Realized P&L
-$20
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
54.2%
Resolved
287
Trades
32,457
lifetime
Volume
$109.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$13
7 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 06-30 12:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
76% 49% $-36
Sports
15% 57% +$14
Politics
8% 71% +$2
Crypto
1% 67% +$0
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 589 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -4 $-6 100¢ $-4 +$2 05-31 17:57
X banned in any European country by December 31? No -4 $-3 78¢ $-3 +$0 06-16 08:18
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +10 $4 24¢ $2 $-2 06-17 16:24
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-3 35¢ $-2 +$1 06-15 14:27
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +8 $5 11¢ $1 $-4 06-12 17:39
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 06-07 01:26
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -0 $1 62¢ $-0 $-1 05-31 13:48