Realized P&L (90d)
-$4.64K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.53K
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved (90d)
245
Trades (90d)
10,283
38,281 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.26M
$4.57M lifetime
Avg / trade
$119
Open exposure
$107.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 03:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Sports
71% 69% +$79,767
Politics
14% 72% -$1,944
Other
13% 74% +$1,898
Crypto
2% 90% -$741
Tech
0% 100% +$61
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 805 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +25,179 $20,803 100¢ $25.1K +$4,314 10-29 03:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +9,800 $8,875 94¢ $9.2K +$288 10-31 03:24
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +9,141 $7,719 97¢ $8.8K +$1,116 10-15 10:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +7,942 $7,083 94¢ $7.5K +$423 10-09 17:51
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +6,565 $6,098 98¢ $6.4K +$336 10-05 19:26
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,864 $4,563 95¢ $4.6K +$79 10-28 17:47
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +10,478 $4,735 41¢ $4.3K -$454 10-22 15:23
SBF released from custody in 2026? No -4,343 -$4,215 98¢ $-4276 -$61 09-20 03:39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -4,150 -$3,474 94¢ $-3922 -$448 10-04 02:39
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -3,571 -$3,183 90¢ $-3232 -$49 10-29 19:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,500 $2,683 70¢ $3.2K +$489 10-30 21:25
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +3,030 $2,592 94¢ $2.8K +$241 10-16 21:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,130 $3,259 82¢ $2.6K -$676 10-30 00:06
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,212 $2,247 74¢ $2.4K +$114 10-30 20:19
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +2,331 $1,961 92¢ $2.2K +$195 10-14 12:12
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,300 $1,830 82¢ $1.9K +$44 10-30 16:59
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No -1,988 -$1,582 78¢ $-1540 +$42 06-27 08:16
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +1,400 $1,255 98¢ $1.4K +$125 10-31 01:48
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,423 $1,652 38¢ $1.3K -$343 09-15 12:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,907 $1,071 43¢ $1.2K +$179 10-30 22:06
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +1,163 -$18 100¢ $1.2K +$1,178 10-27 15:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,200 $1,068 90¢ $1.1K +$6 10-21 10:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +1,000 $955 100¢ $997 +$42 10-13 00:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? No +1,000 $920 99¢ $994 +$74 10-12 15:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,000 $888 98¢ $976 +$88 10-10 05:32
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $910 92¢ $925 +$15 10-27 02:03
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +864 $733 96¢ $828 +$95 10-09 16:04
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $777 52¢ $780 +$2 10-30 20:47
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $690 72¢ $715 +$25 10-30 22:06
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +815 $604 80¢ $656 +$52 10-30 09:30