Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
745
lifetime
Volume
$1.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$135
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-05 23:21
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
45%
Other
37%
Crypto
9%
Tech
6%
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -55 $-33 84¢ $-46 $-13 07-03 17:28
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -25 $-20 85¢ $-21 $-2 06-04 15:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-8 64¢ $-10 $-2 06-19 03:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 84¢ $-8 $-2 06-14 21:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -50 $-21 16¢ $-8 +$13 07-03 05:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-8 70¢ $-7 +$1 06-28 20:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -15 $-7 36¢ $-5 +$1 06-27 13:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-04 23:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 88¢ $-4 $-0 06-05 21:12
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -25 $-6 15¢ $-4 +$2 06-04 14:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-2 30¢ $-3 $-1 06-26 04:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-3 56¢ $-3 $-0 07-05 08:45
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -5 $-3 52¢ $-3 +$0 06-14 02:11
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 48¢ $-2 $-0 06-14 06:11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 44¢ $-2 +$0 07-05 07:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -5 $-1 29¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 22:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 16¢ $-1 +$1 06-13 19:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-05 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-05 06:26