Realized P&L
+$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$467
Hit rate
41.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
12,485
lifetime
Volume
$2.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$211
Open exposure
$48.7K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 17:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
59% 67% +$820
Other
29% 0% $-444
Sports
10% 50% +$2,046
Crypto
2% 17% $-1,307
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -11,334 $-9,974 88¢ $-9917 +$57 07-02 17:42
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -8,996 $-6,928 88¢ $-7872 $-944 05-29 15:18
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -8,379 $-7,210 89¢ $-7457 $-247 07-19 16:22
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -5,629 $-5,291 94¢ $-5319 $-28 07-09 02:57
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -4,568 $-4,340 96¢ $-4374 $-34 06-08 22:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,450 $-4,125 72¢ $-3226 +$899 06-14 21:45
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $2,790 88¢ $2.6K $-165 07-11 18:36
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,000 $1,856 94¢ $1.9K +$34 06-01 13:29
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,360 38¢ $1.5K $-840 06-15 22:57
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,248 $1,183 96¢ $1.2K +$12 06-17 07:29
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -2,499 $-725 40¢ $-1010 $-285 06-03 15:56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +1,252 $942 64¢ $802 $-140 07-11 02:58
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +525 $384 95¢ $499 +$115 07-20 17:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +417 $367 94¢ $390 +$23 05-28 20:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -392 $-1,139 86¢ $-339 +$799 07-09 02:58
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -228 $-412 59¢ $-134 +$278 07-12 10:33
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? No -88 $-82 92¢ $-81 +$1 07-11 17:29
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? Yes +3 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 07-12 03:16