Realized P&L (90d)
-$25
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
94.9%
Resolved (90d)
11
Trades (90d)
1,685
3,327 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$11.3K
$33.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$657
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 10-31 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
40% 80% -$65
Politics
39% 100% +$5
Sports
13% 94% +$8
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
EU dissolves before 2027? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 +$0 10-28 11:04
Ebola pandemic in 2026? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 10-20 17:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 10-29 21:05
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +50 $47 97¢ $49 +$1 10-07 23:07
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? No +50 $49 96¢ $48 -$1 09-21 11:09
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +50 $43 96¢ $48 +$4 10-15 18:35
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +50 $44 95¢ $48 +$4 10-28 18:31
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 +$1 10-30 21:53
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +40 $36 97¢ $39 +$3 10-31 14:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +36 $34 98¢ $36 +$2 10-31 23:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +35 $32 98¢ $34 +$3 10-23 12:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +30 $28 97¢ $29 +$1 10-29 03:21
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +29 $20 92¢ $26 +$7 10-30 23:50
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +28 $21 92¢ $25 +$4 10-26 15:47
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +25 $23 97¢ $24 +$2 10-30 08:46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 10-29 00:58
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 10-31 23:10
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 10-30 13:02
Human moon landing in 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-31 06:30
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-23 21:32
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 07-31 12:30
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$3 10-31 19:29
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +4 $1 97¢ $4 +$3 10-15 07:58
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 09-02 16:09
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No +1 $0 98¢ $1 +$1 10-28 10:39