Realized P&L
+$80.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.61K
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
934
Trades
39,413
lifetime
Volume
$4.77M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$103.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 02:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Sports
71% 69% +$81,393
Politics
14% 72% -$1,944
Other
13% 74% +$1,898
Crypto
2% 90% -$741
Tech
0% 100% +$61
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 805 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +24,179 $19,806 100¢ $24.1K +$4,313 10-31 23:46
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,800 $8,875 94¢ $9.3K +$386 10-31 03:24
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +9,141 $7,719 97¢ $8.9K +$1,176 10-15 10:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +7,942 $7,083 94¢ $7.5K +$423 10-09 17:51
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +6,565 $6,098 98¢ $6.4K +$323 10-05 19:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,864 $4,563 97¢ $4.7K +$143 10-28 17:47
SBF released from custody in 2026? No -4,343 -$4,215 98¢ $-4276 -$61 09-20 03:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,478 $4,735 41¢ $4.2K -$486 10-22 15:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -4,150 -$3,474 94¢ $-3922 -$448 10-04 02:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -3,571 -$3,183 90¢ $-3232 -$49 10-29 19:32
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,030 $2,592 94¢ $2.9K +$272 10-16 21:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,130 $3,259 82¢ $2.6K -$676 10-30 00:06
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,500 $1,958 72¢ $2.5K +$544 10-31 21:47
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +2,331 $1,961 92¢ $2.1K +$183 10-14 12:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,300 $1,830 80¢ $1.9K +$21 10-30 16:59
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -1,988 -$1,582 80¢ $-1600 -$18 06-27 08:16
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1,400 $1,255 98¢ $1.4K +$122 10-31 01:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,423 $1,652 39¢ $1.3K -$331 09-15 12:31
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1,163 -$18 100¢ $1.2K +$1,177 10-27 15:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,200 $1,068 88¢ $1.1K -$6 10-21 10:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +1,000 $955 100¢ $998 +$43 10-13 00:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +1,000 $920 100¢ $998 +$78 10-12 15:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,000 $888 98¢ $977 +$89 10-10 05:32
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $910 92¢ $925 +$15 10-27 02:03
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +864 $733 96¢ $829 +$95 10-09 16:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,907 $631 42¢ $791 +$161 10-31 17:01
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $777 52¢ $772 -$5 10-30 20:47
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +815 $604 81¢ $660 +$56 10-30 09:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,174 $610 15¢ $634 +$25 10-26 13:56
Will Solana reach $140 in October? No +600 $558 100¢ $599 +$41 10-12 23:02