Realized P&L
-$12.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
2,752
Trades
13,054
lifetime
Volume
$374.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.80K
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 09-08 22:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 145 days
Categories
Other
76% 40% -$7,063
Politics
15% 54% -$363
Sports
5% 36% -$4,148
Crypto
2% 42% -$468
Tech
1% 45% +$71
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -500 -$575 82¢ $-407 +$168 08-03 06:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +410 $394 98¢ $402 +$8 08-22 03:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -400 -$195 56¢ $-223 -$27 06-29 22:46
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -500 -$278 44¢ $-220 +$58 07-07 04:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -201 -$167 94¢ $-188 -$21 05-04 04:08
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +150 $52 100¢ $150 +$97 08-11 07:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $70 78¢ $78 +$8 07-15 15:12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +100 $97 44¢ $44 -$53 06-03 03:40
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -43 -$36 98¢ $-42 -$6 07-05 07:57
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No -13 -$13 99¢ $-13 +$0 08-07 02:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +13 $12 93¢ $12 +$0 07-06 21:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -421 -$19 2¢ $-9 +$10 08-27 11:07
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +5 -$53 99¢ $5 +$58 07-10 21:01
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +468 $314 1¢ $3 -$311 07-26 03:19
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes -7 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 07-20 13:38