Realized P&L
-$821
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
6,381
Trades
49,308
lifetime
Volume
$154.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$10
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 09-09 03:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 50% -$107
Other
9% 23% -$648
Sports
1% 64% +$84
Politics
0% 10% -$142
Tech
0% 21% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 20% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 1515 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $2 15¢ $7 +$5 08-12 02:57
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $2 1¢ $1 -$2 08-11 01:01
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +20 $1 3¢ $1 $0 08-11 19:47
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 $0 08-11 14:29
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +25 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 08-10 18:04
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-11 04:02
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat? Yes +20 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 08-11 16:35
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 08-06 08:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 08-11 09:56
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +50 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 08-11 11:50