Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
7
lifetime
Volume
$444
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$350
5 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 06-12 04:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
51%
Other
47%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +618 $153 20¢ $127 $-27 06-12 04:46
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +107 $97 90¢ $96 $-1 06-12 04:41
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +64 $59 92¢ $59 $-0 06-12 04:59
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +55 $51 92¢ $51 $-0 06-12 04:58
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +32 $12 57¢ $18 +$6 06-12 04:22