Realized P&L
+$27.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$314
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
1,312
Trades
27,832
lifetime
Volume
$5.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$213
Open exposure
$28.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-26 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 242 days
Categories
Politics
65%
66%
+$48,974
Other
33%
67%
-$22,350
Sports
2%
52%
+$705
Tech
1%
66%
+$1,204
Crypto
0%
55%
-$639
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk
• peak 261 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 1,309 | $420.8K | 444,717 | 462,565 | -17,847 | Yes | -$5,699 | 02-03 00:28 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 909 | $316.7K | 622,596 | 632,079 | -9,483 | No | -$2,792 | 05-31 15:00 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 617 | $257.4K | 656,507 | 624,574 | +31,933 | Yes | +$24,432 | 06-17 23:51 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 312 | $154.2K | 220,353 | 220,353 | +0 | open | — | 10-09 16:50 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | 312 | $111.9K | 271,736 | 272,506 | -771 | No | -$1,575 | 05-26 22:31 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 651 | $95.3K | 226,487 | 222,249 | +4,238 | No | -$110 | 06-30 17:42 |
| us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045 | 386 | $93.2K | 129,356 | 125,546 | +3,810 | Yes | +$6,433 | 08-12 00:55 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 116 | $88.0K | 94,819 | 89,312 | +5,507 | Yes | -$2,664 | 02-28 01:56 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 172 | $80.5K | 113,046 | 111,546 | +1,500 | No | -$86 | 05-04 01:00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 307 | $76.7K | 190,323 | 180,323 | +10,000 | No | -$547 | 07-27 21:55 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 425 | $76.6K | 76,856 | 62,869 | +13,987 | No | -$480 | 02-13 23:21 |
| will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610 | 82 | $71.8K | 80,300 | 25,300 | +55,000 | Yes | +$799 | 07-09 00:16 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | 199 | $65.0K | 75,048 | 75,048 | +0 | open | — | 09-11 13:21 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320 | 388 | $64.6K | 583,403 | 583,403 | +0 | No | -$15,265 | 08-18 14:12 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 177 | $59.5K | 82,442 | 82,442 | +0 | Yes | +$646 | 06-12 18:18 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 140 | $53.1K | 89,896 | 90,804 | -907 | Yes | -$1,778 | 05-25 23:37 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243 | 116 | $52.7K | 39,192 | 27,512 | +11,680 | Yes | +$213 | 08-02 02:08 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 161 | $50.2K | 32,285 | 31,580 | +705 | Yes | +$1,374 | 06-10 15:21 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454 | 313 | $48.5K | 52,847 | 44,567 | +8,280 | Yes | +$300 | 07-27 21:20 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | 242 | $48.2K | 50,937 | 47,202 | +3,735 | open | — | 10-23 06:01 |
| strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15 | 119 | $46.7K | 83,596 | 83,596 | +0 | No | +$241 | 07-11 22:25 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 86 | $44.1K | 104,345 | 102,348 | +1,997 | No | -$661 | 05-24 14:53 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29 | 30 | $38.1K | 19,113 | 19,113 | +0 | Yes | +$29 | 08-01 19:15 |
| israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149 | 222 | $38.0K | 48,916 | 43,377 | +5,538 | Yes | -$892 | 08-02 22:43 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | 286 | $36.3K | 35,885 | 35,131 | +755 | Yes | -$568 | 09-14 20:22 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 164 | $35.8K | 41,820 | 41,764 | +56 | No | +$160 | 01-31 23:30 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 208 | $35.0K | 31,084 | 31,084 | +0 | No | -$188 | 06-19 12:23 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 109 | $34.9K | 32,200 | 23,849 | +8,351 | Yes | +$176 | 04-08 22:22 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 81 | $34.6K | 36,606 | 36,606 | -0 | Yes | +$8,030 | 06-21 19:20 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 320 | $32.6K | 70,058 | 71,293 | -1,235 | No | -$232 | 01-15 00:59 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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