cheng 0xfb666a…5b5e13
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$349
Unrealized P&L
+$352
Hit rate
13.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,964
lifetime
Volume
$305.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$5.49K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-01 05:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
47% 67% $-355
Other
41% — —
Crypto
10% — —
Sports
1% 100% +$6
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,000 $900 90¢ $905 +$5 06-17 11:04
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -669 $-553 86¢ $-572 $-19 06-18 22:07
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -510 $-382 84¢ $-431 $-48 06-14 23:59
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -476 $-402 84¢ $-397 +$5 06-13 14:56
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +472 $368 84¢ $394 +$26 06-02 06:59
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $360 92¢ $366 +$6 06-17 20:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +600 $326 58¢ $351 +$25 06-27 13:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $240 84¢ $254 +$14 06-02 02:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -200 $-188 99¢ $-199 $-11 06-20 14:22
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-193 96¢ $-192 +$1 06-11 21:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +200 $168 89¢ $178 +$10 06-01 11:10
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +200 $164 86¢ $171 +$7 06-04 18:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +180 $155 86¢ $154 $-1 07-01 07:14
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +200 $132 70¢ $139 +$7 06-18 16:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -137 $-372 86¢ $-119 +$254 06-19 20:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +100 $88 94¢ $94 +$6 05-29 17:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +100 $83 90¢ $90 +$8 06-04 17:55
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -100 $-91 90¢ $-90 +$2 06-04 04:48
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$1 06-28 16:02
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +50 $19 99¢ $49 +$30 06-30 10:12
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +50 $44 94¢ $47 +$3 06-21 15:35
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No +50 $44 88¢ $44 +$0 06-29 23:11
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +50 $39 79¢ $40 +$0 06-05 08:44
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -40 $-38 96¢ $-38 $-0 06-09 07:50
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +50 $34 74¢ $37 +$4 06-05 03:33
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +35 $29 98¢ $35 +$6 06-29 18:26
Natural Disaster in 2026? No -45 $-35 76¢ $-34 +$1 06-10 19:23
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +19 $11 74¢ $14 +$3 06-24 14:54
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -11 $-20 100¢ $-11 +$9 06-08 08:19
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 06-24 21:13