Buzzing-Abacus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

871

lifetime

Volume

$64.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$3.02K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-22 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

54% 33% +$48

Other

37% 100% +$6

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1,900	$1,408	72¢	$1.4K	$-49	07-20 14:26
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+1,100	$840	74¢	$820	$-20	07-20 11:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+200	$172	90¢	$179	+$7	06-11 12:35
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	+200	$166	84¢	$169	+$3	07-21 20:18
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	+200	$158	84¢	$167	+$9	07-22 15:15
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	+200	$160	77¢	$154	$-6	07-14 12:31
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+110	$100	94¢	$104	+$4	06-11 20:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+70	$39	99¢	$69	+$30	06-23 11:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	24	$1.8K	1,389	1,025	+363	open	—	04-29 16:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	20	$1.8K	2,191	0	+2,191	open	—	02-27 21:05
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	10	$1.6K	1,700	0	+1,700	open	—	07-22 14:55
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	14	$1.6K	1,030	1,024	+5	open	—	03-23 04:01
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	11	$1.5K	1,019	914	+105	open	—	01-31 13:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	15	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-20 14:26
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$1.4K	1,640	0	+1,640	open	—	03-04 02:00
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	2	$1.4K	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	02-16 05:02
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	18	$1.3K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	02-27 14:43
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	15	$1.3K	979	979	+0	open	—	03-08 18:26
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	10	$1.2K	1,266	0	+1,266	open	—	03-03 17:40
iran leadership change by march 31	5	$1.2K	663	663	+0	open	—	03-30 08:22
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	3	$1.1K	2,376	133	+2,243	open	—	03-17 14:22
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	19	$1.1K	654	654	+0	open	—	03-26 08:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$1.0K	1,081	839	+242	open	—	03-08 17:40
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	7	$1.0K	601	600	+0	open	—	05-06 14:53
iran strike on israel by february 28	12	$1.0K	1,061	1,168	-106	open	—	02-28 10:51
will khamenei tweet again on march 18 2026 365 885	3	$1000	806	306	+500	open	—	03-18 18:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$951	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	02-27 11:47
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	11	$887	974	0	+974	open	—	06-20 18:36
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$870	477	477	+0	open	—	02-20 17:17
Iran leadership change by December 31?	6	$840	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	07-20 11:48
Iran leadership change by April 30?	11	$766	764	282	+482	open	—	04-16 20:30
Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?	8	$755	527	319	+209	open	—	04-29 16:14
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	6	$754	900	0	+900	open	—	07-21 20:48
iran strike on us military by february 28	11	$747	863	863	+0	open	—	02-28 10:51
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	8	$741	711	255	+456	open	—	03-12 13:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	8	$704	816	0	+816	open	—	01-15 15:21
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$702	430	328	+102	open	—	04-29 16:14
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	7	$700	763	0	+763	open	—	02-27 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 18:42:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x29a838…
07-22 18:24:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x19775d…
07-22 18:18:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0xa92a9a…
07-22 15:15:21	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xddb41b…
07-22 14:55:31	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	172	95¢	$163	0x5a08e9…
07-22 14:07:13	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x6f17cc…
07-21 20:56:25	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x593fdf…
07-21 20:48:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	123	93¢	$114	0x0460ac…
07-21 20:48:46	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x0b1b95…
07-21 20:48:40	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x0d4151…
07-21 20:48:30	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	77	93¢	$72	0x378a3c…
07-21 20:46:10	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x126961…
07-21 20:18:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xe0370d…
07-20 14:36:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0xea0088…
07-20 14:27:03	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf326e7…
07-20 14:26:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x246c07…
07-20 14:16:27	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1573be…
07-20 13:47:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x258de2…
07-20 12:49:21	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xe1fbbc…
07-20 11:48:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xac13eb…
07-20 11:39:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	91	83¢	$76	0xf4178e…
07-20 11:37:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x0439e8…
07-19 16:00:04	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0x007954…
07-19 13:18:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf8d86c…
07-19 12:58:00	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x20dfcc…
07-19 11:58:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x90e18f…
07-19 11:57:04	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x13ad4c…
07-19 11:56:49	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xa955cf…
07-19 11:50:06	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x5dae07…
07-19 11:49:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xa6a1b8…
07-19 11:42:46	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xcc1847…
07-19 11:03:27	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe70476…
07-19 11:03:19	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xcebe39…
07-19 06:08:51	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xba346f…
07-19 06:08:24	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xd134a1…
07-19 00:48:16	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x950405…
07-18 21:28:39	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x2ee723…
07-18 18:29:45	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	117	80¢	$94	0x4a29e5…
07-18 17:57:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xe52dd7…
07-18 17:37:48	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xf21601…
07-18 03:04:43	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x940205…
07-18 00:10:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x8cf2c0…
07-17 22:51:00	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	63	80¢	$51	0x917519…
07-17 22:50:27	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x00b011…
07-17 17:07:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xd976f5…
07-17 01:06:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xf2de03…
07-16 01:24:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	48	74¢	$35	0x650a9c…
07-16 01:24:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	152	74¢	$113	0xd78a6d…
07-14 12:31:19	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x73ebf5…
07-13 20:56:13	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x36cc8e…
07-13 20:14:55	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x345db7…
07-13 19:41:19	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xa6e423…
07-13 19:31:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x39ca14…
07-13 19:28:29	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x3c39b6…
07-13 19:28:08	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	41	82¢	$34	0xbf1e30…
07-13 18:13:26	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xce5302…
07-13 17:17:43	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x53e672…
07-13 17:08:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xf88bd6…
07-13 17:05:37	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x92b256…
07-13 12:01:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	67	80¢	$53	0x4752e9…
07-13 12:01:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0xe73bff…
07-13 12:00:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	95	80¢	$76	0xa2bee9…
07-10 22:47:49	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x3fd639…
07-10 19:16:44	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	98	91¢	$90	0xa24c79…
07-10 18:37:31	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	102	91¢	$92	0xda4b2a…
07-10 14:40:34	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xd85ca3…
07-10 14:38:34	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xdd0dd7…
07-08 21:57:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x48b807…
07-07 13:13:16	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	128	60¢	$77	0x2b2f8c…
07-07 13:07:52	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x6fae17…
07-07 13:07:29	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	72	56¢	$40	0x8a8640…
07-07 12:37:46	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xefcb03…
07-04 11:51:25	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0x531550…
07-04 11:51:13	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x3dd1ec…
07-04 11:51:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xfe2199…
07-04 11:51:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc94640…
07-04 11:51:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x9a178e…
07-04 11:51:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x583115…
07-04 11:51:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x25ddd5…
07-04 11:51:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x07d89d…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf3463d…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf2a8ee…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe1a567…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd56772…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xc05326…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xae1612…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x8ad7be…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x668827…
07-04 11:51:05	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	0	75¢	$0	0x5e05be…
07-01 13:37:13	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x0562c0…
07-01 13:31:50	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x439379…
07-01 13:30:52	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xadf9c7…
06-23 12:20:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xe5a707…
06-23 11:36:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x29e102…
06-20 18:36:14	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x7d6e1b…
06-20 14:58:26	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xb25650…
06-20 14:43:41	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	183	92¢	$169	0xd3bc6a…
06-20 14:42:05	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xf3164d…
06-20 14:41:53	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x7049e0…
06-20 14:02:44	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x9d38e4…