(anonymous) 0x8de077…bd7f22
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$28.2K
Hit rate
69.4%
Resolved
251
Trades
959
lifetime
Volume
$211.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$221
Open exposure
$89.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 10-28 19:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Politics
53% 61% +$11,896
Other
43% 50% +$6,035
Tech
4% 47% -$3,601
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +10,013 $5,372 98¢ $9.8K +$4,391 10-26 05:16
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +9,431 $8,136 99¢ $9.4K +$1,244 10-28 09:20
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +20,791 $3,176 30¢ $6.1K +$2,957 10-03 17:00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +5,365 $4,833 98¢ $5.3K +$449 10-28 02:16
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,791 $2,329 98¢ $4.7K +$2,366 10-27 23:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4,495 $2,509 96¢ $4.3K +$1,807 10-19 17:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +4,097 $803 98¢ $4.0K +$3,192 10-10 20:40
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +4,941 $4,000 77¢ $3.8K -$210 09-14 14:11
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,279 $3,292 86¢ $3.7K +$367 10-28 15:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +13,273 $2,554 26¢ $3.5K +$957 10-28 06:55
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +12,500 $2,000 26¢ $3.3K +$1,312 10-01 09:46
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +3,812 $1,906 82¢ $3.1K +$1,239 09-28 14:58
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +3,333 $2,000 90¢ $3.0K +$983 09-21 12:45
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? No +2,663 $1,331 96¢ $2.6K +$1,230 09-21 01:53
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +51,564 $1,444 4¢ $2.1K +$619 09-13 12:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,729 $1,089 74¢ $2.0K +$918 10-27 21:40
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +2,088 $1,482 89¢ $1.9K +$376 09-11 22:41
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? Yes +1,929 $1,331 92¢ $1.8K +$453 10-28 09:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +2,876 $1,175 56¢ $1.6K +$421 10-28 20:02
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No +1,594 $180 96¢ $1.5K +$1,349 10-12 01:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,637 $813 82¢ $1.4K +$538 09-21 09:58
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +2,080 $1,136 64¢ $1.3K +$187 10-25 09:58
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +1,272 $896 100¢ $1.3K +$374 09-21 11:06
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +3,892 $740 32¢ $1.2K +$506 10-26 20:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,457 $1,130 50¢ $1.2K +$98 10-28 05:03
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,307 $966 90¢ $1.2K +$204 10-25 18:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +1,280 $653 84¢ $1.1K +$429 09-04 21:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +4,885 $2,674 22¢ $1.1K -$1,617 09-21 17:04
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +1,201 $857 82¢ $991 +$133 10-22 16:15
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +1,000 $32 93¢ $928 +$896 08-23 13:54