Realized P&L
+$27.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$314
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
1,312
Trades
27,832
lifetime
Volume
$5.93M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$213
Open exposure
$28.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 10-26 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 242 days
Categories
Politics
65% 66% +$48,974
Other
33% 67% -$22,350
Sports
2% 52% +$705
Tech
1% 66% +$1,204
Crypto
0% 55% -$639
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 261 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,899 $6,347 92¢ $6.3K -$34 10-26 18:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,000 $3,128 94¢ $3.7K +$612 10-24 02:12
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +4,000 $3,580 92¢ $3.7K +$120 10-22 02:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +5,000 $2,600 64¢ $3.2K +$625 09-14 21:07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2,000 $1,860 92¢ $1.8K -$30 10-01 18:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,010 $1,437 78¢ $1.6K +$141 10-25 13:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $1,250 67¢ $1.3K +$90 10-11 14:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,000 $724 54¢ $1.1K +$365 08-18 06:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,039 $963 96¢ $997 +$34 09-16 14:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,000 -$5 96¢ $960 +$965 10-07 23:16
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +700 $637 96¢ $675 +$37 10-19 18:53
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +695 $606 96¢ $664 +$57 09-15 16:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +500 $352 100¢ $500 +$148 10-24 03:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +1,844 $364 15¢ $277 -$88 10-23 20:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +693 $270 38¢ $267 -$3 09-29 13:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +4,000 $929 6¢ $260 -$669 10-17 10:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +4,000 $360 6¢ $240 -$120 10-09 15:48
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -241 -$191 96¢ $-233 -$42 05-05 10:17
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +1,249 $150 15¢ $187 +$37 10-16 16:22
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +475 $185 38¢ $183 -$2 09-29 12:04
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +200 $173 67¢ $134 -$39 09-14 19:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +1,300 $133 8¢ $110 -$22 10-16 04:50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,735 $593 4¢ $109 -$484 10-23 06:01
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +5,397 $1,255 2¢ $108 -$1,147 10-23 16:37
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +4,086 $239 1¢ $59 -$180 10-21 20:02
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +61 $58 96¢ $59 +$1 08-10 10:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +328 -$108 14¢ $46 +$154 10-21 02:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? Yes +2,392 $116 1¢ $32 -$84 10-22 03:57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,558 $74 1¢ $19 -$55 10-10 17:39
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +500 $90 4¢ $18 -$72 10-23 17:34