Nocturnal-Period — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.1%

Resolved

Trades

595

lifetime

Volume

$8.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-04 00:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Other

100% 27% -$2,592

Crypto

0% 0% -$25

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	39	$769	11,269	5,654	+5,616	No	-$741	05-17 06:50
will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	21	$631	43,438	11,106	+32,332	No	-$608	04-16 15:36
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	20	$556	3,741	3,741	+0	No	-$525	05-16 16:00
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	28	$410	1,374	0	+1,374	Yes	+$964	04-08 02:12
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	24	$314	1,025	325	+700	Yes	-$177	02-15 17:52
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	34	$302	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$297	05-09 07:37
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	1	$285	300	0	+300	Yes	+$15	03-29 15:22
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	9	$266	904	9	+895	Yes	+$643	05-03 07:20
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	8	$250	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$250	05-06 13:02
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	5	$248	900	900	+0	No	-$58	04-06 11:03
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	5	$239	139	139	+0	Yes	+$9	06-01 11:02
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	4	$237	165	165	+0	Yes	-$10	05-02 12:30
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	3	$210	250	0	+250	Yes	+$40	04-04 13:35
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	10	$209	1,457	0	+1,457	No	-$209	05-20 19:19
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	1	$200	279	0	+279	No	-$200	05-31 08:49
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	20	$195	2,050	0	+2,050	No	-$195	04-26 04:34
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	2	$180	234	0	+234	Yes	+$54	05-17 06:51
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	8	$178	506	506	+0	No	+$77	09-06 01:12
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	2	$170	105	105	+0	Yes	+$40	08-10 06:35
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	4	$166	611	0	+611	No	-$166	06-19 17:38
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	15	$150	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$150	05-06 14:30
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?	16	$147	980	0	+980	No	-$147	05-06 14:20
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	21	$145	1,387	1,387	+0	No	-$61	04-06 10:58
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	28	$127	1,590	0	+1,590	No	-$127	08-08 11:10
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?	20	$117	751	751	+0	No	-$107	05-16 16:01
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	9	$106	27,482	17,245	+10,237	No	-$71	02-24 12:50
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	3	$105	88	88	+0	Yes	+$13	03-13 05:02
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$100	161	161	+0	Yes	+$0	09-06 07:19
Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	2	$94	155	155	+0	No	-$86	06-07 19:35
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$90	1,288	0	+1,288	No	-$90	09-18 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 00:23:46	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	86	21¢	$18	0xfce7dd…
10-03 08:26:24	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	227	9¢	$20	0x7065bc…
10-02 18:34:48	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x368456…
10-02 18:32:56	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	215	13¢	$28	0xe5ef1e…
09-18 22:35:52	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0xeca284…
09-18 05:32:40	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1,288	7¢	$90	0x70d5be…
09-06 08:05:52	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	207	10¢	$20	0x69cbd2…
09-06 07:19:09	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	161	31¢	$50	0xbdf432…
09-06 01:18:24	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x3a6101…
09-06 01:12:40	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	506	25¢	$127	0x480df6…
09-01 13:05:24	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb5e3ae…
09-01 03:52:49	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa5edd4…
09-01 03:52:40	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x6c6822…
08-30 08:16:09	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd3310d…
08-30 08:15:52	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf931fd…
08-30 08:15:51	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe0ee75…
08-30 08:15:48	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	480	10¢	$48	0xa4a8bc…
08-15 17:59:13	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x03ff69…
08-15 10:30:18	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x81431a…
08-14 22:28:36	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x275117…
08-10 06:35:39	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x087077…
08-09 17:45:43	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x183681…
08-09 17:30:28	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	105	62¢	$65	0x709f8d…
08-08 11:10:10	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb7478d…
08-08 07:21:00	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	256	8¢	$20	0x33ccd4…
08-08 06:25:57	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xbc2725…
08-08 06:15:58	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xdbbfcc…
08-08 06:15:58	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x33b3d4…
08-08 06:15:57	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x1144de…
08-08 06:10:58	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x82d467…
08-08 06:10:58	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x441b65…
08-08 06:10:57	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x6c46c2…
08-08 06:10:57	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x51df6b…
08-08 05:53:33	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x384f92…
08-08 05:20:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb93ee2…
08-08 05:20:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb82dcf…
08-08 05:20:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xaa6fd1…
08-08 05:20:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9890c4…
08-08 05:20:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x984bc8…
08-08 05:20:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x55536d…
08-08 01:40:58	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	320	8¢	$26	0x2a98b1…
08-07 22:59:33	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6ef82b…
08-07 22:25:58	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x92f808…
08-07 22:13:58	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x54cd22…
08-07 10:26:01	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	190	8¢	$15	0x2f4c1e…
08-04 19:25:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xcbe1f5…
08-04 19:25:36	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x8d556c…
08-04 19:24:38	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x4e0f92…
08-04 12:08:12	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x9f140b…
08-04 10:40:09	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x6366ee…
08-04 10:39:08	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x04908b…
07-25 19:11:18	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	Yes	BUY	62	18¢	$11	0xe86472…
06-19 17:38:37	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe7f055…
06-19 17:38:02	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd82117…
06-19 17:31:50	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	589	27¢	$161	0x66621b…
06-19 15:16:38	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x234daa…
06-19 07:14:52	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x462be7…
06-19 07:06:19	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x795cb0…
06-19 07:06:01	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xcdfe8b…
06-18 10:44:59	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	SELL	407	1¢	$3	0x5f97ff…
06-18 10:33:59	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xe45d97…
06-18 10:33:56	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xddf130…
06-18 10:20:46	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	Yes	BUY	247	1¢	$2	0xf59d6e…
06-18 01:22:53	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?	No	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x289996…
06-07 19:36:52	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x5e6e6a…
06-07 19:35:03	Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	SELL	155	2¢	$4	0x25e8f1…
06-07 16:12:34	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	151	2¢	$3	0x483423…
06-07 16:03:46	Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	155	58¢	$90	0xb93baf…
06-06 07:15:52	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	SELL	161	0¢	$1	0x8931b6…
06-05 19:15:28	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x383dca…
06-05 19:05:51	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x7e0c5e…
06-05 18:53:37	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x77ae3b…
06-02 14:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xbaecbd…
06-01 11:54:37	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x37a981…
06-01 11:54:25	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf93681…
06-01 11:54:04	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2a7001…
06-01 11:53:01	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xe4f05f…
06-01 11:09:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	85	8¢	$7	0xc850ad…
06-01 11:02:14	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xfe8ef5…
06-01 01:09:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	85	9¢	$8	0x79efdc…
05-31 08:57:58	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0xcb3df4…
05-31 08:49:24	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	279	72¢	$200	0x9d4485…
05-28 04:08:35	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	840	1¢	$8	0xcb09fc…
05-28 04:08:09	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	457	1¢	$5	0xb5cbd6…
05-28 01:57:20	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xb59493…
05-28 01:33:55	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	861	1¢	$9	0x634537…
05-27 22:34:40	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x344b28…
05-27 20:07:12	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x5df355…
05-27 20:05:30	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x345de9…
05-27 12:02:06	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x670c61…
05-27 11:11:40	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x823052…
05-27 11:09:18	Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xdf73ac…
05-27 10:01:43	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x135a51…
05-27 09:54:57	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xd6e554…
05-23 08:08:32	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	SELL	137	1¢	$1	0x255754…
05-22 17:59:56	Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	137	22¢	$30	0x451710…
05-20 19:19:10	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	169	12¢	$20	0x2b98b9…
05-20 18:49:04	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x014353…
05-20 18:48:03	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7cdb8e…
05-20 18:46:06	Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1be206…