Past-Punishment 0xb4d250…32ce99
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$922.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.8K
Hit rate
68.7%
Resolved
54,710
Trades
336,236
lifetime
Volume
$58.8M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$175
Open exposure
$58.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-19
last 10-27 04:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 241 days
Categories
Other
93% 45% -$879,200
Sports
7% 50% -$52,799
Politics
1% 49% +$10,764
Crypto
0% 44% +$792
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$1,480
Tech
0% 50% -$115
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2260 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Warriors vs. Nuggets Warriors +21,399 $4,405 100¢ $21.4K +$16,994 10-27 03:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +20,000 $19,198 94¢ $18.8K -$398 10-25 03:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +105,810 $4,962 6¢ $6.3K +$1,387 10-26 22:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +6,707 $309 54¢ $3.6K +$3,333 06-03 13:16
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +3,130 $620 55¢ $1.7K +$1,086 06-03 05:03
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +2,533 $1,450 55¢ $1.4K -$57 10-13 08:10
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +1,269 $616 100¢ $1.3K +$649 06-05 15:54
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? No +1,344 $1,089 83¢ $1.1K +$24 10-23 15:21
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +735 $676 99¢ $728 +$52 07-02 12:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,005 $792 72¢ $718 -$74 08-10 20:54
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +333 $263 90¢ $300 +$37 08-11 10:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +294 $279 99¢ $292 +$13 08-10 21:23
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5 Over +196 $133 97¢ $190 +$57 10-27 03:53
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? Yes +614 $141 30¢ $184 +$43 10-10 13:12
Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Semen Pankin Semen Pankin — +282 $209 52¢ $145 -$64 10-27 04:25
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $166 69¢ $137 -$29 08-11 11:03
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +458 $23 22¢ $99 +$76 06-06 01:21
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No +103 $82 86¢ $89 +$6 08-10 19:53
Warriors vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5 Under +2,097 $383 3¢ $63 -$321 10-27 04:08
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +301 $64 16¢ $50 -$15 07-02 22:33
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +87 $14 44¢ $38 +$24 08-10 15:57
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +70 $46 46¢ $32 -$14 06-04 00:25
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +145 $25 22¢ $31 +$6 07-02 20:56
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +34 $12 82¢ $28 +$16 08-10 18:20
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +61 $54 46¢ $28 -$26 06-03 13:49
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +25 $24 98¢ $24 +$1 06-21 23:28
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +360 $18 6¢ $23 +$5 07-03 13:52
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +53 $17 44¢ $23 +$7 08-11 13:40
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +22 $18 92¢ $20 +$1 08-11 15:46
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +112 $22 16¢ $18 -$4 06-05 17:48