Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$673

Unrealized P&L

+$539

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

2,368

lifetime

Volume

$57.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$2.64K

30 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 10-28 04:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

69% 58% +$382

Other

30% 49% +$210

Sports

0% 100% +$81

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+362	$237	66¢	$241	+$4	10-27 04:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+422	$202	49¢	$207	+$4	10-25 22:17
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	+638	$239	32¢	$201	-$38	10-21 18:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+569	$246	35¢	$201	-$45	10-25 01:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+367	$240	54¢	$196	-$44	10-27 04:58
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	+172	$99	94¢	$163	+$64	09-26 17:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+234	$65	65¢	$151	+$86	10-05 22:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+190	$107	64¢	$120	+$13	10-27 21:11
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+159	$115	72¢	$114	-$1	10-21 23:58
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	No	+133	$61	86¢	$114	+$53	10-15 16:28
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+112	$78	99¢	$111	+$33	10-27 20:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+131	$109	82¢	$107	-$2	10-26 21:06
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	+116	$78	87¢	$101	+$23	10-20 13:37
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+101	$64	66¢	$67	+$4	10-27 19:48
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	+66	-$127	93¢	$62	+$189	09-29 17:19
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+86	$31	71¢	$61	+$30	09-09 17:59
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	No	+61	-$13	88¢	$54	+$67	10-15 16:27
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+158	$52	31¢	$50	-$2	10-27 16:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+54	$32	79¢	$42	+$11	09-09 01:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+214	$53	18¢	$40	-$14	08-02 03:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	+40	$26	80¢	$32	+$6	10-07 16:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+70	$21	40¢	$28	+$8	10-26 06:49
next white house press secretary announced by november 30 2026	No	+42	$24	66¢	$28	+$4	10-26 16:03
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	+159	$24	17¢	$27	+$3	10-26 16:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+29	-$30	90¢	$26	+$57	08-28 19:36
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?	No	+30	$23	82¢	$24	+$1	10-12 19:07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	+34	$20	52¢	$18	-$2	10-21 19:21
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	+18	-$20	92¢	$17	+$37	10-05 19:37
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	+31	$17	55¢	$17	$0	10-27 16:23
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	+26	$26	61¢	$16	-$10	10-27 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	62	$3.2K	2,399	2,399	+0	open	—	10-15 16:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	31	$2.4K	1,816	1,816	+0	open	—	10-24 20:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	48	$1.5K	1,634	1,039	+595	No	-$143	09-17 19:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	33	$1.4K	1,351	1,162	+190	open	—	10-27 21:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	76	$1.4K	1,268	923	+345	open	—	10-26 21:06
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	29	$1.3K	1,030	686	+344	open	—	09-26 17:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	30	$1.1K	1,638	1,576	+62	Yes	+$264	06-15 02:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	49	$968	1,516	1,035	+481	Yes	+$56	09-14 17:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	28	$949	681	526	+155	Yes	+$41	09-28 01:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	20	$880	1,360	1,360	+0	No	-$24	10-08 16:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	37	$843	1,215	799	+417	Yes	+$62	06-14 22:29
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	34	$775	775	645	+129	No	+$110	08-12 02:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	8	$768	726	359	+367	open	—	10-27 04:58
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	12	$754	731	541	+190	Yes	-$179	09-07 20:25
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	12	$738	728	728	+0	Yes	-$11	09-04 18:19
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	30	$690	493	360	+133	open	—	10-15 16:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	13	$660	1,200	397	+803	open	—	10-25 01:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	19	$616	855	855	+0	open	—	10-27 20:36
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	32	$575	978	243	+734	Yes	+$97	08-04 01:26
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	35	$572	446	283	+163	open	—	10-20 13:37
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?	20	$529	344	344	+0	open	—	09-23 17:33
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	76	$528	373	336	+36	open	—	10-05 19:37
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	17	$510	530	530	+0	Yes	+$9	09-25 19:30
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?	55	$503	365	365	+0	open	—	09-14 18:17
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	9	$500	349	272	+77	No	-$25	09-22 18:06
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	5	$489	292	292	+0	open	—	10-09 08:55
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	5	$485	329	329	+0	open	—	10-11 14:28
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	4	$484	335	335	+0	open	—	10-02 17:20
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?	7	$482	326	326	+0	open	—	10-03 10:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	34	$481	632	332	+300	No	-$18	06-18 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:28:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	47	37¢	$18	0x974e7f…
10-28 00:46:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	47	33¢	$16	0xd322eb…
10-28 00:43:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	112	71¢	$80	0x368aa8…
10-27 22:56:44	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	79¢	$14	0x636aaa…
10-27 21:11:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	190	63¢	$119	0x6aebde…
10-27 20:36:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	40¢	$28	0x5aabdc…
10-27 20:25:05	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xf2befe…
10-27 20:25:00	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xc9e188…
10-27 20:24:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	27	79¢	$21	0x78b05c…
10-27 20:19:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	149	80¢	$119	0x31e09d…
10-27 20:11:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$25	0x747358…
10-27 20:01:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x07772c…
10-27 19:48:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	101	63¢	$64	0xfb6ac8…
10-27 19:42:03	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	295	31¢	$91	0x445e9a…
10-27 16:55:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4da497…
10-27 16:23:41	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x70899a…
10-27 16:11:32	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf4536d…
10-27 16:11:32	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x86ed59…
10-27 16:00:30	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0xd27ca6…
10-27 16:00:30	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	65	33¢	$22	0x50b8a4…
10-27 16:00:30	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0x15fc31…
10-27 15:43:50	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x14436d…
10-27 15:03:26	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x27ae13…
10-27 15:02:51	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xa1a5f3…
10-27 14:44:30	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xd349df…
10-27 14:07:27	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xcac8a5…
10-27 13:28:32	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xfb0d35…
10-27 13:22:32	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x251a41…
10-27 12:19:15	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x17495c…
10-27 11:37:02	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x87a773…
10-27 08:39:27	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	53	64¢	$34	0xab0d85…
10-27 08:15:41	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	54	64¢	$35	0x004777…
10-27 07:41:45	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0xdf67d0…
10-27 07:07:20	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xda938f…
10-27 06:49:59	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	1	64¢	$0	0x5b62ea…
10-27 06:46:05	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x755a66…
10-27 06:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xf76c7e…
10-27 06:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x012c30…
10-27 06:24:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x1a7836…
10-27 05:46:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x95b834…
10-27 05:33:30	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x27b1a3…
10-27 05:32:06	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	151	64¢	$96	0x586899…
10-27 05:30:12	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0x3d43d7…
10-27 05:29:54	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x8c3b06…
10-27 04:58:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xf292a6…
10-27 04:57:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	88	27¢	$24	0x26c687…
10-27 04:56:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	206	27¢	$56	0xc11006…
10-27 04:54:17	Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x74a19b…
10-27 04:50:03	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	178	67¢	$119	0x63c6db…
10-27 04:48:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xfb12b7…
10-27 01:58:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x4a39b8…
10-27 01:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x6a19a3…
10-27 01:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x266b12…
10-27 01:09:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x1f0e2f…
10-27 00:59:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x29bbcd…
10-26 22:37:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xe4ce62…
10-26 22:25:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x27c9e7…
10-26 21:59:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	150	48¢	$72	0xf7171a…
10-26 21:55:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	201	48¢	$96	0xa4fd5a…
10-26 21:06:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xa91ac4…
10-26 21:06:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x4fef26…
10-26 20:51:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xd35320…
10-26 20:41:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xcb6651…
10-26 20:24:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	166	72¢	$119	0x1d7e23…
10-26 20:22:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	80¢	$15	0x0d5f5d…
10-26 20:16:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xc468df…
10-26 18:39:20	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0x8463b8…
10-26 18:00:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	182	73¢	$133	0xec297a…
10-26 16:46:03	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x79490e…
10-26 16:14:18	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	159	15¢	$24	0xf39e1a…
10-26 16:03:08	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xc3029c…
10-26 14:52:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x1ef983…
10-26 14:32:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x57e9ad…
10-26 14:31:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x5b2712…
10-26 14:08:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xfc357a…
10-26 13:31:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x9c1f4e…
10-26 12:58:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xe25607…
10-26 12:45:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x5e2ce6…
10-26 12:44:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x31e0a6…
10-26 11:48:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x58fc8e…
10-26 11:30:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$4	0x33a7c3…
10-26 11:23:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x2bf78f…
10-26 10:52:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xf59223…
10-26 09:53:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$0	0xe045be…
10-26 09:27:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xb4f85e…
10-26 09:26:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x66f8b1…
10-26 08:59:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x1c202c…
10-26 08:57:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xaedd34…
10-26 08:34:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x525555…
10-26 07:51:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xc4ad67…
10-26 07:05:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x1ba8c4…
10-26 07:04:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x50881b…
10-26 06:49:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x56b639…
10-26 06:17:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xa93f7b…
10-26 06:13:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x717730…
10-25 23:52:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x844b71…
10-25 22:17:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0xd27af6…
10-25 22:17:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x2e5ba5…
10-25 22:05:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x184392…
10-25 21:53:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xedfd38…