Realized P&L
+$43.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.55K
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
1,113
Trades
15,020
lifetime
Volume
$3.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$236
Open exposure
$104.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 11:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 200 days
Categories
Politics
57% 62% +$45,067
Other
31% 59% +$4,432
Sports
10% 47% +$1,820
Crypto
2% 38% -$7,973
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$136
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12,000 -$10,320 96¢ $-11526 -$1,206 05-14 22:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +16,242 $6,015 63¢ $10.3K +$4,275 09-23 01:31
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -10,628 -$10,110 96¢ $-10160 -$50 06-08 22:46
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -10,128 -$9,536 91¢ $-9217 +$319 08-22 05:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,444 $7,262 94¢ $7.9K +$633 10-21 20:16
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -7,446 -$6,532 95¢ $-7070 -$539 07-19 16:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027 No +11,826 $5,326 47¢ $5.6K +$232 09-04 20:35
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -5,629 -$5,291 97¢ $-5465 -$174 07-09 02:57
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +125,429 $2,507 4¢ $4.6K +$2,071 09-19 07:50
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5,587 $2,835 81¢ $4.5K +$1,674 10-17 06:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +5,268 $4,071 84¢ $4.4K +$329 09-04 22:04
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +5,455 $3,167 70¢ $3.8K +$624 10-22 07:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -3,138 -$2,477 94¢ $-2965 -$488 07-09 02:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,102 $2,038 86¢ $2.7K +$619 07-09 03:00
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? No +2,500 $2,300 96¢ $2.4K +$95 06-03 02:07
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -1,717 -$1,408 89¢ $-1528 -$120 05-06 13:43
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +4,616 $1,608 30¢ $1.4K -$200 07-30 16:22
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +29,212 $1,043 4¢ $1.2K +$155 09-04 02:53
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +801 $603 97¢ $779 +$177 09-28 19:51
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,888 $749 26¢ $765 +$16 10-20 17:13
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,140 $410 66¢ $747 +$337 09-15 16:51
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23,980 -$960 3¢ $-683 +$277 05-16 23:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,737 $689 24¢ $671 -$18 10-26 16:55
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,655 -$57 38¢ $633 +$690 10-26 12:13
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No +647 $414 96¢ $621 +$207 08-24 00:09
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +5,068 $294 12¢ $608 +$314 08-29 22:29
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +585 $439 92¢ $537 +$98 08-27 03:05
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +1,722 $658 30¢ $525 -$132 10-16 20:04
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -804 -$642 64¢ $-514 +$128 09-19 20:56
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,259 $1,265 9¢ $473 -$792 09-25 12:47