Realized P&L (7d)
+$92
Unrealized P&L
-$106
Hit rate
44.4%
Resolved (7d)
6
Trades (7d)
1
13,055 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$25
$375.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.26K
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 11-04 02:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 150 days
Categories
Other
76% 40% -$7,072
Politics
15% 54% -$386
Sports
5% 36% -$4,148
Crypto
2% 42% -$468
Tech
1% 46% +$202
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -500 -$575 90¢ $-447 +$128 08-03 06:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +410 $394 98¢ $403 +$9 08-22 03:24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -201 -$167 97¢ $-196 -$29 05-04 04:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +100 $70 100¢ $100 +$30 07-15 15:12
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -43 -$36 98¢ $-42 -$6 07-05 07:57
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? No -30 -$29 95¢ $-28 +$1 08-26 20:24
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No -13 -$13 99¢ $-13 +$0 08-07 02:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +13 $12 96¢ $13 +$0 07-06 21:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -421 -$19 2¢ $-7 +$12 08-27 11:07
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +5 -$53 99¢ $5 +$58 07-10 21:01
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? Yes +468 $314 1¢ $5 -$309 07-26 03:19