(anonymous) 0x8de077…bd7f22
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$13.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$23.6K
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
250
Trades
917
lifetime
Volume
$182.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$64.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-26 20:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
49% 50% +$6,035
Politics
46% 61% +$11,265
Tech
5% 47% -$3,601
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10,013 $5,372 98¢ $9.8K +$4,476 10-26 05:16
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +20,791 $3,176 30¢ $6.1K +$2,957 10-03 17:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,495 $2,509 92¢ $4.2K +$1,649 10-19 17:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +4,097 $803 96¢ $3.9K +$3,130 10-10 20:40
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,941 $4,000 76¢ $3.8K -$220 09-14 14:11
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +12,500 $2,000 29¢ $3.6K +$1,563 10-01 09:46
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +3,812 $1,906 83¢ $3.2K +$1,258 09-28 14:58
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +3,333 $2,000 90¢ $3.0K +$983 09-21 12:45
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +2,632 $2,000 100¢ $2.6K +$632 10-21 21:17
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? No +2,663 $1,331 96¢ $2.6K +$1,237 09-21 01:53
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +51,564 $1,444 4¢ $2.3K +$825 09-13 12:43
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +2,088 $1,482 92¢ $1.9K +$438 09-11 22:41
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +1,594 $180 96¢ $1.5K +$1,351 10-12 01:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,637 $813 85¢ $1.4K +$579 09-21 09:58
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +1,272 $896 100¢ $1.3K +$372 09-21 11:06
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +2,080 $1,136 60¢ $1.2K +$113 10-25 09:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,280 $653 84¢ $1.1K +$416 09-04 21:25
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,307 $966 77¢ $1.0K +$41 10-25 18:10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +1,522 -$460 63¢ $964 +$1,424 10-17 18:04
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +1,201 $857 77¢ $925 +$67 10-22 16:15
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +1,000 $32 91¢ $914 +$882 08-23 13:54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +4,885 $2,674 18¢ $896 -$1,778 09-21 17:04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? No +902 $153 97¢ $879 +$726 09-30 20:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +979 $695 88¢ $857 +$162 10-21 18:49
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,892 $740 22¢ $856 +$117 10-26 20:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,658 $730 48¢ $804 +$75 10-21 20:33
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +3,483 $1,324 20¢ $714 -$610 10-07 09:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,514 $698 44¢ $660 -$39 10-22 18:04
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +679 $300 97¢ $656 +$356 08-23 13:54
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +661 $223 97¢ $642 +$419 10-13 09:57