Calculating-Island 0x99f056…51649f
bot hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.69K
Unrealized P&L
+$934
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
462
Trades
6,638
lifetime
Volume
$90.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$3.05K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 10-29 01:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
47% 55% +$2,744
Politics
33% 55% +$148
Crypto
18% 54% +$678
Tech
1% 63% +$93
Sports
0% 60% +$23
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +657 -$448 90¢ $588 +$1,037 10-29 01:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -551 -$359 82¢ $-454 -$96 07-19 19:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -250 -$198 86¢ $-215 -$17 06-14 15:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by november 30 20260810151158765 No +225 $149 94¢ $213 +$64 08-11 19:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +254 $195 82¢ $207 +$12 08-20 23:27
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 No +153 $57 97¢ $148 +$91 08-17 02:11
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -176 -$88 82¢ $-145 -$57 06-15 12:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +159 $132 88¢ $141 +$9 08-21 10:30
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +104 $79 100¢ $104 +$25 08-12 09:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +120 $101 86¢ $103 +$2 08-19 00:32
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +105 $96 90¢ $95 -$1 08-24 10:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +83 $72 100¢ $83 +$11 07-05 21:47
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +67 $62 94¢ $62 +$0 08-21 03:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 No +103 $21 60¢ $61 +$40 08-17 02:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +131 $84 42¢ $55 -$29 10-28 17:07
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +50 $39 98¢ $49 +$10 06-25 20:44
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +63 $33 76¢ $48 +$15 10-19 15:12
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +48 $40 97¢ $47 +$6 08-23 10:33
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026 No +47 $43 99¢ $46 +$4 08-18 10:35
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +46 $40 97¢ $44 +$4 06-21 17:27
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +45 $40 94¢ $43 +$3 07-06 10:16
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +42 -$5 87¢ $37 +$42 08-13 19:16
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +34 $22 82¢ $28 +$5 06-01 00:24
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +479 $229 3¢ $15 -$214 06-03 09:09
us charges hormuz fees by december 31 2026 20260713151243236 No +7 $1 96¢ $6 +$5 07-14 14:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +50 $8 6¢ $3 -$5 07-20 09:25
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes +134 $25 2¢ $3 -$22 06-25 17:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $1 58¢ $3 +$2 07-06 00:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +24 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 08-18 00:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +23 $13 6¢ $1 -$11 05-25 21:51