Grave-Atelier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

3,377

Trades

21,231

lifetime

Volume

$371.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$514

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 290 days

Categories

Other

68% 34% +$220

Politics

23% 36% -$1,505

Tech

5% 35% +$97

Sports

3% 22% -$250

Crypto

0% 13% -$11

Pop-Culture

0% 17% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	+257	$192	82¢	$210	+$18	10-27 06:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	+890	$123	14¢	$120	-$3	10-26 15:33
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	No	+50	$46	100¢	$50	+$4	06-09 05:19
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	+50	$8	99¢	$50	+$41	10-18 15:42
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	+257	$68	18¢	$46	-$22	10-27 13:51
houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	No	+36	$30	82¢	$30	+$0	09-11 11:41
houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	+36	$12	18¢	$6	-$6	09-11 13:40
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+100	$3	1¢	$1	-$2	07-07 12:31
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$26	1¢	$0	-$25	10-18 15:04
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+50	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	06-09 22:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	16	$5.5K	4,600	4,600	+0	Yes	-$4	10-11 19:33
Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	88	$5.2K	3,769	2,627	+1,142	open	—	10-27 04:27
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	61	$4.5K	6,761	6,761	+0	No	-$5	04-26 15:02
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	48	$3.6K	4,229	4,529	-300	Yes	+$73	01-22 10:22
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	31	$3.2K	1,778	1,778	+0	No	+$19	01-21 08:30
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?	92	$3.1K	2,445	1,860	+585	Yes	+$35	06-20 01:32
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	13	$3.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$40	03-22 01:18
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	21	$2.7K	1,596	1,596	+0	open	—	10-02 03:51
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?	15	$2.7K	1,496	1,456	+40	Yes	+$15	08-13 13:00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	48	$2.6K	2,334	1,327	+1,007	No	-$736	09-10 20:28
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	27	$2.2K	2,113	318	+1,795	open	—	10-26 10:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	69	$2.2K	10,562	10,562	+0	open	—	09-15 11:26
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	5	$2.1K	3,002	1,002	+2,000	Saint Louis Billikens	+$2	03-19 09:05
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	19	$2.0K	1,154	1,154	+0	Yes	+$13	08-05 16:10
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$0	03-22 18:03
will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	34	$1.9K	1,836	1,801	+35	No	+$12	01-15 22:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	11	$1.9K	2,091	2,091	+0	Yes	-$4	10-20 11:25
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	74	$1.8K	5,586	3,729	+1,857	Yes	-$539	10-24 08:39
nba uta okc 2026 04 05 total 239pt5	6	$1.8K	1,136	1,000	+136	Over	-$116	04-06 01:06
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Kansas Jayhawks	+$0	03-20 03:46
will milo yiannopoulos be deported in 2026 815	15	$1.7K	1,020	1,020	+0	Yes	+$26	08-29 17:27
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	St. John's Red Storm	-$10	03-19 03:39
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?	7	$1.6K	924	892	+32	open	—	10-10 03:18
Will United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?	22	$1.6K	863	861	+2	Yes	+$26	08-23 03:02
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?	37	$1.5K	1,612	1,612	+0	No	-$77	09-12 16:26
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	8	$1.5K	1,215	332	+883	open	—	10-28 00:14
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	42	$1.5K	2,819	2,306	+513	open	—	10-27 13:51
will texas instruments txn q3 analog revenue be above 20261008120026000 4pt25b	46	$1.4K	979	820	+159	Yes	+$141	10-15 10:44
atp augeral cilic 2026 04 08	15	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	-$2	04-08 11:17
Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?	55	$1.3K	3,482	2,307	+1,175	Yes	+$1,071	07-15 18:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:04:47	Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$2	0x71aac8…
10-28 05:00:56	Will Anthropic raise between $125B and $135B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$6	0x34a574…
10-28 04:58:10	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0x42ca1b…
10-28 04:57:02	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x582894…
10-28 04:57:02	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x4e5375…
10-28 04:52:32	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe73e36…
10-28 04:52:32	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x60fa62…
10-28 04:52:32	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x5300fe…
10-28 04:52:32	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x3b13c5…
10-28 04:52:32	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x097186…
10-28 04:18:05	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	No	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0xbe7691…
10-28 04:12:13	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$19	0x90be27…
10-28 03:47:21	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	121	0¢	$0	0x2e4725…
10-28 03:44:34	Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x4eba12…
10-28 03:38:45	Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0x7a99ff…
10-28 03:22:27	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xf352c7…
10-28 03:20:28	Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xfd2fb5…
10-28 03:05:29	Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	412	3¢	$12	0x269f7b…
10-28 02:31:14	Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	104	14¢	$15	0xccb164…
10-28 02:18:38	Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0xc9a18e…
10-28 02:18:38	Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0xbf3d6d…
10-28 02:18:38	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x4e810b…
10-28 01:23:36	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x483799…
10-28 00:29:23	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$1	0x0ee07a…
10-28 00:14:33	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x96ab15…
10-27 21:24:02	Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0xfda9a3…
10-27 17:50:47	Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0xee14bf…
10-27 17:50:47	Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x87fa55…
10-27 17:30:56	Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x43fa40…
10-27 17:01:06	Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xf3956d…
10-27 16:39:02	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	98¢	$146	0x6ee770…
10-27 16:38:53	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xa7785c…
10-27 16:36:24	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,005	95¢	$956	0xe00ff2…
10-27 16:10:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x5561f1…
10-27 16:10:06	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x253193…
10-27 16:08:41	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0xf6df10…
10-27 16:06:33	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x092bb7…
10-27 16:02:00	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0xf0d0db…
10-27 16:01:27	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x8070bd…
10-27 15:46:56	Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xecf66e…
10-27 15:41:57	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0x7ca29e…
10-27 15:26:15	Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	60	26¢	$15	0xb32783…
10-27 13:51:02	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	150	15¢	$22	0x75d9a6…
10-27 13:45:30	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x2bb5c2…
10-27 13:35:18	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0x81a370…
10-27 13:21:12	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x11a03c…
10-27 13:19:57	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	94¢	$122	0xee4358…
10-27 12:58:20	Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$1	0xb49575…
10-27 12:36:56	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xb3bc49…
10-27 10:36:15	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xde552f…
10-27 10:22:48	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0x4df395…
10-27 10:17:18	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x5430e1…
10-27 10:05:32	Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x375a10…
10-27 09:56:54	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0xfb784c…
10-27 09:56:54	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	74¢	$19	0x168327…
10-27 09:54:56	Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?	Yes	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0x6bd57f…
10-27 09:53:26	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	182	72¢	$132	0xedea0b…
10-27 09:23:12	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	151	18¢	$28	0x229dd9…
10-27 09:22:30	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x591a0d…
10-27 08:23:33	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x0239d3…
10-27 07:56:21	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	105	24¢	$25	0x74ff73…
10-27 07:51:06	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x0c7a98…
10-27 07:27:36	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	176	41¢	$72	0x5c27ef…
10-27 06:59:03	Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xf17479…
10-27 06:31:41	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	150	77¢	$116	0x9b8bb1…
10-27 06:06:32	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0x228b2d…
10-27 06:06:02	Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x2f4bdb…
10-27 06:05:32	Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xddcc4d…
10-27 05:23:59	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	32	77¢	$25	0x20a29b…
10-27 05:22:20	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0x9e7c99…
10-27 04:30:42	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	Yes	SELL	99	86¢	$85	0x2698cb…
10-27 04:27:18	Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	96¢	$121	0xa76ceb…
10-27 04:22:08	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	17	79¢	$14	0xb2073f…
10-27 03:48:27	Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xeeded6…
10-27 03:23:54	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	Yes	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x9b98a5…
10-27 03:22:56	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 4?	Yes	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x11cba8…
10-27 02:58:38	another critical cloudflare incident by october 31 2026 20261026	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc7b37a…
10-27 02:34:36	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	140	10¢	$14	0x3dacde…
10-27 02:12:32	Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$99	0x7c1d33…
10-27 01:55:39	Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x13b048…
10-27 01:47:27	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x1c55d7…
10-27 01:46:05	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x3f7c3a…
10-27 01:37:33	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x9c78b0…
10-27 01:37:33	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x2ca9b6…
10-27 01:24:41	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8e01cf…
10-27 01:24:29	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	135	19¢	$26	0x4ad82e…
10-27 01:24:21	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x2bbd17…
10-27 01:24:17	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xa71a95…
10-27 01:24:17	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x88025c…
10-27 00:53:27	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x0ed2ea…
10-27 00:52:47	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0xc6cca7…
10-27 00:17:09	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xebeb95…
10-27 00:17:09	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xb19b58…
10-27 00:17:09	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x09fb8a…
10-27 00:06:59	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xb6fc18…
10-27 00:05:32	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0xabafb3…
10-26 23:54:39	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x59ccc5…
10-26 23:54:33	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xc3427d…
10-26 23:50:18	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0011fa…
10-26 23:39:09	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x7736de…