cheng 0xfb666a…5b5e13
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$349
Unrealized P&L
+$527
Hit rate
13.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,204
lifetime
Volume
$326.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$102
Open exposure
$8.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-22 02:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
46% 67% $-355
Other
43% — —
Crypto
10% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$6
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,500 $-1,410 94¢ $-1418 $-8 07-01 17:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -869 $-733 88¢ $-760 $-27 07-07 09:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -737 $-693 90¢ $-659 +$33 07-13 19:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +863 $386 72¢ $626 +$240 07-18 18:19
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +672 $536 88¢ $588 +$52 07-02 10:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $360 92¢ $370 +$10 06-17 20:33
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -510 $-382 66¢ $-339 +$43 06-14 23:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +400 $353 78¢ $310 $-43 07-08 02:43
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -411 $-348 74¢ $-302 +$46 07-03 08:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +400 $186 68¢ $270 +$84 07-06 06:47
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +300 $206 77¢ $231 +$25 07-03 21:58
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-193 97¢ $-194 $-0 06-11 21:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $168 90¢ $179 +$11 06-01 11:10
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +200 $164 88¢ $177 +$13 06-04 18:02
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +200 $160 84¢ $167 +$7 07-04 11:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +180 $155 92¢ $165 +$10 07-01 07:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +200 $160 78¢ $157 $-3 07-07 21:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -200 $-140 70¢ $-139 +$1 07-11 17:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-130 64¢ $-129 +$1 07-03 08:57
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? No +150 $128 85¢ $128 +$0 07-02 09:42
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +149 $134 84¢ $125 $-9 07-03 06:42
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $130 62¢ $124 $-6 07-16 04:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +100 $88 94¢ $94 +$6 05-29 17:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $80 46¢ $93 +$13 07-06 20:21
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -100 $-91 91¢ $-91 +$0 06-04 04:48
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +100 $76 78¢ $78 +$2 07-05 19:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +80 $39 68¢ $55 +$16 07-06 06:31
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +60 $54 88¢ $53 $-1 07-03 12:15
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No +60 $39 79¢ $47 +$8 07-05 13:18
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$3 06-21 15:35