(anonymous) 0x66e0f8…a1e8f0
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$314
Unrealized P&L
+$163
Hit rate
84.5%
Resolved
711
Trades
2,556
lifetime
Volume
$63.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$5.19K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-05
last 10-26 15:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 79% +$26
Other
35% 90% +$441
Politics
18% 78% -$163
Tech
1% 100% +$5
Sports
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 381 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +3,845 $3,537 94¢ $3.6K +$78 10-26 15:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +445 $381 82¢ $362 -$18 10-19 05:28
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +384 $300 74¢ $286 -$15 10-06 14:47
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +113 $100 92¢ $105 +$5 10-19 04:42
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +122 $90 82¢ $100 +$10 10-15 06:32
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +110 $28 86¢ $94 +$66 10-24 05:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +120 $80 64¢ $77 -$2 10-24 05:36
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +63 $46 80¢ $50 +$4 10-15 06:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +47 $40 94¢ $44 +$4 10-15 06:35
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +45 $41 95¢ $43 +$2 10-24 06:03
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +47 $36 81¢ $38 +$2 10-20 08:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +37 $30 100¢ $37 +$7 10-19 16:52
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +36 $30 90¢ $32 +$2 10-26 05:50
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +35 $31 92¢ $32 +$1 10-20 08:00
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +42 $30 74¢ $31 +$1 10-01 14:49
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +30 $26 94¢ $28 +$2 10-20 09:29
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +35 $30 79¢ $28 -$2 10-15 09:55
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +29 $19 72¢ $21 +$2 10-19 06:30
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-01 14:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +26 $20 76¢ $20 $0 10-15 09:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 09-27 11:45
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +27 $20 72¢ $20 $0 10-04 03:11
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +36 $15 38¢ $14 -$1 10-17 05:43
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +14 $10 87¢ $12 +$2 10-16 06:19
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +13 $10 85¢ $11 +$1 10-17 05:36
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 10-13 19:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +11 $0 88¢ $10 +$10 10-17 05:41
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 10-01 14:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 $0 09-21 08:56
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +10 $5 88¢ $9 +$4 10-23 07:11