(anonymous) 0x86f062…9a610c
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$86
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
48.2%
Resolved
241
Trades
1,102
lifetime
Volume
$13.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.03K
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-18 08:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Sports
70% 50% -$181
Politics
18% 56% +$266
Other
13% 46% -$171
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +116 $50 90¢ $105 +$55 09-18 19:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +75 $50 96¢ $72 +$22 09-07 00:46
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +102 $50 66¢ $68 +$18 09-13 21:42
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +166 $50 40¢ $66 +$16 09-15 18:23
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +91 $50 68¢ $62 +$12 09-18 16:31
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +75 $50 72¢ $54 +$4 09-11 13:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +82 $50 66¢ $54 +$4 09-18 20:55
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +55 $30 94¢ $51 +$21 10-11 02:34
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +52 $30 96¢ $49 +$19 09-26 02:20
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +45 $30 100¢ $45 +$15 10-12 18:54
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +136 $50 32¢ $43 -$7 09-10 23:29
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +94 $30 44¢ $42 +$12 10-13 04:23
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +59 $30 70¢ $41 +$11 10-13 06:23
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +96 $30 38¢ $36 +$7 09-25 16:44
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +102 $50 34¢ $35 -$15 09-05 18:33
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +56 $30 57¢ $32 +$3 09-23 20:17
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +102 $50 30¢ $31 -$19 09-15 02:22
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +41 $29 75¢ $31 +$2 09-27 07:40
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? No +45 $30 66¢ $29 -$1 10-12 20:52
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +43 $30 65¢ $28 -$2 10-09 23:53
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +82 $50 26¢ $21 -$29 09-07 22:25
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? No +100 $50 18¢ $18 -$31 09-10 16:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +161 $50 6¢ $10 -$40 09-08 23:20
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +5 $2 63¢ $3 +$1 10-01 11:01