Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
closed
Total volume
$744
Trades
49
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-05-03
First seen
2026-04-25
last 04-28 10:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $9
vs crowd: 13% YES on $724)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $7 | $52 | $45 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $21 | $514 | $493 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $39 | $64 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $25 | $2 | +$24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $29 | $71 | $43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $416 | $411 |
| Median | 2 | $39 | $43 | $4 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $41 | $41 |
| unranked | 5 | $21 | $28 | $7 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | No | +442 | $402 | $402 | 2 | 04-25 12:42 |
| Opulent-Communicant 0x7f15…52f1 | Yes | +431 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 04-25 12:42 |
| Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | +190 | $21 | $21 | 10 | 04-28 10:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +64 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 04-27 12:44 |
| Blue-Gelatin 0x0f60…026a | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 04-26 20:25 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 04-26 20:25 |
| Spanish-Linguistics 0xf7a6…aed7 | No | +37 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 04-27 12:44 |
| Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | +32 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 04-27 09:55 |
| Precious-Painting 0x56be…8cff | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 04-27 12:44 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 04-25 08:53 |
| Aware-Vengeance 0xbe1e…7fa1 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 04-27 07:14 |
| Grand-Expert 0x1862…b0ae | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 04-27 09:55 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 04-27 02:45 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 04-27 02:45 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 04-25 14:39 |
| Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 04-26 20:02 |
| Awful-Lens 0xb703…bf46 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-26 09:28 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-25 14:44 |
| Earnest-Legacy 0x6995…c072 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $29 | 2 | 04-27 06:56 |
| Humble-Experiment 0x778c…6d5a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 04-26 11:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x912a…adf5 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 04-28 10:32 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 10:32:00 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7ffd3a… |
| 04-28 10:32:00 | (anonymous) 0x912a…adf5 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7ffd3a… |
| 04-27 12:44:50 | Precious-Painting 0x56be…8cff | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x357d2f… |
| 04-27 12:44:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x357d2f… |
| 04-27 12:44:50 | Spanish-Linguistics 0xf7a6…aed7 | No | BUY | 37 | 89¢ | $33 | 0x357d2f… |
| 04-27 09:55:00 | Grand-Expert 0x1862…b0ae | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x1c484a… |
| 04-27 09:55:00 | Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x1c484a… |
| 04-27 07:14:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x010a29… |
| 04-27 07:14:30 | Aware-Vengeance 0xbe1e…7fa1 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x010a29… |
| 04-27 06:56:16 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 101 | 12¢ | $12 | 0x7ce19f… |
| 04-27 06:56:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7ce19f… |
| 04-27 06:56:16 | Earnest-Legacy 0x6995…c072 | Yes | SELL | 108 | 12¢ | $13 | 0x7ce19f… |
| 04-27 02:45:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x95f3f2… |
| 04-27 02:45:12 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x95f3f2… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe85d18… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xe85d18… |
| 04-27 02:45:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 9 | 87¢ | $8 | 0xe85d18… |
| 04-26 20:25:18 | Earnest-Legacy 0x6995…c072 | Yes | BUY | 112 | 14¢ | $16 | 0xf7b3e4… |
| 04-26 20:25:18 | Blue-Gelatin 0x0f60…026a | No | BUY | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0xf7b3e4… |
| 04-26 20:25:18 | Buttery-Tangerine 0x189e…89d9 | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $21 | 0xf7b3e4… |
| 04-26 20:25:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 37 | 86¢ | $32 | 0xf7b3e4… |
| 04-26 20:10:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfdc8fa… |
| 04-26 20:10:42 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xfdc8fa… |
| 04-26 20:09:02 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb1b27e… |
| 04-26 20:09:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb1b27e… |
| 04-26 20:02:56 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa0a8ee… |
| 04-26 20:02:56 | (anonymous) 0x912a…adf5 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xa0a8ee… |
| 04-26 20:02:52 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x84e9d3… |
| 04-26 20:02:52 | Graceful-Basin 0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x84e9d3… |
| 04-26 20:02:52 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | Yes | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x499444… |
| 04-26 20:02:52 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x499444… |
| 04-26 11:57:18 | Humble-Experiment 0x778c…6d5a | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x78071a… |
| 04-26 11:57:18 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x78071a… |
| 04-26 09:28:32 | Awful-Lens 0xb703…bf46 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xdbc21c… |
| 04-26 09:28:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $6 | 0xdbc21c… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x6814e0… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd8cc40… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xd8cc40… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x91ef54… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x91ef54… |
| 04-25 14:44:04 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6814e0… |
| 04-25 14:39:48 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xa52863… |
| 04-25 14:39:48 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa52863… |
| 04-25 12:42:26 | Opulent-Communicant 0x7f15…52f1 | Yes | BUY | 431 | 9¢ | $39 | 0xae3577… |
| 04-25 12:42:26 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | No | BUY | 431 | 91¢ | $392 | 0xae3577… |
| 04-25 12:31:46 | (anonymous) 0xaf0f…e040 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x5a3de9… |
| 04-25 12:31:46 | Grand-Expert 0x1862…b0ae | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x5a3de9… |
| 04-25 08:53:34 | Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x7f34b9… |
| 04-25 08:53:34 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0x7f34b9… |