Wrong-Urn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$311

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

851

Trades

24,505

lifetime

Volume

$128.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 08-10 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% +$311

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 958 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	36	$320	321	341	-20	open	—	08-02 23:41
will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	26	$256	238	238	+0	open	—	07-31 04:44
btc updown 5m 1782327900	13	$244	210	209	+1	open	—	06-24 19:09
btc updown 5m 1782828300	12	$237	226	226	+1	open	—	06-30 14:09
btc updown 5m 1782762000	12	$232	228	227	+1	open	—	06-29 19:43
btc updown 5m 1782922200	10	$208	195	195	+1	open	—	07-01 16:15
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	24	$191	180	180	+0	open	—	08-01 09:59
btc updown 5m 1782144900	11	$185	181	181	+1	open	—	06-22 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	18	$173	167	166	+1	open	—	05-20 17:19
will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	34	$171	195	195	+0	open	—	07-31 20:14
btc updown 5m 1782145200	12	$170	217	216	+1	open	—	06-22 16:24
btc updown 5m 1782752700	17	$168	267	266	+1	open	—	06-29 17:09
btc updown 5m 1782228000	11	$161	171	171	+1	open	—	06-23 15:23
btc updown 5m 1782324600	11	$158	171	171	+1	open	—	06-24 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	19	$155	169	168	+1	open	—	05-29 16:24
btc updown 5m 1782415200	11	$145	215	214	+1	open	—	06-25 19:24
btc updown 5m 1782147300	10	$144	173	173	+1	open	—	06-22 16:59
btc updown 5m 1782831300	8	$139	210	210	+0	open	—	06-30 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	16	$137	179	178	+1	open	—	06-02 19:09
btc updown 5m 1782330300	10	$136	136	135	+0	open	—	06-24 19:49
btc updown 5m 1782941700	11	$132	186	185	+1	open	—	07-01 21:39
btc updown 5m 1782999300	12	$131	225	225	+1	open	—	07-02 13:39
btc updown 5m 1782149100	6	$129	110	110	+0	open	—	06-22 17:29
btc updown 5m 1782503100	9	$127	167	131	+37	open	—	06-26 19:49
btc updown 5m 1783086900	8	$126	160	160	+0	open	—	07-03 13:59
btc updown 5m 1782147600	6	$125	112	112	+0	open	—	06-22 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	18	$125	157	156	+1	open	—	05-29 16:08
btc updown 5m 1782846000	11	$124	207	166	+41	open	—	06-30 19:04
btc updown 5m 1782503400	10	$123	171	170	+1	open	—	06-26 19:54
btc updown 5m 1782828000	6	$123	108	107	+0	open	—	06-30 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 03:15:27	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 40m at auction 20260804173205866	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xd37314…
08-10 01:39:45	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x007000…
08-10 01:39:42	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xea0179…
08-10 01:39:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 14 20260809003127366	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x8b2f74…
08-10 01:39:18	will m0nesy attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260805173412154	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xb799df…
08-10 01:30:12	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x260f67…
08-09 16:58:12	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x518999…
08-09 16:55:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x3961d0…
08-09 16:49:09	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xdc77e7…
08-09 16:46:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc7a64b…
08-09 16:45:10	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x1b2c2c…
08-09 16:43:54	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x9c45fc…
08-09 16:15:18	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xf393f4…
08-09 16:14:13	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0x055918…
08-09 14:41:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xfef1d6…
08-09 14:41:36	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0xe94367…
08-09 14:37:37	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc7c5ae…
08-09 14:34:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xf5d100…
08-09 14:24:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xe71a34…
08-09 13:24:57	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x0023f0…
08-09 11:08:28	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xdd0aef…
08-09 10:34:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3f9593…
08-09 08:57:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x9c21ab…
08-09 08:57:06	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x8592a9…
08-09 03:07:58	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x417f83…
08-09 02:53:21	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x794307…
08-09 02:45:16	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc62998…
08-09 02:12:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 26 20260808192512606	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x91e176…
08-09 01:36:30	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb33766…
08-09 01:19:55	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xf8d412…
08-09 01:13:43	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 14 20260809003127366	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x20f165…
08-08 19:30:43	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xf9b6cc…
08-08 16:56:28	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x12a420…
08-08 07:48:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0xefcfdb…
08-08 06:50:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xac3225…
08-08 06:47:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x6a1a6c…
08-08 05:45:03	will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432952	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x16fb39…
08-08 05:17:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x857507…
08-08 04:29:55	will ice cream man score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011213740	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x937c40…
08-08 04:29:54	will one night only score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011325571	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf6fc04…
08-08 04:29:51	will super troopers 3 score at least 80 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260804175312532	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x0d4fed…
08-08 04:29:48	will super troopers 3 score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805011231498	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x390bc9…
08-08 04:29:40	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6d6e36…
08-08 04:29:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x91cc0f…
08-08 04:29:25	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x1d0317…
08-08 04:29:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x0f9a78…
08-08 04:29:22	will russia capture shevchenko by october 31 20260805162837389	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x052320…
08-08 04:29:21	will tony score at least 96 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107433	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xc13ce7…
08-08 04:29:13	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 35m at auction 20260804173205865	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xee0af0…
08-08 04:28:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x4bc2e6…
08-08 04:28:48	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x0ee32b…
08-08 04:28:43	will barrett pfeiffer be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432949	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x96ea2d…
08-08 04:28:43	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x7bb449…
08-08 04:28:42	will russia capture shevchenko by august 31 20260805162837388	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x0ffa94…
08-08 02:34:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4b8b5e…
08-08 02:24:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x149cd6…
08-08 01:07:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xcb0003…
08-08 01:06:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xe7fed8…
08-08 01:00:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x563479…
08-08 00:56:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x42e452…
08-08 00:53:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xa060f1…
08-08 00:26:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x89a9c6…
08-08 00:14:27	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xfc132c…
08-07 23:20:52	will barrett pfeiffer be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432949	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc715ba…
08-07 22:59:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x0df373…
08-07 22:23:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x08b33c…
08-07 22:12:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe6b5d0…
08-07 20:17:07	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x762a22…
08-07 20:14:04	will melody morris be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432957	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb02947…
08-07 19:50:16	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xffbbf1…
08-07 19:47:24	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd5bf09…
08-07 19:01:57	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 40m at auction 20260804173205866	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x1cbc9a…
08-07 17:08:57	will drew campbell be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432951	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x6c3f92…
08-07 17:03:01	will super troopers 3 score at least 30 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173654501	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x5aeee2…
08-07 16:39:37	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x3c60cb…
08-07 16:08:46	will drew campbell be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432951	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xa973e5…
08-07 16:04:40	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbd18da…
08-07 16:04:37	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x62236f…
08-07 15:45:10	todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by october 31 20260608213258432	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2f3235…
08-07 15:40:16	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7ca145…
08-07 15:36:42	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6f4aaa…
08-07 15:21:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4cc38d…
08-07 15:03:10	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x44052b…
08-07 14:55:34	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x29baca…
08-07 14:49:37	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x02c659…
08-07 14:42:07	will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x1f8d22…
08-07 13:59:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x925958…
08-07 13:22:52	will tony score at least 94 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107431	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x897905…
08-07 13:06:00	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb64972…
08-07 12:05:34	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	20	53¢	$10	0x9272c6…
08-07 12:05:06	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x1c0c2c…
08-07 10:53:42	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x140792…
08-07 10:50:37	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x1085bb…
08-07 10:07:55	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x7469ef…
08-07 09:58:28	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x89f919…
08-07 09:04:34	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	SELL	13	50¢	$7	0x07886b…
08-07 08:59:37	will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb548f8…
08-07 08:45:46	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x3e13b2…
08-07 05:38:52	will tony score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260806170107432	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x473aa1…
08-07 05:34:54	will super troopers 3 score at least 35 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260805173713611	No	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0xe0bbc0…