Realized P&L
-$9.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$124
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
147
Trades
2,490
lifetime
Volume
$194.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$1.26K
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 10-26 05:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
69% 47% -$6,273
Politics
29% 42% -$3,215
Sports
2% 33% -$193
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,300 -$126 55¢ $715 +$841 10-26 01:52
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +178 $88 64¢ $115 +$26 10-26 00:57
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +176 $111 65¢ $114 +$3 10-26 05:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +90 $50 66¢ $59 +$9 10-26 01:52
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +412 $110 12¢ $47 -$63 09-20 01:04
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +202 $32 17¢ $34 +$2 10-26 00:58
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +484 $37 6¢ $30 -$7 10-23 04:41
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +78 $30 38¢ $29 -$1 10-26 05:47
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +289 $7 5¢ $15 +$7 10-19 06:14
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +60 $12 23¢ $14 +$2 10-26 05:46
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +93 $381 15¢ $13 -$367 10-21 00:57
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +94 $346 14¢ $13 -$333 10-21 00:57
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +341 $12 4¢ $12 +$1 10-23 04:38
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +17 $10 68¢ $12 +$2 10-19 11:44
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +41 $20 27¢ $11 -$9 10-20 00:56
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +62 -$4 15¢ $9 +$13 10-19 06:15
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20 $10 38¢ $7 -$3 09-10 15:04
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 68¢ $2 +$1 10-07 15:02
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +12 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 10-26 05:45
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +14 $1 4¢ $1 $0 07-12 15:26