	8	$68	62	60	+2	Yes	$0	09-28 08:45
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	6	$68	60	60	+0	open	—	08-17 06:49
Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?	9	$67	64	64	+0	open	—	08-19 05:43
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	4	$65	60	20	+40	Yes	-$11	08-14 07:10
Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award?	6	$64	60	60	+0	open	—	08-16 10:47
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	5	$63	60	40	+20	No	-$3	09-27 00:06
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$63	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	09-27 12:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	6	$63	60	60	+0	No	-$1	09-26 21:29
will mutiny score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	6	$62	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	08-20 17:34
charizard ex price up down on august 31 20260814122817115	10	$62	60	60	+0	Over	+$1	08-16 02:35
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	5	$61	40	40	+0	No	-$6	08-18 00:26
Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	4	$61	40	40	+0	No	+$0	09-26 00:08
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12 and 14 million views on day 1?	8	$60	60	47	+13	Yes	-$6	08-16 07:31
will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1490	6	$59	60	60	+0	No	+$0	08-14 09:30
Will There be 7-9 Knife Kills at CS2 EWC 2026?	9	$59	60	59	+1	No	+$6	08-21 13:55
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	5	$59	60	40	+20	Yes	-$2	09-26 02:31
will openais astra model debut on the arena leaderboard at a score of at least 1510	6	$59	80	40	+40	No	-$1	08-14 17:28
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 14 and 16 million views on day 1?	5	$58	80	3	+77	No	+$3	08-16 09:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 21:09:25	will taylor swifts monthly listeners figure hit 107m by october 31	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x4a70c5…
10-04 20:52:40	Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by October 15?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0xea9d5d…
10-03 11:44:44	Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xa8390c…
10-01 11:21:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x1f135f…
09-30 20:59:42	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x3033a6…
09-29 22:21:39	lula or bolsonaro favored on october 5	Bolsonaro	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xfe78d1…
09-29 22:11:33	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xe3dcbf…
09-28 18:08:06	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xc38cd7…
09-28 12:10:29	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xc5e860…
09-28 12:05:48	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x02dedb…
09-28 11:33:20	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4c1b67…
09-28 11:30:08	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x5028bd…
09-28 11:27:00	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xae1770…
09-28 11:17:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x16db0c…
09-28 11:17:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x04d193…
09-28 11:17:14	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xc30999…
09-28 11:17:11	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x715b08…
09-28 11:16:48	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x4cda73…
09-28 11:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 29?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd6659c…
09-28 09:26:11	Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x0de1f9…
09-28 08:55:56	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x973cb4…
09-28 08:45:45	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x4dec2e…
09-28 08:11:45	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x5c98ee…
09-28 07:16:47	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x767f09…
09-28 06:55:20	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xe8b87b…
09-28 06:01:17	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x1dc299…
09-28 05:37:57	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x2aeea6…
09-28 05:30:00	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xe16a8d…
09-28 05:18:12	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x8a469e…
09-28 04:30:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x3026d2…
09-28 04:26:42	no change flips hike 25 bps for october fed by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x3111f0…
09-28 04:24:39	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x86b971…
09-28 00:36:50	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x19867c…
09-27 22:48:17	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd44e8a…
09-27 22:12:32	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x33e144…
09-27 20:19:09	Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x369073…
09-27 19:32:03	Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc64181…
09-27 19:31:41	Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xd9a27d…
09-27 18:55:33	Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x06f3b0…
09-27 17:54:36	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 300k	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x7fda07…
09-27 17:49:08	trump renames ai by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x1b9027…
09-27 17:37:26	Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x91b9c0…
09-27 17:14:00	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x2df9ae…
09-27 16:57:30	Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xc3d13f…
09-27 16:15:09	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xc381d7…
09-27 15:40:12	will taylor swifts monthly listeners figure hit 107m by october 31	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x62c531…
09-27 15:27:23	will taylor swifts monthly listeners figure hit 104m by october 31	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xae9901…
09-27 15:08:00	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 200k	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x460bfd…
09-27 14:39:33	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x58fa0a…
09-27 14:21:35	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 250k	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$0	0x3c9736…
09-27 13:06:42	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd3062d…
09-27 12:49:59	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x41ffbc…
09-27 12:18:50	Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xe340b8…
09-27 11:34:14	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x261224…
09-27 11:31:50	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdbda4e…
09-27 11:28:30	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xc6de5c…
09-27 10:52:41	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xcdd65e…
09-27 09:46:27	Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x9e5d9d…
09-27 08:22:15	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x9ddf65…
09-27 08:12:36	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 400k	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x57a5eb…
09-27 08:12:20	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 400k	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x7de88c…
09-27 08:11:33	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc4d40b…
09-27 07:21:08	Will "The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x10ca2c…
09-27 06:42:29	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x2541d4…
09-27 06:27:54	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x2f4629…
09-27 06:24:26	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x8c9f4c…
09-27 04:18:02	Will Wildcard Win the iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xdb0112…
09-27 03:28:09	Will Wildcard Win the iBUYPOWER Masters fl0m's Mythical LAN?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x3cce75…
09-27 02:58:11	Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1420fb…
09-27 02:43:15	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x0879c4…
09-27 02:11:50	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?	No	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x50560d…
09-27 02:10:59	Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa5b913…
09-27 01:42:41	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa7aafc…
09-27 01:26:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x8775eb…
09-27 01:25:23	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xe56617…
09-27 01:21:27	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x41c998…
09-27 01:11:41	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x59a79d…
09-27 00:58:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xe5ae9e…
09-27 00:58:08	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x559633…
09-27 00:06:00	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2160e6…
09-26 23:56:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x544dbe…
09-26 23:49:54	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x67eede…
09-26 23:49:36	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf94cbd…
09-26 23:14:09	Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x3bb434…
09-26 23:03:51	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xd961ff…
09-26 23:02:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xfb9a75…
09-26 22:16:21	will polo make landfall in mexico as a hurricane 1790286699101	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x8ffe73…
09-26 21:33:24	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3f2c0c…
09-26 21:29:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x645eeb…
09-26 21:21:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x7321bd…
09-26 20:07:14	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x1abb80…
09-26 19:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xabe7d8…
09-26 19:50:56	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x76156c…
09-26 19:24:23	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xaf0e43…
09-26 19:19:35	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x02e4e7…
09-26 18:37:21	Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4c9b4f…
09-26 18:25:09	Will "Best of the Best" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x3e8c75…
09-26 18:21:12	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x516009…
09-26 17:42:38	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xfc58e7…
09-26 17:41:03	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 400k	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xa76502…