Buzzing-Abacus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

942

lifetime

Volume

$70.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-11 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

57% 33% +$48

Other

34% 100% +$6

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	19	$3.7K	3,900	0	+3,900	open	—	07-24 18:50
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	24	$1.8K	1,389	1,025	+363	open	—	04-29 16:14
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	20	$1.8K	2,191	0	+2,191	open	—	02-27 21:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	16	$1.6K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	07-30 01:34
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	14	$1.6K	1,030	1,024	+5	open	—	03-23 04:01
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	11	$1.5K	1,019	914	+105	open	—	01-31 13:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$1.4K	1,640	0	+1,640	open	—	03-04 02:00
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 1m 791 144 948	2	$1.4K	1,340	1,340	+0	open	—	02-16 05:02
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	18	$1.3K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	02-27 14:43
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	15	$1.3K	979	979	+0	open	—	03-08 18:26
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	10	$1.2K	1,266	0	+1,266	open	—	03-03 17:40
iran leadership change by march 31	5	$1.2K	663	663	+0	open	—	03-30 08:22
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	15	$1.1K	650	650	+0	open	—	07-31 17:35
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	3	$1.1K	2,376	133	+2,243	open	—	03-17 14:22
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	19	$1.1K	654	654	+0	open	—	03-26 08:05
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$1.0K	1,081	839	+242	open	—	03-08 17:40
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	7	$1.0K	601	600	+0	open	—	05-06 14:53
iran strike on israel by february 28	12	$1.0K	1,061	1,168	-106	open	—	02-28 10:51
will khamenei tweet again on march 18 2026 365 885	3	$1000	806	306	+500	open	—	03-18 18:30
Iran leadership change by December 31?	7	$980	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	08-08 06:32
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$951	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	02-27 11:47
iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	7	$924	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	08-07 13:50
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	11	$887	974	0	+974	open	—	06-20 18:36
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$870	477	477	+0	open	—	02-20 17:17
Iran leadership change by April 30?	11	$766	764	282	+482	open	—	04-16 20:30
Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?	8	$755	527	319	+209	open	—	04-29 16:14
iran strike on us military by february 28	11	$747	863	863	+0	open	—	02-28 10:51
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	8	$741	711	255	+456	open	—	03-12 13:21
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	14	$709	882	0	+882	open	—	08-04 09:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	8	$704	816	0	+816	open	—	01-15 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:01:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	400	97¢	$388	0x1ba5f8…
08-08 06:32:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xe7efe1…
08-07 13:50:34	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xc3c350…
08-06 07:39:53	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x04d6b5…
08-05 17:49:39	bitcoin etf flows on august 5	Negative	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9eba58…
08-05 13:17:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x4d2e2d…
08-04 09:56:29	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	139	82¢	$114	0x390a8b…
08-04 00:17:41	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xd2824d…
08-02 23:39:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	250	98¢	$245	0x9528fd…
08-01 16:45:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	68	54¢	$37	0xfa9a9f…
08-01 16:28:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xffcc8b…
08-01 16:28:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc8e879…
08-01 16:28:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x14dbbd…
08-01 16:27:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x67a34b…
08-01 16:27:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x291eef…
08-01 16:27:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x72e7ab…
08-01 16:27:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfc120f…
08-01 16:27:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8a1287…
08-01 16:27:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5c8c5e…
08-01 16:27:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x8845cc…
08-01 16:26:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0x08a764…
08-01 16:26:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xcf0fa5…
08-01 16:26:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xb74514…
08-01 16:26:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xc29ea1…
08-01 16:26:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x1c34bc…
08-01 16:11:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	169	51¢	$86	0x3060b3…
08-01 16:09:08	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xa84f8c…
08-01 16:06:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x513f94…
08-01 16:04:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x437b04…
08-01 16:03:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0xec39d1…
08-01 16:02:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xd22eba…
08-01 13:31:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x089bae…
07-31 17:35:41	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	650	99¢	$645	0x057711…
07-30 21:12:27	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x04ff12…
07-30 13:41:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x698af6…
07-30 13:15:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	299	97¢	$289	0x4c349c…
07-30 13:15:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$0	0x52e4fd…
07-30 01:34:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xb178d0…
07-29 17:48:32	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x276135…
07-28 22:21:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x9e4b8a…
07-25 19:50:19	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x42eb90…
07-25 19:50:07	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x021314…
07-25 19:47:15	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x60b950…
07-25 19:46:13	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x25aa55…
07-25 02:01:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x96b429…
07-24 18:50:00	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	600	96¢	$573	0xd9151c…
07-24 18:50:00	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	392	95¢	$374	0x423071…
07-24 15:32:00	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	400	96¢	$382	0x877210…
07-24 13:09:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0xa36fe3…
07-24 10:43:49	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	285	59¢	$168	0x714886…
07-23 23:15:21	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	400	95¢	$381	0x62d52d…
07-23 20:28:06	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0x1cf7e9…
07-23 18:11:54	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	No	BUY	8	59¢	$4	0x23df74…
07-23 14:55:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x920d9f…
07-23 14:14:54	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xe494bc…
07-23 13:47:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x2fa90c…
07-23 13:42:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x8037ef…
07-23 13:41:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	64	82¢	$52	0xe4c908…
07-23 13:30:52	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x8d5ec7…
07-23 13:27:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x2cc0d6…
07-23 13:25:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0xf4e2e1…
07-23 13:25:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xc0f8b0…
07-23 07:56:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	111	93¢	$103	0xec6a01…
07-23 03:26:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x563ee7…
07-23 02:29:42	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	74	93¢	$69	0x1d99fd…
07-22 23:40:24	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x8d45db…
07-22 23:18:33	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	46	94¢	$44	0xc4bc16…
07-22 21:47:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x8e2ee0…
07-22 18:42:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x29a838…
07-22 18:24:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x19775d…
07-22 18:18:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	Yes	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0xa92a9a…
07-22 15:15:21	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xddb41b…
07-22 14:55:31	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	172	95¢	$163	0x5a08e9…
07-22 14:07:13	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x6f17cc…
07-21 20:56:25	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x593fdf…
07-21 20:48:52	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	123	93¢	$114	0x0460ac…
07-21 20:48:46	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x0b1b95…
07-21 20:48:40	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x0d4151…
07-21 20:48:30	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	77	93¢	$72	0x378a3c…
07-21 20:46:10	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x126961…
07-21 20:18:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xe0370d…
07-20 14:36:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	45	83¢	$37	0xea0088…
07-20 14:27:03	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf326e7…
07-20 14:26:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x246c07…
07-20 14:16:27	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1573be…
07-20 13:47:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x258de2…
07-20 12:49:21	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0xe1fbbc…
07-20 11:48:22	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xac13eb…
07-20 11:39:09	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	91	83¢	$76	0xf4178e…
07-20 11:37:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x0439e8…
07-19 16:00:04	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0x007954…
07-19 13:18:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf8d86c…
07-19 12:58:00	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x20dfcc…
07-19 11:58:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x90e18f…
07-19 11:57:04	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x13ad4c…
07-19 11:56:49	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xa955cf…
07-19 11:50:06	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x5dae07…
07-19 11:49:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xa6a1b8…
07-19 11:42:46	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by december 31 2026 20260709234123318	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xcc1847…
07-19 11:03:27	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by september 30 2026 20260709234123317	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe70476…