Realized P&L
+$61
Unrealized P&L
-$282
Hit rate
88.8%
Resolved
2
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$1.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$969
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 15:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
41%
Politics
24% 50% +$61
Crypto
22%
Sports
13%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11? No -411 $-260 100¢ $-411 $-150 05-10 13:46
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -1,000 $-153 16¢ $-160 $-8 05-06 07:55
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes +500 $105 13¢ $65 $-40 05-06 07:56
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? Yes +800 $92 $60 $-32 05-11 13:27
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? Yes +2,059 $76 $59 $-17 05-11 13:36
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? Yes +463 $59 12¢ $53 $-6 05-07 09:49
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-78 $-43 +$35 05-11 15:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +668 $93 $22 $-71 05-10 12:41
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes -1,000 $-20 $-20 $-1 05-11 04:23
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31? Yes -253 $-18 $-19 $-1 05-11 09:52
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes +234 $19 $18 $-0 05-06 00:52
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes -204 $-36 $-15 +$21 05-11 04:22
Will Donald Trump announce Harmeet Dhillon as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? Yes -119 $-10 $-11 $-1 05-10 08:44
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31? Yes +62 $11 12¢ $7 $-4 05-09 12:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? Yes -247 $-25 $-3 +$22 05-10 14:31
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes +131 $19 $1 $-18 05-11 04:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? Yes +301 $11 $1 $-10 05-10 00:49