Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 15, 2026?
open
Total volume
$280
$169 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$2,360
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-15 19:53
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $82 | $82 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $147 | $147 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $30 | $19 | +$11 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $68 | $68 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $30 | $15 | +$15 |
| Median | 4 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $93 | $93 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $19 | $19 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slow-Median 0x8772…e179 | Yes | +305 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-11 14:08 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +75 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-15 00:15 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-11 19:52 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-15 08:29 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-09 02:20 |
| Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-15 14:27 |
| Upset-Chateau 0x681b…8a5a | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 21:41 |
| Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 02:20 |
| Aware-Vengeance 0xbe1e…7fa1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 15:23 |
| Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 19:52 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 08:29 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 19:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 19:53:25 | Bewitched-Makeup 0xb2c5…6593 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f69b4… |
| 05-15 14:27:04 | Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xa22d5e… |
| 05-15 10:35:28 | Flawless-Agriculture 0x055e…de32 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x660f0c… |
| 05-15 08:29:57 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x8c7738… |
| 05-15 08:29:57 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xfc06e0… |
| 05-15 00:15:21 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbbfed7… |
| 05-15 00:15:21 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x797263… |
| 05-14 23:30:22 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbe4388… |
| 05-12 22:12:47 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x221b02… |
| 05-12 21:41:33 | Upset-Chateau 0x681b…8a5a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf3cead… |
| 05-11 19:52:46 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 62 | 98¢ | $61 | 0x884949… |
| 05-11 19:52:46 | Cumbersome-Circulation 0x2a31…f2f0 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xcb8c04… |
| 05-11 19:52:46 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xa67023… |
| 05-11 19:52:46 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xc4b7c4… |
| 05-11 15:23:11 | Aware-Vengeance 0xbe1e…7fa1 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x72d1d3… |
| 05-11 14:47:29 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5cb890… |
| 05-11 14:47:29 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x5cd825… |
| 05-11 14:08:10 | Slow-Median 0x8772…e179 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x0490d1… |
| 05-11 14:08:03 | Slow-Median 0x8772…e179 | Yes | BUY | 243 | 8¢ | $20 | 0xa54607… |
| 05-09 02:20:28 | Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x626f40… |
| 05-09 02:20:28 | Pristine-Soul 0x5edc…bbad | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x54e3eb… |