Calculating-Island 0x99f056…51649f
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$121
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
7
Trades
4,524
lifetime
Volume
$66.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.08K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-23 07:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
42% 100% +$1
Politics
39% 67% +$11
Crypto
18% 33% $-12
Tech
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +659 $194 50¢ $333 +$139 07-12 11:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +310 $240 70¢ $215 $-24 07-19 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +203 $148 99¢ $201 +$53 07-11 15:24
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -170 $-85 68¢ $-115 $-31 06-15 12:21
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +50 $39 86¢ $43 +$4 06-25 20:44
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +43 $36 88¢ $38 +$2 07-01 06:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +41 $34 80¢ $33 $-1 07-15 02:10
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +45 $32 70¢ $32 $-0 07-10 00:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +75 $13 23¢ $17 +$4 07-21 10:49
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +103 $39 12¢ $12 $-27 06-03 09:09
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-24 15:05
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $-0 06-02 08:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +35 $6 22¢ $8 +$2 07-20 09:25
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +8 $7 87¢ $7 +$0 07-10 18:35
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-02 08:16
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 44¢ $4 +$0 07-06 11:06