Striking-Saucer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$266

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,462

lifetime

Volume

$1.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$464

Open exposure

$773

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-07 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

62% 67% +$583

Other

29% 100% +$136

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

3% 57% $-9,953

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No		-879	$-508	88¢	$-773	$-266	05-31 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$50.7K	27,912	27,912	+0	open	—	05-05 15:20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	27	$46.1K	34,984	14,762	+20,222	open	—	03-10 12:44
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	98	$39.8K	35,245	15,423	+19,822	open	—	02-02 20:05
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	38	$39.3K	19,970	28,876	-8,906	open	—	03-10 00:03
netanyahu out by march 31 854	26	$38.2K	19,676	20,000	-324	open	—	03-22 23:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	106	$35.0K	92,641	92,641	+0	No	+$578	05-07 22:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$32.6K	32,820	20,004	+12,816	open	—	04-09 08:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	30	$27.1K	14,901	14,901	+0	open	—	05-20 17:59
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$26.2K	16,424	16,424	+0	open	—	02-28 07:02
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$25.3K	25,138	1,076	+24,063	open	—	04-30 20:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$24.9K	25,030	0	+25,030	open	—	06-03 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	20	$24.1K	12,673	12,673	+0	open	—	04-11 10:00
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	39	$23.0K	11,727	11,727	+0	open	—	03-08 21:23
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	43	$22.4K	14,767	10,000	+4,767	open	—	02-27 17:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	38	$21.8K	21,766	11,627	+10,139	open	—	03-08 21:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	18	$21.7K	21,605	16,605	+5,000	open	—	05-26 05:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	23	$21.3K	12,367	12,367	+0	open	—	04-21 16:16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	11	$21.2K	21,355	0	+21,355	open	—	04-08 20:53
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	5	$19.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-12 14:01
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	10	$19.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	01-07 17:13
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	21	$18.8K	11,000	11,000	+0	open	—	02-23 14:36
bitboy convicted	135	$17.8K	17,649	20,735	-3,086	open	—	03-31 08:30
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	40	$17.3K	14,041	14,041	+0	open	—	05-26 16:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	3	$15.9K	8,111	8,111	+0	open	—	04-21 16:16
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$14.9K	10,000	5,000	+5,000	open	—	02-23 10:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$13.8K	11,940	11,940	+0	open	—	05-17 12:55
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	9	$13.3K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:59
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	3	$12.0K	8,500	3,500	+5,000	open	—	02-19 16:06
trump announces military action against iran durring sotu	2	$10.8K	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	02-25 04:01
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$10.4K	11,134	923	+10,211	open	—	02-24 21:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 20:48:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	558	84¢	$469	0xe71946…
06-07 20:45:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	558	85¢	$473	0x7ae563…
06-07 19:50:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2,651	47¢	$1,234	0x401aa2…
06-07 19:10:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	6,000	41¢	$2,435	0xbfe72e…
06-07 19:07:22	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x774733…
06-07 19:06:27	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	459	69¢	$316	0x7dc99c…
06-07 19:03:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,300	61¢	$788	0x0ea863…
06-07 19:03:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,000	60¢	$601	0x632fff…
06-07 19:02:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	465	59¢	$274	0x0465f8…
06-07 19:02:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	13	59¢	$7	0x82c470…
06-07 19:02:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	322	59¢	$190	0xc73dcf…
06-07 19:02:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x9b33ab…
06-07 18:52:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,719	42¢	$722	0xec8cec…
06-07 18:51:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0x8e8c72…
06-07 18:51:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	476	42¢	$200	0xadca96…
06-07 18:46:45	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	235	47¢	$111	0x1ee594…
06-07 18:46:43	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	479	47¢	$225	0x08b159…
06-07 18:46:37	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	141	47¢	$66	0x497d68…
06-07 18:46:24	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	144	47¢	$68	0x9b25d3…
06-07 18:45:34	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x89db5d…
06-07 18:45:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x116010…
06-07 18:34:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	375	35¢	$131	0x43da8d…
06-07 18:09:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,800	15¢	$270	0xcf08fc…
06-07 18:09:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	168	15¢	$25	0xa9ee64…
06-07 18:09:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	355	15¢	$53	0xe69d48…
06-07 18:07:27	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	808	15¢	$121	0x79c202…
06-07 18:07:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x6eb543…
06-07 18:07:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	353	15¢	$53	0x99d9dc…
06-07 18:06:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf95bc8…
06-07 18:06:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x14b80b…
06-07 18:06:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x0254a5…
06-07 18:06:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x64a3a2…
06-07 18:05:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,488	14¢	$209	0x80252d…
06-07 17:59:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0xeb0bf7…
06-07 17:59:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	320	20¢	$64	0x042ebf…
06-07 15:49:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	112	6¢	$7	0xe4022e…
06-07 13:29:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6,674	3¢	$200	0x1df74d…
06-07 13:20:21	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0x56d364…
06-06 17:50:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0xa16e6b…
06-06 17:29:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x4a1b28…
06-06 17:09:55	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	2,788	4¢	$101	0x6735ac…
06-06 16:51:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0xe6ae0a…
06-06 16:51:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	2,722	4¢	$106	0x58f1d4…
06-06 16:34:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5,616	4¢	$225	0x29c8bf…
06-05 17:10:31	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,269	95¢	$2,153	0xfab398…
06-05 14:26:22	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	94¢	$467	0x6bf382…
06-05 13:44:48	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	270	91¢	$246	0xd639a2…
06-05 13:44:48	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	142	91¢	$129	0x4ae7c0…
06-05 13:42:13	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0xff6f42…
06-05 12:50:03	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x3cfd4f…
06-05 12:21:36	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	488	92¢	$449	0x7dec8c…
06-05 11:12:34	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	87¢	$434	0x78dea9…
06-05 10:40:21	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	211	88¢	$185	0xc3fb0c…
06-05 10:40:06	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	289	88¢	$255	0xa6949b…
06-03 21:41:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,955	0x4d42b7…
06-03 19:09:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,030	100¢	$10,000	0xb5e0a7…
06-03 10:43:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,952	83¢	$4,940	0x9182fe…
06-03 10:31:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	5,952	84¢	$5,000	0x5f32a0…
06-02 22:22:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,950	0x248bc3…
06-02 22:12:23	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xfab270…
06-02 21:48:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,040	11¢	$109	0x6cb8a8…
06-02 21:04:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,955	0xc61c91…
06-01 06:13:07	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	1,151	15¢	$170	0xf8c826…
05-31 17:40:40	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	879	58¢	$508	0x50fa09…
05-31 17:19:23	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	192	79¢	$152	0xe6b6a3…
05-31 17:08:58	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	BUY	192	69¢	$132	0x94350e…
05-29 19:28:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,533	8¢	$283	0xc4658f…
05-29 19:27:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,533	70¢	$2,473	0xf00bf8…
05-29 18:33:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,533	14¢	$495	0xdadc26…
05-29 18:32:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,533	50¢	$1,758	0x57821a…
05-28 10:22:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	922	8¢	$74	0x605172…
05-28 10:11:15	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0xb7fd9e…
05-28 03:46:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0xe7b5f7…
05-28 03:46:06	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	65	10¢	$6	0xa96984…
05-28 03:34:28	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	91	10¢	$9	0x79a8e5…
05-28 03:31:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0xe6b93a…
05-28 03:29:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	34	10¢	$3	0x0edc92…
05-28 03:29:36	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xce4096…
05-28 03:25:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	286	10¢	$27	0x9acf2f…
05-28 03:12:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	215	10¢	$22	0xa9c10a…
05-28 02:44:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,003	7¢	$140	0xd05f97…
05-27 20:45:15	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	612	3¢	$18	0x79aad5…
05-27 18:50:08	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	194	3¢	$6	0x3c118e…
05-27 18:10:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	4,500	100¢	$4,486	0xf7b73b…
05-27 16:30:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	837	81¢	$680	0xed965e…
05-27 16:17:23	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x8feba6…
05-27 15:02:01	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x37a03a…
05-27 15:00:37	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x70b8ce…
05-27 14:12:51	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0ecce9…
05-27 11:50:59	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	966	4¢	$39	0x8eda78…
05-27 11:19:48	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x295c4e…
05-27 11:13:30	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2d6b7c…
05-26 16:02:47	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	70¢	$106	0x4eb1f3…
05-26 15:59:17	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,866	58¢	$1,082	0x34dfeb…
05-26 15:57:04	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x30589d…
05-26 15:57:02	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	58¢	$348	0x2e29bf…
05-26 15:56:36	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,284	58¢	$1,325	0xd7a0d4…
05-26 15:56:30	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	58¢	$30	0xaa94b3…
05-26 15:55:34	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	304	58¢	$176	0x9cbf06…
05-26 15:24:03	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,895	54¢	$1,023	0x6a5fcf…