(anonymous) 0xfc42c9…1e89f7 Create alert
bot 6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
50.2%
Resolved
347
Trades
1,511
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$253
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-04
last 11-08 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 36 days
Categories
Other
68% 48% +$117
Politics
29% 25% -$29
Crypto
2% 38% -$12
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? Yes +20 $7 100¢ $20 +$13 10-31 19:03
Will the Louisiana 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +20 $6 99¢ $20 +$14 10-29 11:10
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $198B by November 30? No +20 $16 94¢ $19 +$3 11-06 12:10
will the ethereum volatility index dip to 45 by november 30 No +20 $17 88¢ $18 +$1 11-02 18:57
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.1% in October? No +20 $17 87¢ $17 +$0 10-30 01:50
will the bitcoin volatility index hit 55 by november 30 No +20 $14 79¢ $16 +$2 11-03 04:53
Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 13? No +20 $14 76¢ $15 +$1 10-29 03:42
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between November 15 and November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $8 64¢ $13 +$5 11-06 03:26
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +40 $7 25¢ $10 +$3 11-06 06:57
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +39 $21 24¢ $10 -$12 11-06 15:12
Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be between $1.50 and $1.75 on November 30, 2026? No +20 $13 40¢ $8 -$5 11-05 06:41
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $7 38¢ $8 +$1 11-06 22:29
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 50 by November 30? Yes +20 $12 32¢ $6 -$6 11-06 01:01
Will there be at least 5800 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026? No +20 $12 30¢ $6 -$6 10-31 20:36
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.1B by November 30? Yes +20 $8 28¢ $6 -$2 11-06 17:15
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.3B by November 30? Yes +20 $3 28¢ $6 +$2 11-04 20:59
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by November 30? Yes +20 $9 26¢ $5 -$4 11-07 13:45
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $6.25B by November 30? Yes +20 $16 25¢ $5 -$11 11-06 16:59
Will Jean-Michel Basquiat's “Untitled (Leonardo and His Five Grotesque Heads)” sell for between $50m and $60m at auction? Yes +20 $10 24¢ $5 -$6 11-07 10:34
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $3 95¢ $5 +$2 10-27 12:58
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +20 $4 23¢ $5 +$0 11-05 19:10
Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for between $60m and $70m at auction? Yes +20 $10 22¢ $4 -$6 11-07 10:34
Will zekken play for NRG in 2027? No +20 $9 21¢ $4 -$5 11-05 04:02
Will Amedeo Modigliani's “Tête” sell for between $38m and $43m at auction? Yes +20 $10 20¢ $4 -$6 11-07 10:34
Will Wassily Kandinsky's “Betonte Ecken” sell for between $90m and $105m at auction? Yes +20 $11 19¢ $4 -$7 11-07 10:42
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30? Yes +31 $4 12¢ $4 -$1 10-31 10:23
will metas market capitalization be between 1pt50t and 1pt625t at the end of december 2026 Yes +20 $4 18¢ $4 -$1 11-03 05:01
Will Gustav Klimt's “Litzlbergkeller” sell for between $90m and $105m at auction? Yes +20 $11 18¢ $4 -$7 11-07 10:35
GitHub.com critical incident by November 13, 2026? No +20 $7 15¢ $3 -$4 11-06 23:46
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $174B by November 30? Yes +20 $8 15¢ $3 -$5 11-07 19:14