Realized P&L (30d)
+$91
Unrealized P&L
+$64
Hit rate
32.9%
Resolved (30d)
14
Trades (30d)
24
13,078 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.66K
$378.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$4.39K
18 positions
First seen
2026-04-16
last 11-13 07:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Other
76% 40% -$7,112
Politics
15% 55% -$356
Sports
5% 36% -$4,148
Crypto
2% 42% -$468
Tech
1% 46% +$202
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +2,810 $2,756 99¢ $2.8K +$14 11-12 11:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -500 -$575 92¢ $-462 +$113 08-03 06:45
Will Madison Huang be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +328 $319 99¢ $325 +$6 11-12 15:15
Will Lisa Su be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +200 $194 98¢ $196 +$3 11-12 14:42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -201 -$167 97¢ $-196 -$29 05-04 04:08
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 82¢ $163 -$19 11-11 21:59
Will Ian Buck be the next CEO of NVIDIA? No +100 $66 70¢ $69 +$3 11-12 17:18
Will Counter-Strike 2 Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award? Yes +200 $56 27¢ $54 -$2 08-16 15:59
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -43 -$36 98¢ $-42 -$6 07-05 07:57
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? No -30 -$29 94¢ $-28 +$1 08-26 20:24
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes +300 $54 7¢ $22 -$32 08-05 00:42
Fourth Jensen Huang affair reported by November 13? Yes +200 $20 10¢ $19 -$1 11-13 07:43
Will Jensen Huang publicly testify before Congress by December 31, 2026? No +20 $12 66¢ $13 +$1 11-13 07:16
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? No -13 -$13 99¢ $-13 +$0 08-07 02:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +13 $12 95¢ $13 +$0 07-06 21:19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -421 -$19 1¢ $-6 +$13 08-27 11:07
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? Yes +3 $0 6¢ $0 $0 08-16 17:26
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? Yes -40 $0 0¢ $-0 $0 11-12 13:19