(anonymous) 0x30b809…86fbf3 Create alert
bot 13L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (24h)
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$86
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
4
Trades (24h)
1
4,297 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$10
$37.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$882
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-03
last 11-07 02:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
42% 13% -$126
Politics
33% 6% -$158
Sports
18% 1% -$96
Crypto
4% 0% -$14
Tech
4% 20% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? No -310 -$197 62¢ $-193 +$4 11-06 02:00
KOSPI all-time high before 2028? Yes -327 -$88 23¢ $-75 +$13 11-05 00:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes -200 -$29 32¢ $-63 -$34 11-05 00:48
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? No -90 -$59 62¢ $-55 +$4 11-05 00:48
will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146 No -50 -$28 93¢ $-46 -$18 07-03 15:49
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No -200 -$9 23¢ $-46 -$37 11-05 00:48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes -50 -$32 85¢ $-42 -$10 11-05 11:08
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes -314 -$36 11¢ $-35 +$1 11-05 00:48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes -321 -$31 11¢ $-34 -$3 11-05 00:48
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027? Yes -650 -$31 5¢ $-31 $0 11-05 00:48
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No -90 -$21 28¢ $-25 -$5 11-05 00:48
Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027? No -30 -$21 67¢ $-20 +$1 11-05 00:48
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31? No -50 -$20 39¢ $-20 +$0 11-05 00:48
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch No +20 $7 86¢ $17 +$10 06-08 09:31
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m? No -20 -$15 86¢ $-17 -$2 11-05 00:48
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes -550 -$14 3¢ $-16 -$2 11-05 00:48
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -20 -$4 74¢ $-15 -$10 07-08 20:08
Will Nebraska have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? No -20 -$12 72¢ $-14 -$3 11-05 00:48
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? No +13 $11 100¢ $13 +$2 06-05 22:47
Tori FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -90 -$11 14¢ $-12 -$1 11-05 00:48
Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes -260 -$14 4¢ $-11 +$3 11-05 00:48
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes -50 -$9 22¢ $-11 -$2 11-05 00:48
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No -400 -$9 2¢ $-10 -$1 11-05 00:48
Will Daisy Edgar-Jones be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes -220 -$15 4¢ $-10 +$5 11-05 00:48
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes -36 -$9 25¢ $-9 +$0 11-05 00:48
Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028? No -200 -$11 4¢ $-8 +$3 11-05 00:48
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No -20 -$10 42¢ $-8 +$2 07-10 23:28
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? Yes -100 -$8 8¢ $-8 $0 11-05 00:48
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? No -40 -$1 19¢ $-7 -$6 11-05 00:49
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? Yes -20 -$8 37¢ $-7 +$1 11-05 00:48