Slow-Median — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

165

Trades

3,838

lifetime

Volume

$52.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-09 19:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 52% $-42

Other

16% 33% $-31

Politics

14% 0% $-1

Sports

1% 33% +$10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	25	$1.8K	1,256	1,256	+0	open	—	03-08 21:29
btc updown 15m 1773045900	13	$1.5K	1,075	1,064	+11	open	—	03-09 09:00
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	14	$1.3K	865	865	+0	open	—	03-08 21:51
btc updown 5m 1773062400	9	$1.3K	870	861	+9	open	—	03-09 13:24
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	43	$1.2K	1,205	1,205	+0	open	—	04-12 22:26
btc updown 5m 1773043800	7	$1.2K	965	954	+11	open	—	03-09 08:12
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$756	508	508	+0	open	—	03-09 06:53
btc updown 5m 1773044100	4	$749	419	418	+1	open	—	03-09 08:19
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	33	$606	1,841	1,841	+0	open	—	03-08 20:34
btc updown 15m 1773064800	5	$577	416	334	+81	open	—	03-09 14:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	24	$559	627	536	+91	open	—	04-07 23:26
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	27	$481	581	569	+11	open	—	04-24 19:20
trump approval up or down this week 715	14	$474	371	363	+8	open	—	04-18 11:47
btc updown 15m 1773342000	8	$468	347	343	+4	open	—	03-12 19:13
btc updown 15m 1773085500	7	$453	327	317	+10	open	—	03-09 19:59
btc updown 5m 1775411100	3	$439	261	257	+4	open	—	04-05 17:49
btc updown 15m 1773084600	4	$432	328	325	+3	open	—	03-09 19:38
btc updown 15m 1772761500	7	$430	288	254	+34	open	—	03-06 01:58
btc updown 5m 1772840100	4	$428	223	223	+0	open	—	03-06 23:40
btc updown 15m 1773343800	7	$426	266	265	+2	open	—	03-12 19:42
btc updown 15m 1772793000	8	$422	230	230	+0	open	—	03-06 10:37
btc updown 15m 1772758800	10	$413	256	255	+1	open	—	03-06 01:14
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	20	$394	448	439	+9	open	—	04-21 14:49
btc updown 15m 1775515500	10	$349	258	252	+6	open	—	04-06 22:52
btc updown 5m 1773096000	6	$338	335	330	+5	open	—	03-09 22:43
btc updown 15m 1776873600	10	$333	243	237	+6	open	—	04-22 16:04
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt5 and 39pt9 on april 17 2026	16	$331	308	302	+6	open	—	04-17 16:21
btc updown 15m 1773086400	8	$324	262	258	+3	open	—	03-09 20:15
btc updown 5m 1773095700	4	$315	178	178	+1	open	—	03-09 22:38
btc updown 5m 1773007800	6	$308	272	271	+1	open	—	03-08 22:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 19:26:48	btc updown 5m 1781033100	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$5	0x287bdd…
06-09 19:25:30	btc updown 5m 1781033100	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xec5712…
06-09 19:25:21	btc updown 5m 1781033100	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4b7c6c…
06-09 19:25:15	btc updown 5m 1781033100	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1d1fba…
06-09 18:00:51	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb1bd72…
06-09 17:32:39	btc updown 5m 1781026200	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x999b45…
06-09 17:32:18	btc updown 5m 1781026200	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x05fac1…
06-09 17:31:57	btc updown 5m 1781026200	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x887465…
06-09 16:51:00	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x6bd6ad…
06-09 16:50:39	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc186d9…
06-09 16:50:25	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Up	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0xbe97f5…
06-09 16:47:24	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x89c18c…
06-09 16:45:40	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1ae46a…
06-09 16:38:21	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xe0a85a…
06-09 16:37:57	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa8ece4…
06-09 16:37:30	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb2c0d8…
06-09 16:37:30	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb092c5…
06-09 16:37:16	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xfcdcb2…
06-09 16:36:13	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbf9071…
06-09 16:35:45	btc updown 5m 1781022900	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x99c0d9…
06-09 16:34:36	btc updown 5m 1781022900	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x60d7bd…
06-09 12:58:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x131f2a…
06-09 12:57:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x217fbe…
06-09 08:28:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	65	30¢	$19	0x44b58a…
06-08 13:36:15	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0xa79515…
06-08 13:23:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x729c4c…
06-08 10:59:24	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0x20363a…
06-08 04:43:31	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x933c78…
06-08 04:37:46	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3b4b61…
06-07 22:05:46	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	109	8¢	$9	0x980edc…
06-07 20:59:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x2c8f2b…
06-07 20:58:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x4675b4…
06-07 20:57:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xaaa627…
06-07 20:52:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x400954…
06-07 20:51:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x5bd41c…
06-07 20:40:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x9f5d60…
06-07 20:32:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4e0af7…
06-07 20:21:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	38	43¢	$17	0x78edd3…
06-07 20:16:15	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	109	9¢	$9	0xb23eec…
06-07 20:10:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x992aee…
06-07 20:06:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xf954fb…
06-07 19:45:34	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x401ee2…
06-07 17:54:27	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x2d2b47…
06-07 17:45:27	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x0b1b98…
06-07 17:45:06	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x3240d9…
06-06 20:34:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x263781…
06-05 15:26:16	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xcbfc19…
06-05 10:19:57	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x403aaf…
06-05 10:19:54	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xa7cb4c…
06-05 10:19:30	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xd6e0ab…
06-01 18:02:35	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x9c16d7…
06-01 17:57:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0xa07baf…
06-01 13:57:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb6637e…
05-31 21:55:16	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xcf887d…
05-31 16:02:42	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x03ef46…
05-30 21:40:26	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4a9045…
05-30 21:15:40	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb90a31…
05-30 20:33:05	Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets	Miami Marlins	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xdb5896…
05-30 15:06:18	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb2f3b8…
05-30 15:06:09	Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x78d7e0…
05-30 15:06:06	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb43459…
05-30 10:19:57	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3d19aa…
05-29 17:35:00	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x11b2cc…
05-29 17:17:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbe0645…
05-29 17:17:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x030d00…
05-29 17:01:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xaf7ee6…
05-29 08:52:01	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf2fe9a…
05-27 23:06:18	Bitcoin above 75,000 on May 27, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc4d473…
05-27 23:03:09	Bitcoin above 75,000 on May 27, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x51c701…
05-27 23:02:34	Bitcoin above 75,000 on May 27, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0cc407…
05-27 23:02:17	Bitcoin above 75,000 on May 27, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x600d43…
05-27 23:01:23	Bitcoin above 75,400 on May 27, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x61227a…
05-27 23:01:12	Bitcoin above 75,000 on May 27, 8PM ET?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xdbaff0…
05-27 21:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0x2385fe…
05-27 21:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x4df6f7…
05-27 12:50:27	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x765fc9…
05-27 12:50:17	Will Trump say "ICE" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x273f68…
05-27 12:48:32	Will Trump say "ICE" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x5c8297…
05-27 12:45:28	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0xd9ae39…
05-27 12:45:17	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x75bc7a…
05-27 12:39:52	Will Trump say "World Cup" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$1	0xdc52ab…
05-27 12:36:18	Will Trump say "ICE" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x0a5241…
05-27 12:34:56	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3327f0…
05-27 12:34:33	Will Trump say "World Cup" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x82cc78…
05-27 12:34:09	Will Trump say "Ebola" or "COVID" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1b789d…
05-27 12:33:18	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0xb52302…
05-27 12:32:34	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x7b9e8f…
05-27 07:12:58	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaf1383…
05-26 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xa31140…
05-26 20:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x0df1c4…
05-26 19:38:26	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0xc59e42…
05-26 19:36:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x0e6190…
05-26 19:36:11	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xcbbb63…
05-26 19:25:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xff0ade…
05-26 18:40:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xad597b…
05-26 18:39:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x1b5e8d…
05-26 18:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x965dc3…
05-26 18:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x4128ed…
05-26 18:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd78d45…
05-26 17:37:01	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa79eaa…