Grave-Atelier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

Trades

9,712

lifetime

Volume

$156.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$29

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-20 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

68% 28% $-38

Politics

22% 44% +$3

Sports

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI		+200	$30	15¢	$29	$-1	07-20 12:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	61	$4.5K	6,761	6,761	+0	open	—	04-26 15:02
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	48	$3.6K	4,229	4,529	-300	open	—	01-22 10:22
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	31	$3.2K	1,778	1,778	+0	open	—	01-21 08:30
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	13	$3.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-22 01:18
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	5	$2.1K	3,002	1,002	+2,000	open	—	03-19 09:05
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-22 18:03
will the us next strike iran on january 16 2026 et 766	34	$1.9K	1,836	1,801	+35	open	—	01-15 22:33
nba uta okc 2026 04 05 total 239pt5	6	$1.8K	1,136	1,000	+136	open	—	04-06 01:06
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-20 03:46
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-19 03:39
atp augeral cilic 2026 04 08	15	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 11:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	13	$1.3K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-20 06:29
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	23	$1.3K	1,115	1,115	+0	open	—	01-26 10:50
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	5	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	04-28 21:57
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-20 14:14
will iran strike kuwait again in march	21	$1.1K	663	683	-20	open	—	03-20 14:45
cbb hofst ala 2026 03 20	24	$1.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-20 00:37
atp marozsa hurkacz 2026 04 08	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 07:51
cbb akron txtech 2026 03 20	3	$1.0K	2,000	3	+1,997	open	—	03-19 07:52
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	5	$1.0K	2,000	4	+1,996	open	—	03-22 19:15
cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	3	$1.0K	2,000	1	+1,999	open	—	03-19 23:31
will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	60	$999	2,173	2,203	-30	open	—	06-17 02:02
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	7	$997	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-17 15:42
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	27	$997	1,899	1,901	-3	open	—	04-17 00:03
mlb lad tor 2026 04 08 total 7pt5	5	$970	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 07:40
iran successfully targets shipping by june 27 20260625215135368	34	$966	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	06-27 09:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	44	$950	2,562	2,162	+400	open	—	04-20 17:20
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08 total 6pt5	2	$930	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 09:28
atp garin zverev 2026 04 08	16	$889	1,857	160	+1,696	open	—	04-08 11:17
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	3	$861	500	500	+0	open	—	05-25 00:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 13:58:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xb7b175…
07-20 12:14:34	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x93504b…
07-20 04:11:46	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132206211	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x33f7d6…
07-20 04:07:16	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132206211	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x17931e…
07-20 03:59:06	stephen song 20260707142702038	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd7cedb…
07-20 03:58:51	robert eichele 20260707142702026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd9eecc…
07-20 03:26:34	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	SELL	515	0¢	$1	0xb9f2d8…
07-20 03:25:39	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x0faafc…
07-20 02:43:52	damian salas 20260707142702035	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0xf551b0…
07-20 02:34:30	damian salas 20260707142702035	Yes	BUY	600	93¢	$557	0xf24538…
07-20 01:38:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x3f4641…
07-20 01:01:24	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xc30e30…
07-19 23:52:33	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x1b4834…
07-19 23:40:42	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717130414631	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x45c29b…
07-19 18:00:51	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 20b 20260718022357817	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xf4c657…
07-19 16:16:27	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 20b 20260718022357817	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$1	0x11502a…
07-19 15:40:03	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 21b 20260718022357818	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x3461f2…
07-19 15:12:06	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 21b 20260718022357818	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xec8658…
07-19 15:07:10	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 21b 20260718022357818	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x89c28c…
07-19 15:06:36	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x921c4e…
07-19 15:06:07	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 19b 20260718022357816	No	BUY	95	95¢	$90	0x613d87…
07-19 13:43:48	will erik seidel make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820324	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe2a367…
07-19 13:43:39	will alex foxen make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820331	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x554b48…
07-19 13:43:33	will chris moneymaker make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820329	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9f86ee…
07-19 13:41:40	will daniel negreanu make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820318	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x42920d…
07-19 13:41:24	will jeremy ausmus make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820323	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x06a7f8…
07-19 13:40:57	will gerard pique make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820328	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4b3aa1…
07-19 13:35:10	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 22b 20260718022357819	No	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0x7bb126…
07-19 13:10:16	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x9727d8…
07-19 13:10:01	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 19b 20260718022357816	No	BUY	130	67¢	$87	0x401a00…
07-19 13:08:33	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	SELL	61	3¢	$2	0xd0784c…
07-19 13:07:39	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x174d07…
07-19 13:00:49	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 20b 20260718022357817	No	BUY	41	63¢	$26	0x537862…
07-19 12:46:40	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 20b 20260718022357817	No	BUY	39	58¢	$23	0x54401e…
07-19 12:42:06	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	SELL	206	1¢	$2	0x89b4a4…
07-19 12:29:01	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd6189b…
07-19 12:02:43	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x5f4739…
07-19 11:55:10	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	56	26¢	$14	0x05f248…
07-19 11:53:57	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xe6c9a5…
07-19 11:52:51	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8df38e…
07-19 11:49:18	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 20b 20260718022357817	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x970a93…
07-19 11:48:49	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x3590dc…
07-19 11:37:09	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xdd77c1…
07-19 11:34:36	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 21b 20260718022357818	No	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x414481…
07-19 11:34:25	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 20b 20260718022357817	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x46871c…
07-19 11:34:15	will abbvie q2 global skyrizi net revenues be above 18b 20260718022357815	No	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x540ab6…
07-19 11:26:27	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717130414631	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x9de032…
07-19 10:48:43	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717130414631	No	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x02f55d…
07-19 10:40:28	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717130414631	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x98676c…
07-19 10:39:04	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717130414631	Yes	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x2b5a38…
07-19 10:01:04	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717130414631	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xb46716…
07-19 05:12:34	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x18d364…
07-19 05:10:24	will michael mizrachi make the final table in the 2026 wsop main event 20260706161820319	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x9af0b6…
07-19 04:06:09	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xf7f693…
07-19 04:05:42	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x462551…
07-19 04:01:57	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0xc4d123…
07-19 03:52:06	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x2de236…
07-19 03:42:34	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7670f7…
07-19 03:23:07	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x27e372…
07-19 02:49:27	will there be at least 1800 cyclosporiasis cases in the uptspt by july 31 2026 20260715005153971	Yes	SELL	31	95¢	$29	0x1682e9…
07-19 02:48:01	will microsoft msft q4 total capital expenditures be above 62b 20260717035757355	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x80ced5…
07-19 02:21:28	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x1f4096…
07-19 02:16:49	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x9031c6…
07-19 01:56:01	will microsoft msft q4 total capital expenditures be above 38b 20260717035757351	Yes	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x8d1269…
07-19 01:45:40	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6a0e3f…
07-19 01:40:33	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132206210	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x2879cd…
07-19 01:01:21	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0x433b8f…
07-18 23:45:39	Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x55d9e5…
07-18 23:45:39	Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x0887d7…
07-18 23:45:37	Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x54c3e2…
07-18 23:45:36	Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1d6a80…
07-18 23:45:34	Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x93daff…
07-18 23:45:27	Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x34f8a0…
07-18 23:45:25	Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x807b4b…
07-18 22:00:55	Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb89bf0…
07-18 18:37:31	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x7aded1…
07-18 15:10:48	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	41	88¢	$36	0xd59c91…
07-18 15:10:43	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	79	86¢	$68	0xa17947…
07-18 14:37:52	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0x1cb62a…
07-18 13:59:42	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	SELL	65	71¢	$47	0x7396c8…
07-18 13:59:03	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xa98ee1…
07-18 13:55:00	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	55	77¢	$43	0xbacf26…
07-18 13:44:36	columbus air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717132724265	Yes	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0x191bb8…
07-18 13:34:13	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	80	18¢	$14	0xf1af8e…
07-18 13:33:24	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0xff94d3…
07-18 12:50:21	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xa1db75…
07-18 09:43:49	will microsoft msft q4 total capital expenditures be above 38b 20260717035757351	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x346f17…
07-18 08:32:24	will microsoft msft q4 total capital expenditures be above 38b 20260717035757351	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9455bf…
07-18 08:00:36	will microsoft msft q4 total capital expenditures be above 38b 20260717035757351	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xfafb0c…
07-18 07:59:36	will microsoft msft q4 total capital expenditures be above 38b 20260717035757351	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x921962…
07-18 07:36:21	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$5	0xa93980…
07-18 07:36:04	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	75	18¢	$14	0xa368f3…
07-18 07:35:51	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0xa1daa6…
07-18 07:31:01	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	80	22¢	$18	0x58a5ef…
07-18 06:32:57	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x14b352…
07-18 06:28:33	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x7e73b2…
07-18 05:35:57	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x7c9db2…
07-18 05:32:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x07f5e1…
07-18 05:20:12	will the announcers say transition during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956891	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xc853ff…
07-18 04:43:39	will the announcers say golden boot 5 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956888	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xefbca3…