Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$349

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,510

lifetime

Volume

$358.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-11 03:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% 67% $-355

Other

42% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$6

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by April 30?	14	$13.6K	9,648	5,609	+4,040	open	—	04-23 16:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$10.7K	5,845	5,845	+0	open	—	04-01 08:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	21	$9.5K	5,563	5,700	-137	open	—	08-02 02:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	68	$6.9K	4,782	4,782	+0	open	—	04-19 16:32
Iran leadership change by March 13?	8	$6.6K	3,617	3,617	+0	open	—	03-10 14:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	16	$6.2K	3,327	3,327	+0	open	—	04-07 23:48
iran leadership change by march 31	8	$6.2K	3,373	3,373	+0	open	—	03-30 13:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	7	$5.5K	2,900	3,600	-700	No	$-371	05-08 15:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	29	$5.4K	3,443	3,443	+0	open	—	04-23 02:45
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	33	$4.5K	2,641	2,641	+0	open	—	04-01 05:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$3.8K	2,082	2,082	+0	open	—	03-17 09:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	15	$3.6K	2,928	1,307	+1,621	open	—	04-24 21:33
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	31	$3.6K	3,203	3,203	+0	open	—	03-03 06:15
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	15	$3.4K	2,781	2,781	+0	open	—	02-28 06:58
Iran leadership change by May 31?	11	$2.7K	1,656	1,446	+211	open	—	05-16 05:54
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	28	$2.6K	1,609	1,609	+0	open	—	03-16 05:25
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	17	$2.6K	1,600	1,500	+100	open	—	05-10 17:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	13	$2.5K	1,365	1,365	+0	open	—	08-06 09:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$2.5K	1,000	1,737	-737	open	—	07-13 19:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	9	$2.2K	1,791	1,791	+0	open	—	04-07 23:46
btc updown 15m 1770217200	9	$2.2K	1,151	1,150	+2	open	—	02-04 15:12
btc updown 15m 1770225300	2	$2.2K	1,244	1,000	+244	open	—	02-04 17:26
lol lgd lng 2026 02 01	3	$2.1K	1,144	1,144	+0	open	—	02-01 11:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	28	$2.1K	1,668	1,500	+168	open	—	06-19 19:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	10	$2.0K	1,527	1,527	+0	open	—	03-08 22:02
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	10	$2.0K	1,600	600	+1,000	open	—	05-10 18:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	19	$1.9K	1,105	1,104	+0	open	—	04-08 23:58
israel closes its airspace by august 15	15	$1.8K	1,050	850	+200	open	—	08-07 19:16
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	11	$1.7K	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	03-21 11:31
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	5	$1.7K	2,127	0	+2,127	open	—	02-15 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 06:56:13	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0xf7e593…
08-11 03:12:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xd7b638…
08-11 03:09:10	us x china tariff agreement by august 31 20260730193605176	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x133e81…
08-11 01:28:18	iran coup attempt by december 31	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x5449f3…
08-10 15:52:57	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	154	85¢	$131	0x93d7ff…
08-10 15:49:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xb438b7…
08-10 15:03:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x673dd4…
08-10 14:35:27	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x1b9b21…
08-10 14:01:22	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xf45a12…
08-10 13:59:19	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb12b86…
08-10 13:40:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xf48fe1…
08-10 13:07:58	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x091146…
08-10 13:07:31	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	195	63¢	$123	0x0f4fe9…
08-10 12:36:15	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	54	65¢	$35	0x4e3131…
08-10 02:42:40	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x67950c…
08-10 02:27:06	us x china tariff agreement by august 31 20260730193605176	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4988cb…
08-10 01:47:10	us x china tariff agreement by august 31 20260730193605176	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x578f8a…
08-10 01:07:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x8d5b97…
08-10 00:50:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	54	88¢	$48	0xb960f8…
08-10 00:27:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	58	88¢	$51	0x220c52…
08-09 20:43:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x68f372…
08-09 20:35:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x798397…
08-09 20:34:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x502d39…
08-09 11:47:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xff8524…
08-09 11:33:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x9af6a9…
08-09 04:23:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0x566f53…
08-09 04:19:46	Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x350582…
08-09 02:50:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xdfa233…
08-09 01:15:42	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xac8072…
08-08 22:40:24	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0x8fced7…
08-08 19:03:45	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x4ac9fe…
08-08 17:15:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x3612d2…
08-08 16:41:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x65c6dc…
08-08 15:49:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x1c61eb…
08-08 15:35:09	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x470d5b…
08-08 14:01:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb26142…
08-08 12:50:46	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xcc1299…
08-08 12:05:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0xb7db71…
08-08 10:52:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xf522f2…
08-08 06:31:15	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741057	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xbba602…
08-08 03:50:46	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xbdb2b2…
08-08 02:42:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	147	88¢	$130	0xcc927f…
08-08 02:37:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x3194ef…
08-08 02:20:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x2d19b6…
08-08 00:35:21	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	87	63¢	$55	0x78ddc5…
08-07 23:06:24	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x20c983…
08-07 20:43:49	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xcb2148…
08-07 19:38:40	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x092445…
08-07 19:16:39	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x05d7aa…
08-07 17:41:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	92	88¢	$81	0xa03bf1…
08-07 17:41:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0xa7954a…
08-07 17:35:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	82	88¢	$72	0xed4dee…
08-07 17:34:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	183	85¢	$156	0x8bb221…
08-07 17:33:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0xf95bf4…
08-07 17:22:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	180	45¢	$81	0xd29335…
08-07 16:21:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	150	50¢	$75	0x709b0b…
08-07 14:47:15	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x688127…
08-07 14:05:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	250	90¢	$225	0xf1aa25…
08-07 13:25:07	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xcf3927…
08-07 12:48:40	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0xef97bc…
08-07 11:19:57	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x26a69c…
08-07 11:19:54	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x6234b5…
08-07 10:47:40	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x611056…
08-07 10:27:03	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x834b30…
08-07 07:27:13	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	No	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x7d313f…
08-07 07:27:10	Jonathan Majors as Kang?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xa3507d…
08-07 01:27:58	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	74¢	$111	0x4b5c5e…
08-06 23:04:56	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0xce33d6…
08-06 19:19:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	199	80¢	$159	0x83ac02…
08-06 19:17:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x8d614e…
08-06 18:22:27	will ethereum dip to 1800 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	99	90¢	$89	0xfd3c88…
08-06 18:13:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xa3a420…
08-06 17:18:53	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x9abcaf…
08-06 17:08:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	199	52¢	$103	0x40996a…
08-06 17:07:48	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xc610bf…
08-06 17:07:23	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x4081a1…
08-06 16:10:02	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x7deb4f…
08-06 15:50:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x459718…
08-06 15:08:21	will ethereum dip to 1800 august 3 9 2026	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0d497e…
08-06 13:16:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xab7735…
08-06 12:11:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x0e3d6c…
08-06 12:06:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x7419c1…
08-06 11:57:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xe52f75…
08-06 09:58:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	565	96¢	$542	0x48241a…
08-06 09:01:05	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xa1ee5d…
08-06 08:59:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xf4e6e7…
08-06 00:30:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0x92b7f3…
08-05 23:48:36	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in august 2026	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x7e84b1…
08-05 20:46:26	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x60c786…
08-05 20:24:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0xe70a38…
08-05 20:07:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x91d902…
08-05 20:06:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xc8383f…
08-05 18:06:20	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xb54a8b…
08-05 18:04:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	29	85¢	$24	0x4e5b02…
08-05 17:55:29	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x19697f…
08-05 17:48:50	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x418a84…
08-05 17:09:56	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	260	56¢	$147	0x676ed0…
08-05 16:30:23	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xfbf675…
08-05 16:30:23	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x2323e0…
08-05 15:59:54	israel closes its airspace by august 15	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x1cd0e0…