Secondary-Confectionery 0xdf34a7…12dc86
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.24K
Unrealized P&L
-$603
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
155
Trades
2,233
lifetime
Volume
$114.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$9.98K
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-28 20:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Politics
48% 62% +$2,211
Other
47% 61% +$1,064
Tech
3% 40% -$19
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$28
Sports
0% 0% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,397 $2,241 94¢ $2.3K +$23 10-26 20:53
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,267 $843 99¢ $1.3K +$411 10-16 10:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,415 $899 83¢ $1.2K +$275 10-23 23:53
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +781 $562 98¢ $768 +$206 09-13 19:08
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +589 $270 76¢ $450 +$180 10-12 23:28
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? No +444 $160 100¢ $444 +$284 09-19 02:21
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +493 $380 86¢ $426 +$46 10-28 20:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +412 $287 98¢ $404 +$118 10-12 23:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +467 $331 76¢ $357 +$26 10-25 21:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +537 $340 65¢ $349 +$9 09-20 12:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +447 $333 74¢ $333 +$0 10-19 13:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +348 $160 90¢ $314 +$153 09-20 12:26
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +1,166 $601 24¢ $274 -$327 10-23 23:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +1,300 $248 16¢ $201 -$47 10-26 20:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +469 $169 35¢ $164 -$5 10-25 21:52
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +503 $155 29¢ $146 -$9 10-28 20:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +335 $176 39¢ $132 -$44 10-19 13:18
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +914 $338 14¢ $123 -$215 09-13 19:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +99 $56 97¢ $96 +$40 09-25 16:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +300 $184 31¢ $94 -$90 10-27 19:06
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? No +64 $45 99¢ $63 +$18 09-20 08:42
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +224 $203 26¢ $59 -$143 09-18 21:48
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +33 $24 96¢ $32 +$8 09-21 00:48
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $34 15¢ $13 -$21 09-20 08:42
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +1,242 $1,200 1¢ $12 -$1,188 09-28 08:56
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +216 $60 4¢ $10 -$50 08-14 16:54
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +300 $164 3¢ $8 -$156 10-25 10:14
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? No +16 $8 45¢ $7 -$1 07-20 15:24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +106 $111 5¢ $6 -$105 10-20 14:53