Realized P&L
+$1.12K
Unrealized P&L
-$5.16K
Hit rate
41.6%
Resolved
19
Trades
12,253
lifetime
Volume
$2.57M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$210
Open exposure
$41.5K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-27 18:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
60% 67% +$820
Other
29% 0% $-444
Sports
9% 50% +$2,046
Crypto
2% 17% $-1,307
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -8,996 $-6,928 88¢ $-7872 $-944 05-29 15:18
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -5,667 $-4,930 87¢ $-4930 $-0 06-25 13:54
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -4,568 $-4,340 97¢ $-4411 $-71 06-08 22:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,450 $-4,125 86¢ $-3849 +$276 06-14 21:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4,000 $2,598 80¢ $3.2K +$622 06-14 08:10
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No -3,284 $-3,120 97¢ $-3199 $-79 06-21 16:27
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,772 $1,924 66¢ $2.5K +$547 06-14 16:26
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +2,462 $2,142 100¢ $2.5K +$318 06-14 21:54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,360 48¢ $1.9K $-460 06-15 22:57
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +2,000 $1,856 94¢ $1.9K +$24 06-01 13:29
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +2,000 $1,800 92¢ $1.8K +$30 06-02 17:35
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,248 $1,183 96¢ $1.2K +$10 06-17 07:29
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -2,499 $-725 32¢ $-795 $-70 06-03 15:56
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? No -700 $-697 100¢ $-699 $-2 06-22 05:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +417 $367 94¢ $390 +$23 05-28 20:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +334 $273 76¢ $252 $-21 06-17 07:52
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +2,680 $887 $64 $-823 06-17 19:55
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +21 $14 77¢ $16 +$2 06-03 21:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +8,770 $3,193 $9 $-3,184 06-10 22:17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +5,146 $227 $5 $-222 06-14 21:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +4,036 $725 $4 $-721 06-07 12:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +3,195 $320 $3 $-316 06-08 02:01
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,173 $95 $1 $-94 05-29 02:14