Calculating-Island 0x99f056…51649f
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,079
lifetime
Volume
$63.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$509
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-02 17:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
42% 100% +$1
Politics
38% 67% +$11
Crypto
19% 33% $-12
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -135 $-208 100¢ $-135 +$74 07-01 12:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +143 $96 74¢ $107 +$11 07-02 17:19
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -170 $-85 47¢ $-80 +$5 06-15 12:21
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +64 $24 100¢ $64 +$40 06-28 18:33
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +50 $39 90¢ $45 +$6 06-25 20:44
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +43 $36 86¢ $37 +$1 07-01 06:08
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +103 $39 14¢ $14 $-25 06-03 09:09
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-24 15:05
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-02 08:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +30 $56 18¢ $5 $-51 07-02 16:26
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-02 08:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -34 $-6 0¢ $-0 +$6 06-16 15:40