cheng 0xfb666a…5b5e13
whale cold 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.51K
Unrealized P&L
+$740
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
1,159
Trades
4,694
lifetime
Volume
$454.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$11.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 11-02 09:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Politics
49% 81% -$2,423
Other
41% 77% -$1,751
Crypto
8% 74% +$832
Tech
1% 64% -$251
Sports
1% 74% -$129
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$213
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -900 -$930 97¢ $-873 +$57 07-01 17:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $826 85¢ $850 +$24 11-01 23:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +741 $701 97¢ $719 +$18 10-31 09:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -737 -$753 96¢ $-704 +$49 07-13 19:19
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,020 $821 66¢ $678 -$142 11-01 22:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? No +855 $646 72¢ $611 -$34 11-01 17:55
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +700 $611 84¢ $585 -$26 11-01 15:47
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? No +640 $557 84¢ $541 -$16 11-02 05:27
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No +701 $483 72¢ $508 +$25 10-30 13:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -566 -$810 84¢ $-473 +$338 10-29 17:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +500 $448 93¢ $465 +$17 11-02 01:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -500 -$421 86¢ $-432 -$11 08-03 08:28
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +545 $424 75¢ $408 -$16 11-02 04:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +400 $310 86¢ $346 +$36 10-30 01:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +400 $262 72¢ $286 +$24 10-31 10:38
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +300 $188 82¢ $246 +$58 10-30 17:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? Yes +250 $222 94¢ $234 +$11 11-01 02:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +200 $182 99¢ $198 +$16 10-30 08:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? Yes +200 $178 96¢ $191 +$13 10-31 17:07
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +200 $174 94¢ $187 +$13 10-10 05:03
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +200 $184 92¢ $185 +$1 11-02 05:26
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +200 $180 90¢ $181 +$1 11-01 20:27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +500 $244 36¢ $180 -$64 11-01 04:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $120 88¢ $177 +$57 09-12 09:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +200 $142 88¢ $175 +$33 10-03 19:42
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +183 $84 94¢ $173 +$89 10-29 21:29
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +195 $74 82¢ $159 +$85 08-04 06:14
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $107 80¢ $159 +$52 10-10 15:05
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +182 $133 86¢ $158 +$24 11-02 07:39
iran coup attempt by december 31 2027 No +210 $145 74¢ $154 +$10 10-29 17:47