Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e9851…d06345
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$204
Unrealized P&L
+$123
Hit rate
36.6%
Resolved (90d)
128
Trades (90d)
39,473
169,584 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$89.4K
$340.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$411
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 23:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
52% 38% $-5
Politics
29% 31% $-234
Crypto
15% 57% +$36
Tech
3% 0% $-1
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1074 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +147 $9 20¢ $29 +$20 06-04 12:30
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -100 $-34 22¢ $-22 +$12 05-29 23:53
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -79 $-37 26¢ $-21 +$17 06-07 19:18
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $14 8¢ $17 +$3 06-07 16:26
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +124 $12 14¢ $17 +$5 06-04 16:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +178 $7 9¢ $16 +$9 06-10 14:40
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +100 $2 15¢ $15 +$13 06-02 18:01
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +100 $6 15¢ $15 +$9 05-29 08:52
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +100 $9 15¢ $15 +$6 05-30 19:59
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? Yes +200 $14 7¢ $14 +$0 05-28 10:57
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +142 $10 10¢ $14 +$4 06-10 03:01
Another Elon baby by June 30? Yes +200 $11 7¢ $14 +$3 06-04 06:05
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +143 $13 10¢ $14 +$0 06-05 05:44
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes +107 $7 12¢ $13 +$7 05-28 02:12
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes -100 $-12 12¢ $-12 $-0 06-04 13:58
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes +100 $10 12¢ $12 +$2 06-01 00:26
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? No +99 $5 12¢ $12 +$7 05-29 20:35
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +200 $12 6¢ $12 $-0 06-10 21:27
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $8 12¢ $12 +$4 06-07 20:47
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -163 $-11 7¢ $-12 $-0 06-04 18:06
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes -100 $-17 12¢ $-12 +$6 05-30 09:57
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes -101 $-9 11¢ $-11 $-2 06-10 10:39
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +100 $8 11¢ $11 +$3 06-09 18:13
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +151 $10 7¢ $11 +$1 06-09 09:34
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +76 $6 14¢ $10 +$4 06-01 14:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -133 $-9 8¢ $-10 $-1 06-10 09:25
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? Yes +200 $18 5¢ $10 $-8 05-31 23:11
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +300 $10 3¢ $10 $-0 06-10 13:13
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -100 $-11 10¢ $-10 +$2 06-10 17:14
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30? Yes +100 $9 10¢ $10 +$0 05-31 11:53