Realized P&L
+$84.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.81K
Hit rate
73.3%
Resolved
945
Trades
39,562
lifetime
Volume
$4.80M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$108.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 23:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 176 days
Categories
Sports
71% 69% +$85,279
Politics
14% 72% -$1,944
Other
13% 74% +$1,898
Crypto
2% 91% -$463
Tech
0% 100% +$61
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 805 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +23,679 $19,307 100¢ $23.6K +$4,337 11-01 20:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,800 $8,875 94¢ $9.3K +$386 10-31 03:24
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +9,141 $7,719 97¢ $8.9K +$1,171 10-15 10:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +7,817 $6,963 96¢ $7.5K +$503 11-02 21:15
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +6,565 $6,098 98¢ $6.4K +$349 10-05 19:26
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,200 $4,697 76¢ $5.4K +$739 11-03 00:29
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,864 $4,563 97¢ $4.7K +$169 10-28 17:47
SBF released from custody in 2026? No -4,343 -$4,215 98¢ $-4276 -$61 09-20 03:39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,478 $4,735 40¢ $4.2K -$517 10-22 15:23
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -4,150 -$3,474 96¢ $-4005 -$531 10-04 02:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -3,849 -$3,439 92¢ $-3522 -$83 11-02 14:34
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,451 $2,459 78¢ $2.7K +$250 11-02 23:27
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,430 $2,021 96¢ $2.3K +$324 11-01 16:27
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,180 72¢ $2.2K -$5 11-02 23:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,630 $2,844 82¢ $2.2K -$674 11-02 05:39
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No +2,331 $1,961 92¢ $2.2K +$195 10-14 12:12
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,947 97¢ $1.9K -$2 11-01 10:44
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -1,988 -$1,582 76¢ $-1501 +$82 06-27 08:16
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1,400 $1,255 98¢ $1.4K +$119 10-31 01:48
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,600 $1,252 82¢ $1.3K +$67 11-02 18:03
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,354 $1,626 36¢ $1.2K -$430 11-02 00:15
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1,163 -$18 100¢ $1.2K +$1,179 10-27 15:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,200 $1,068 88¢ $1.1K -$6 10-21 10:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,000 $888 98¢ $982 +$94 10-10 05:32
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $910 93¢ $930 +$20 10-27 02:03
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +864 $733 97¢ $836 +$103 10-09 16:04
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,407 $806 33¢ $794 -$11 11-02 04:57
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +766 $748 98¢ $749 +$1 11-02 18:39
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +815 $604 80¢ $652 +$48 10-30 09:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,174 $610 14¢ $603 -$6 10-26 13:56