Aware-Vengeance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

735

Trades

1,076

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 05-13 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

66% 81% -$202

Politics

22% 71% +$137

Crypto

8% 90% -$36

Tech

3% 87% +$7

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$573	4,232	4,232	+0	Yes	+$273	04-07 21:01
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	2	$83	45	44	+1	No	+$4	04-21 22:09
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	05-13 14:46
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$81	47	47	+0	No	$0	05-13 14:46
Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$81	44	44	+0	No	+$1	05-13 14:46
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	2	$80	45	45	+0	No	-$1	05-13 14:46
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?	2	$78	42	42	+0	No	-$2	05-13 14:46
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	2	$67	37	36	+1	No	+$3	04-22 13:39
bitcoin above 78k on april 20	2	$64	34	34	+0	No	+$4	04-20 11:50
will none of the eaglets hatch before april 17 823 292	8	$64	38	30	+8	No	$0	04-03 23:43
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$56	29	29	+0	No	+$2	04-24 19:47
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?	4	$53	28	27	+1	No	+$2	04-18 05:13
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	2	$52	58	0	+58	No	+$6	04-19 18:29
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	1	$50	217	0	+217	No	-$50	05-06 18:27
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?	3	$46	44	44	+0	No	-$35	04-24 19:18
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	2	$45	47	0	+47	No	+$2	04-19 11:26
ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 120 139	5	$44	45	45	+0	Yes	-$37	04-20 20:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$3	05-13 14:46
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?	3	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$3	04-15 11:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?	2	$44	24	24	+0	No	+$2	05-11 00:08
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$2	04-23 02:04
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$43	23	23	+0	No	+$2	05-06 12:40
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 13?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-13 14:40
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-13 14:46
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	2	$43	23	22	+1	No	+$2	04-17 11:19
Will Anas Sarwar be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-13 14:46
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?	3	$42	23	23	+0	No	+$2	04-17 11:21
Will Everton Blair Jr. be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	2	$42	24	24	+0	No	+$1	05-13 14:46
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 220 239	2	$42	23	22	+1	No	+$2	04-14 11:51
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-06 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:46:58	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2947a9…
05-13 14:46:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0xcd32b5…
05-13 14:46:56	Will MrBeast hit 124.5 billion views by May 31?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x949ddb…
05-13 14:46:56	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x310814…
05-13 14:46:54	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	No	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0xf4d58a…
05-13 14:46:54	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0xc85530…
05-13 14:46:54	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0x909c49…
05-13 14:46:54	Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x54d608…
05-13 14:46:52	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xea47d4…
05-13 14:46:52	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xac70af…
05-13 14:46:52	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x25645b…
05-13 14:46:52	Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x0f769e…
05-13 14:46:51	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xaa64be…
05-13 14:46:51	Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?	No	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x962b00…
05-13 14:46:51	Will EagleRock not IPO before July 2026?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x612536…
05-13 14:46:51	50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x576a3e…
05-13 14:46:51	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	23	66¢	$15	0x2d4bce…
05-13 14:46:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 11-17?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xb3b8c7…
05-13 14:46:49	Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6c03e6…
05-13 14:46:49	Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x563fec…
05-13 14:46:49	Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be between $130M and $150M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x0292d0…
05-13 14:46:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x90c084…
05-13 14:46:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x35301a…
05-13 14:46:45	Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x7bde68…
05-13 14:46:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x7b3471…
05-13 14:46:45	Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x79fd85…
05-13 14:46:45	Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x238c94…
05-13 14:46:44	Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	No	SELL	22	82¢	$18	0xa7d878…
05-13 14:46:44	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0x6a1b4f…
05-13 14:46:44	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x60a9f0…
05-13 14:46:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x514bd3…
05-13 14:46:44	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x4b507d…
05-13 14:46:42	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0xcd848d…
05-13 14:46:42	US bank failure by May 31?	No	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x5ed5f5…
05-13 14:46:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in May?	No	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xf3fc02…
05-13 14:46:40	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0x941c74…
05-13 14:46:40	Will Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x7c39f3…
05-13 14:46:40	US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x55c5bb…
05-13 14:46:38	Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0xd0faa8…
05-13 14:46:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x822328…
05-13 14:46:38	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $256 in May?	No	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0x7f0112…
05-13 14:46:37	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $140 in May?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xf86a14…
05-13 14:46:37	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x90f7ee…
05-13 14:46:37	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x471326…
05-13 14:46:35	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the May meeting?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xe696d8…
05-13 14:46:35	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xda590f…
05-13 14:46:35	Will Nina Linh advance from the CA-40 primary election?	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x373dac…
05-13 14:46:33	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 in May?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x6ea246…
05-13 14:46:33	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $312 in May?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x0fc7c5…
05-13 14:46:31	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xf9cc2f…
05-13 14:46:31	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	23	79¢	$18	0xca2bc8…
05-13 14:46:31	Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x6950e0…
05-13 14:46:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xd11c95…
05-13 14:46:30	Will John Wesley Tyler advance from the CA-04 primary election?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xa8f82b…
05-13 14:46:30	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x86e2ff…
05-13 14:46:30	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	No	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0x51f96f…
05-13 14:46:28	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xe94c9a…
05-13 14:46:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in May?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xb25033…
05-13 14:46:28	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in May?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0xa683da…
05-13 14:46:28	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x9a9f28…
05-13 14:46:28	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x1675c7…
05-13 14:46:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in May?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xcc6638…
05-13 14:46:26	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in May?	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x59b5d1…
05-13 14:46:24	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $610b on May 31?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xea6988…
05-13 14:46:24	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0xa4ed09…
05-13 14:46:24	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x499eae…
05-13 14:46:23	Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0xaf9218…
05-13 14:46:23	Will "Polymarket" be said on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	23	79¢	$18	0x62f18d…
05-13 14:46:23	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?	No	SELL	21	92¢	$19	0x4f8f59…
05-13 14:46:23	Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x347c77…
05-13 14:46:21	Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf28f48…
05-13 14:46:21	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xb5b27e…
05-13 14:46:21	Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x4fab4b…
05-13 14:46:21	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x43c79f…
05-13 14:46:21	Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x2870a7…
05-13 14:46:21	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x084658…
05-13 14:46:19	Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by May 31?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$21	0xef1b41…
05-13 14:46:19	Will Luxembourg come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe9becc…
05-13 14:46:19	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by May 31?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x9543f9…
05-13 14:46:19	Will Anas Sarwar be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x1dbdab…
05-13 14:46:17	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xc7e6ec…
05-13 14:46:17	Will Everton Blair Jr. be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	No	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0xa752ea…
05-13 14:46:17	FDA approves AstraZeneca's Truqap (capivasertib)?	No	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0x66c160…
05-13 14:46:16	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	47	86¢	$40	0xbf610e…
05-13 14:46:16	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0xa1a1c0…
05-13 14:46:16	Will Lamont McClure be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0x1c07bc…
05-13 14:46:14	Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x9fa626…
05-13 14:46:14	Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	44	92¢	$41	0x8c9104…
05-13 14:46:14	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	SELL	25	74¢	$19	0x68243d…
05-13 14:46:12	Will Sweden be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xa16960…
05-13 14:46:12	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x73e3fb…
05-13 14:46:12	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be between $50M and $55M at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	22	86¢	$19	0x5f03c4…
05-13 14:46:12	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x58af93…
05-13 14:46:10	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Alfonso López Chau advance to the runoff?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x37ae02…
05-13 14:46:10	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1f6a11…
05-13 14:46:10	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x143466…
05-13 14:46:09	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd193e2…
05-13 14:40:48	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0xdfcbaa…
05-13 14:40:08	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 9, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xbbd391…
05-13 14:40:05	Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6859ce…