Tinted-Piglet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$533

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 08-01 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$59

Other

21% — —

Crypto

19% 75% +$59

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	1	$3.4K	3,434	0	+3,434	open	—	06-01 20:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.7K	1,933	0	+1,933	open	—	05-16 09:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.7K	1,750	0	+1,750	open	—	05-12 21:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$1.6K	1,750	0	+1,750	open	—	06-08 16:01
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	2	$1.6K	825	825	+0	open	—	06-22 21:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.3K	1,503	0	+1,503	open	—	05-31 14:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$1.1K	0	1,176	-1,176	open	—	06-27 22:16
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	1	$1000	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-02 20:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$1000	1,053	0	+1,053	open	—	06-02 20:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$950	1,062	0	+1,062	open	—	06-27 22:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$780	839	0	+839	No	+$59	05-01 16:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$572	582	0	+582	open	—	06-06 11:48
GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	1	$570	575	0	+575	open	—	05-19 23:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$565	601	0	+601	open	—	05-23 15:52
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$562	572	0	+572	open	—	06-04 16:18
Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	1	$508	512	0	+512	open	—	04-28 20:45
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$500	590	0	+590	open	—	08-01 17:06
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$500	566	0	+566	open	—	05-21 18:27
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	1	$500	506	0	+506	open	—	04-26 21:04
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?	1	$490	500	0	+500	Yes	+$10	05-08 21:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$450	479	0	+479	open	—	04-26 21:14
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	1	$400	573	0	+573	open	—	05-02 20:56
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?	1	$400	416	0	+416	Yes	+$16	05-09 17:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4?	1	$380	411	0	+411	open	—	05-02 22:41
megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	1	$352	401	0	+401	open	—	07-04 17:28
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	1	$350	398	0	+398	open	—	06-22 21:55
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	1	$300	349	0	+349	open	—	06-02 20:21
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	1	$300	337	0	+337	open	—	06-02 20:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	1	$300	320	0	+320	open	—	05-25 13:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$280	311	0	+311	open	—	05-25 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 17:06:02	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	590	85¢	$500	0xa3c411…
07-04 17:28:55	megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	No	BUY	401	88¢	$352	0xf44cef…
07-01 21:46:01	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0xb8d5c1…
07-01 21:39:46	uptspt x russia nuclear deal by july 31 20260626165517058	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x799450…
06-27 22:16:53	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	682	88¢	$600	0x77fb10…
06-27 22:16:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1,176	95¢	$1,122	0x69439a…
06-22 21:56:56	Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0xf00509…
06-22 21:55:29	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	398	88¢	$350	0x615187…
06-22 21:54:38	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	380	92¢	$350	0xd07179…
06-22 21:53:44	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	SELL	825	99¢	$818	0xfc7630…
06-08 16:01:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	1,750	93¢	$1,635	0x5791e2…
06-06 11:48:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	582	98¢	$572	0x5389c3…
06-04 16:18:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	572	98¢	$562	0x635bd2…
06-03 19:06:33	Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	212	99¢	$210	0x742ee1…
06-02 20:21:21	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x009155…
06-02 20:20:51	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x6d2d31…
06-02 20:16:34	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	No	BUY	825	97¢	$800	0x3c35d7…
06-02 20:15:43	US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	BUY	1,100	91¢	$1,000	0xb18b30…
06-02 20:12:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x969bc2…
06-01 20:18:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?	No	BUY	3,434	99¢	$3,410	0x02c063…
06-01 20:12:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x24495a…
05-31 14:19:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	333	97¢	$323	0x340f36…
05-30 18:37:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	722	90¢	$650	0xd21e92…
05-27 15:34:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xc94a00…
05-25 14:06:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	311	90¢	$280	0x354361…
05-25 14:04:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x9cbeb2…
05-25 13:58:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	320	94¢	$300	0x5dc7a5…
05-23 15:52:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	601	94¢	$565	0x171709…
05-21 18:27:32	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4f4b3d…
05-19 23:22:35	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	575	99¢	$570	0xc7628b…
05-19 16:29:52	Will Meta (META) close above $620 on May 20?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x1df244…
05-17 10:34:46	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	364	82¢	$300	0x23eeb5…
05-16 09:47:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,933	90¢	$1,740	0x561769…
05-12 21:31:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,218	98¢	$1,200	0x7e0a4d…
05-12 21:29:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x1d4ec5…
05-12 21:19:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x886637…
05-09 17:53:46	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	416	96¢	$400	0x54e9be…
05-08 21:39:12	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0x4fa1ca…
05-06 22:24:34	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	214	70¢	$150	0xc05f1e…
05-04 21:18:54	GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	176	97¢	$170	0x76fc99…
05-03 14:33:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	531	96¢	$510	0x8eb1fc…
05-02 22:41:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4?	No	BUY	411	92¢	$380	0x214cf1…
05-02 20:56:36	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	573	70¢	$400	0xca18c9…
05-02 20:41:36	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	293	85¢	$250	0x7f87e0…
05-01 16:34:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	839	93¢	$780	0x6852a1…
04-28 20:45:10	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	512	99¢	$508	0xcdb781…
04-26 21:14:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	479	94¢	$450	0x7ab062…
04-26 21:14:06	Major US official out by April 30?	No	BUY	312	80¢	$250	0x035eb3…
04-26 21:04:48	Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?	No	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x609cf8…
04-25 17:28:02	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x798665…