Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$28
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
430
lifetime
Volume
$9.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$455
11 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-16 15:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
86%
Other
11%
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +198 $100 70¢ $138 +$38 06-20 18:57
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +141 $84 64¢ $90 +$6 07-15 19:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +87 $50 64¢ $56 +$7 07-06 01:17
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +64 $50 78¢ $50 +$0 07-03 22:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +56 $50 78¢ $44 $-6 06-15 00:01
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +54 $20 36¢ $19 $-1 07-06 19:05
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +43 $29 31¢ $13 $-16 07-11 17:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +103 $16 12¢ $13 $-3 07-14 15:49
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +85 $12 15¢ $12 +$0 07-13 18:23
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +13 $9 80¢ $10 +$2 06-24 16:57
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +29 $8 30¢ $9 +$1 07-13 22:24