Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$425

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

2.8%

Resolved

370

Trades

4,139

lifetime

Volume

$36.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$58

12 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 07-28 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

40% 12% -$168

Politics

33% 5% -$154

Sports

18% 1% -$96

Crypto

4% 0% -$14

Tech

4% 20% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	+20	$7	82¢	$16	+$9	06-08 09:31
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	-20	-$4	76¢	$-15	-$11	07-08 20:08
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	+13	$9	70¢	$9	+$1	06-05 02:08
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	-20	-$10	36¢	$-7	+$3	07-10 23:28
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No	+13	$11	30¢	$4	-$7	06-05 22:47
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	+20	$14	18¢	$4	-$10	06-09 02:01
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?	Yes	-50	-$9	3¢	$-1	+$8	06-27 13:45
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	No	-20	-$2	5¢	$-1	+$1	07-15 22:33
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No	+0	$5	94¢	$0	-$5	06-09 11:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	+0	$1	85¢	$0	-$1	06-08 16:52
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	+0	$6	6¢	$0	-$6	06-09 13:44
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	+0	$1	15¢	$0	-$1	06-08 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	171	$1.7K	1,645	1,543	+102	No	-$3	06-09 14:56
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	174	$1.7K	1,555	1,397	+158	No	-$18	06-09 22:24
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	106	$1.1K	1,050	1,010	+40	Yes	-$2	06-09 15:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	130	$1.0K	1,123	1,122	+1	Yes	-$12	06-09 21:08
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	105	$1.0K	877	757	+120	No	-$6	06-07 21:59
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	137	$991	1,186	1,096	+90	Yes	-$15	06-09 07:39
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	135	$819	836	816	+20	No	-$9	06-09 13:49
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	131	$550	490	330	+160	Yes	-$3	06-08 14:49
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	55	$496	410	400	+10	Yes	-$4	06-08 15:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	33	$413	314	314	+0	Yes	-$2	06-09 20:22
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	29	$319	256	256	+0	No	-$3	06-09 14:34
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	36	$297	296	296	+0	open	—	06-09 13:44
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	20	$283	200	200	+0	No	-$7	06-08 21:30
israel closes its airspace by june 9	33	$279	308	228	+80	No	-$1	06-09 00:13
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	24	$269	240	240	+0	No	-$2	06-09 21:36
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?	29	$267	256	256	+0	No	-$1	06-09 21:08
israel closes its airspace by june 8	34	$246	360	280	+80	No	-$6	06-08 12:08
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	23	$224	210	210	+0	Yes	-$2	06-09 07:08
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in June?	27	$216	158	158	+0	No	-$2	06-07 17:16
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 1-June 7?	17	$204	144	144	+0	Yes	-$3	06-06 09:35
will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	31	$199	154	154	+0	Yes	-$3	06-08 12:54
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	28	$198	175	175	+0	No	-$11	06-09 12:08
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?	20	$197	126	126	+0	No	-$3	06-09 20:55
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	12	$196	120	120	+0	open	—	06-09 11:01
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?	22	$195	180	180	+0	No	+$1	06-10 13:42
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?	23	$193	183	183	+0	Yes	-$1	06-05 17:30
will magicblock launch a token by june 30 2027	23	$186	154	154	+0	open	—	06-09 01:42
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	19	$182	165	165	+0	open	—	06-09 12:01
will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	20	$181	180	180	+0	open	—	06-09 00:50
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?	16	$176	160	160	+0	Yes	-$1	06-09 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 21:11:49	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x363727…
07-25 12:11:06	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x136f70…
07-25 09:12:57	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x80ff94…
07-24 22:49:52	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xd22719…
07-24 21:56:19	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xac616c…
07-24 21:29:27	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4a611d…
07-24 17:52:36	Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x243066…
07-21 11:03:42	will epic games valuation hit high 14b by december 31	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xe43b79…
07-18 23:46:06	will epic games valuation hit high 13pt5b by december 31	Yes	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0xfd1404…
07-17 06:03:01	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x919499…
07-16 19:48:25	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x35c202…
07-15 22:33:26	Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x4c0f32…
07-15 22:31:53	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x64aab4…
07-15 22:30:20	Will Shameka Parrish-Wright win the 2026 Louisville mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x8713eb…
07-15 22:29:41	Will Andy Eads win the 2026 Denton County Judge election?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x9c1d05…
07-15 22:25:28	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xfafac6…
07-15 22:25:13	Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x47e39e…
07-15 22:20:43	Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x7f9461…
07-15 22:17:20	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x2f2c23…
07-15 14:32:53	will amzn reach 280 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x277819…
07-14 16:14:34	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt5b 20260618015333984	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xae4c2e…
07-12 14:55:56	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$29	0x0673a2…
07-12 14:48:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x861568…
07-10 23:33:04	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x702ad8…
07-10 23:31:38	Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x4241da…
07-10 23:30:43	Will BN win the 2026 Johor general elections?	No	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0x73b029…
07-10 23:29:25	california clinic funding proposition	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x74e2c5…
07-10 23:28:08	Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x7f86d7…
07-10 23:27:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xd2554e…
07-10 23:27:10	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xdc241b…
07-10 23:24:38	will t mobile tmus q2 total service revenues be above 19pt1b 20260703212654951	No	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x81c105…
07-10 23:23:53	will the next grok model released by xai debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260708011851340	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x18801e…
07-09 02:28:22	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x842f3c…
07-09 01:10:44	Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0x3ccd1e…
07-08 23:11:02	Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x891328…
07-08 23:10:47	Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x6884b1…
07-08 21:50:08	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	SELL	17	50¢	$9	0xba8c45…
07-08 20:14:35	Neutrl FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x12fa3d…
07-08 20:08:11	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xcbfb8f…
07-08 20:05:38	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xf8c6d9…
07-08 20:04:32	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xba82e4…
07-08 20:02:41	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	38	83¢	$32	0x81395a…
07-08 14:33:08	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x40d41d…
07-08 01:50:41	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xda2480…
07-08 01:50:19	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xefb415…
07-08 01:50:16	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x76b061…
07-08 01:50:07	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xaf20f3…
07-08 01:49:59	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x297baf…
07-08 01:49:58	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xe8ce10…
07-08 01:49:46	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xc335f3…
07-08 01:49:31	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa0020f…
07-08 01:49:28	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x97adc5…
07-07 20:00:35	Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x7f3593…
07-07 19:27:13	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xadfb8d…
07-07 03:16:40	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260629202434612	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x83f9c7…
07-07 03:12:47	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0xf7b8c4…
07-07 03:12:38	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xa665ba…
07-07 03:10:04	will googl dip to 330 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x9325a4…
07-05 16:48:52	Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x5654c2…
07-05 14:07:16	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x236f32…
07-05 12:30:07	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x2df58b…
07-05 02:15:16	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	SELL	35	32¢	$11	0xd641a3…
07-05 02:02:50	Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xa9d58a…
07-04 23:55:58	Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x4c4c3d…
07-04 23:39:26	us x china tariff agreement by december 31	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x2c196b…
07-04 23:32:59	will symbiotic launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x4e2ebb…
07-04 23:30:56	fnatic mergeracquisition announced by september 1 2026	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xd157ce…
07-04 23:20:26	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x785dbc…
07-03 15:49:55	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x32b329…
07-03 15:46:14	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	SELL	13	50¢	$6	0x503cc7…
07-03 15:45:26	Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xa803fb…
07-03 15:41:07	Will Elliot Anderson join Chelsea?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x010f08…
07-03 15:34:26	will 8 matches go to extra time during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205949027	No	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x965ff0…
07-02 15:50:41	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x740e7d…
07-01 16:53:41	Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x3f20b4…
07-01 16:53:17	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x3f7b75…
07-01 15:40:52	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in July 2026?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x67d8f4…
07-01 15:32:05	will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by june 30 2027 20260604155615148	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x7ff53f…
07-01 15:31:13	will stripes valuation hit high 250b by december 31	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x4a007e…
07-01 15:29:47	will the iphone 18 pro cost at least 1100 20260623232159229	No	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0x1d2dd7…
07-01 15:27:43	will abnb dip to 140 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0xa870d0…
06-27 13:45:11	Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x24c5a7…
06-27 13:43:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?	No	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0x680183…
06-27 02:13:43	Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x290be5…
06-19 15:51:13	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x487448…
06-19 15:49:13	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xc0d6c0…
06-19 15:47:55	Will Al Lawson win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x304134…
06-19 15:47:32	tabi fdv above 100m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x0c1534…
06-19 03:41:26	Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xc59d89…
06-19 03:39:16	Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x923aa3…
06-16 16:14:10	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x89d0b7…
06-16 16:13:50	will trump speak to elon musk in june	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x7afae1…
06-15 22:59:09	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x377f15…
06-14 03:50:10	will relay launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xec7d76…
06-13 01:43:48	Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xce459a…
06-13 01:43:28	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x121207…
06-13 01:42:49	will tabi launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x951cea…
06-13 01:42:40	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x17049e…
06-13 01:41:24	will endrick score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xe5d873…
06-13 01:40:13	Tuyo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xcf996f…