Realized P&L
-$1.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.20K
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved
222
Trades
1,298
lifetime
Volume
$96.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$20.4K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-26 21:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
57% 63% -$3,477
Other
35% 70% +$1,072
Crypto
7% 72% +$617
Sports
0% 100% +$80
Tech
0% 100% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$37
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +7,243 $5,544 86¢ $6.2K +$671 10-25 22:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,500 $3,362 82¢ $3.7K +$305 10-25 03:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,440 $2,176 94¢ $2.3K +$118 10-26 17:46
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,700 $1,502 97¢ $1.6K +$144 09-15 17:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,744 $1,343 86¢ $1.5K +$148 10-25 11:16
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +724 $688 98¢ $708 +$20 07-23 22:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +750 $637 94¢ $701 +$64 10-25 20:02
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $564 68¢ $540 -$24 10-26 01:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +600 $493 88¢ $525 +$32 07-23 14:55
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +500 $383 92¢ $457 +$74 08-31 13:05
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +428 $209 92¢ $394 +$184 07-07 13:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +400 $289 74¢ $294 +$5 10-26 21:55
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +350 $209 74¢ $261 +$51 09-09 00:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +290 $190 66¢ $190 $0 10-25 21:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +200 $172 94¢ $187 +$15 06-11 12:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +350 $174 52¢ $184 +$10 09-05 14:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +400 $169 38¢ $150 -$19 10-23 13:02
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $141 74¢ $147 +$6 10-20 01:13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -133 -$131 97¢ $-129 +$2 09-28 17:22
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +110 $100 96¢ $106 +$6 06-11 20:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +150 $77 53¢ $80 +$2 10-25 00:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +100 $54 12¢ $12 -$42 07-28 22:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $570 36¢ $0 -$570 10-22 04:15