Realized P&L
+$79.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.15K
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
920
Trades
38,167
lifetime
Volume
$4.59M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$120
Open exposure
$100.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Sports
73%
69%
+$79,767
Other
14%
74%
+$1,898
Politics
12%
72%
-$1,944
Crypto
2%
90%
-$741
Tech
0%
100%
+$61
Pop-Culture
0%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk
• peak 805 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | +27,179 | $22,797 | 100¢ | $27.1K | +$4,288 | 10-26 02:35 | |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | No | +9,141 | $7,719 | 96¢ | $8.8K | +$1,093 | 10-15 10:30 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | +7,942 | $7,083 | 94¢ | $7.5K | +$423 | 10-09 17:51 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | +6,565 | $6,098 | 98¢ | $6.4K | +$333 | 10-05 19:26 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +4,750 | $4,453 | 97¢ | $4.6K | +$148 | 10-06 18:40 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | +10,478 | $4,735 | 44¢ | $4.6K | -$171 | 10-22 15:23 | |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | -4,343 | -$4,215 | 98¢ | $-4276 | -$61 | 09-20 03:39 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | +5,000 | $4,050 | 78¢ | $3.9K | -$125 | 10-27 20:00 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | -4,150 | -$3,474 | 94¢ | $-3922 | -$448 | 10-04 02:39 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | -3,272 | -$2,908 | 89¢ | $-2912 | -$3 | 10-23 22:01 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | +3,030 | $2,592 | 94¢ | $2.8K | +$241 | 10-16 21:40 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +3,430 | $3,505 | 82¢ | $2.8K | -$675 | 10-14 11:09 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | +2,750 | $2,345 | 92¢ | $2.5K | +$171 | 10-17 15:51 | |
| nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 | No | +2,331 | $1,961 | 92¢ | $2.1K | +$183 | 10-14 12:12 | |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | +2,925 | $1,660 | 66¢ | $1.9K | +$285 | 10-27 19:44 | |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | +1,630 | $1,481 | 96¢ | $1.6K | +$83 | 10-05 04:08 | |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | No | -1,988 | -$1,582 | 74¢ | $-1461 | +$122 | 06-27 08:16 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | +3,423 | $1,652 | 38¢ | $1.3K | -$334 | 09-15 12:31 | |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | +1,163 | -$18 | 100¢ | $1.2K | +$1,176 | 10-27 15:49 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | +1,200 | $1,068 | 88¢ | $1.1K | -$6 | 10-21 10:23 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | No | +1,000 | $955 | 99¢ | $994 | +$39 | 10-13 00:19 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | No | +1,000 | $920 | 99¢ | $986 | +$66 | 10-12 15:12 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +1,000 | $888 | 98¢ | $983 | +$95 | 10-10 05:32 | |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,000 | $910 | 94¢ | $935 | +$25 | 10-27 02:03 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | +864 | $733 | 96¢ | $831 | +$98 | 10-09 16:04 | |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | +4,174 | $610 | 15¢ | $611 | +$2 | 10-26 13:56 | |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | +620 | $456 | 82¢ | $512 | +$56 | 10-27 19:45 | |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | No | +525 | $494 | 94¢ | $491 | -$3 | 10-12 15:19 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | No | +500 | $465 | 97¢ | $486 | +$21 | 10-22 13:51 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | No | +500 | $460 | 97¢ | $485 | +$25 | 10-23 01:27 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | 278 | $111.9K | 89,231 | 71,943 | +17,287 | Justin Gaethje | +$1,058 | 06-15 05:04 |
| ufc jja jam16 2026 04 18 | 107 | $76.8K | 45,728 | 38,651 | +7,077 | JJ Aldrich | +$2,059 | 04-19 00:02 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 341 | $73.2K | 54,780 | 27,600 | +27,179 | open | — | 10-26 02:35 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 294 | $71.2K | 47,683 | 35,199 | +12,483 | Yes | +$527 | 10-25 23:54 |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | 262 | $65.5K | 50,513 | 28,225 | +22,288 | Usyk | +$1,718 | 05-23 23:07 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | 559 | $61.3K | 88,344 | 71,044 | +17,300 | Max Holloway | +$4,172 | 07-12 03:41 |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | 229 | $52.2K | 37,109 | 33,042 | +4,068 | Sean Strickland | -$1,935 | 05-10 04:44 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 179 | $41.1K | 29,850 | 30,083 | -233 | No | -$203 | 05-29 05:46 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | 334 | $40.4K | 23,407 | 22,244 | +1,163 | open | — | 10-27 15:49 |
| UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) | 236 | $37.2K | 30,795 | 19,473 | +11,323 | Sean Brady | +$2,386 | 05-10 02:13 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | 583 | $37.0K | 20,846 | 24,117 | -3,272 | open | — | 10-23 22:01 |
| UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | 123 | $36.1K | 32,880 | 24,567 | +8,313 | Joshua Van | +$1,422 | 09-20 04:01 |
| ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07 | 195 | $35.2K | 29,576 | 15,939 | +13,637 | Charles Oliveira | +$2,656 | 03-08 05:11 |
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card) | 172 | $34.8K | 31,117 | 16,500 | +14,617 | Raoni Barcelos | -$428 | 04-26 01:04 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 71 | $34.5K | 18,641 | 17,128 | +1,514 | No | +$246 | 01-15 03:38 |
| ufc kam dri 2026 07 18 | 137 | $31.0K | 19,991 | 15,360 | +4,631 | Dricus Du Plessis | +$1,433 | 07-19 03:10 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 152 | $30.5K | 20,700 | 17,270 | +3,430 | open | — | 10-14 11:09 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 233 | $29.4K | 21,116 | 19,239 | +1,877 | Yes | -$12 | 03-07 18:36 |
| UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) | 179 | $29.4K | 22,115 | 21,209 | +906 | Joshua Van | -$214 | 05-10 03:44 |
| ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 | 316 | $28.1K | 23,771 | 19,291 | +4,479 | Gaethje | +$1,261 | 01-25 05:32 |
| ufc ikr bru8 2026 06 27 | 46 | $27.9K | 19,228 | 10,800 | +8,428 | Ikram Aliskerov | +$851 | 06-27 16:55 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 87 | $27.4K | 17,500 | 18,294 | -794 | No | -$39 | 04-22 15:44 |
| ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11 | 311 | $26.6K | 28,283 | 15,169 | +13,114 | Paulo Costa | +$3,670 | 04-12 03:22 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 170 | $26.5K | 25,851 | 23,350 | +2,501 | Yes | +$774 | 03-01 01:34 |
| Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France? | 218 | $26.4K | 21,880 | 17,075 | +4,805 | Yes | +$688 | 07-24 15:39 |
| ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11 | 233 | $25.3K | 20,447 | 19,565 | +882 | Josh Hokit | -$27 | 04-12 02:50 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | 191 | $25.0K | 17,546 | 17,426 | +119 | Yes | +$1,283 | 07-12 18:12 |
| ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15 | 166 | $23.4K | 16,711 | 13,327 | +3,385 | Mackenzie Dern | +$1,013 | 08-16 03:21 |
| ufc micalj fabsin 2026 09 05 | 174 | $23.3K | 15,624 | 13,530 | +2,093 | Fabia Sintes | +$226 | 09-05 17:32 |
| ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11 | 83 | $22.7K | 22,897 | 11,688 | +11,209 | Brandon Royval | +$3,737 | 07-12 02:10 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||