Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
97.2%
Resolved
18
Trades
1,295
lifetime
Volume
$7.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$28
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-27 10:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Crypto
72%
Other
22% 86% +$3
Politics
6% 82% +$1
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -8 $-7 92¢ $-8 $-1 06-07 11:34
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-07 11:33
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 06-07 11:56
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-28 19:03
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 11:55
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 $-1 06-07 12:23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 +$0 06-06 10:46
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 11:55
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? No -1 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 11:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 11:31
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 11:31
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 11:55
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 11:55
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 +$0 06-07 11:35
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -3 $-1 24¢ $-1 $-0 06-27 10:27
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -4 $-1 12¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 11:53
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -2 $-1 22¢ $-0 +$0 06-07 12:19