Realized P&L
+$3.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$946
Hit rate
85.9%
Resolved
181
Trades
1,179
lifetime
Volume
$267.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$227
Open exposure
$33.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-29 19:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Politics
64% 78% +$2,103
Other
24% 76% +$941
Sports
11% 71% +$385
Crypto
1% 100% +$36
Tech
1% 100% +$159
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5,200 $4,286 74¢ $3.9K -$412 09-28 12:20
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +3,969 $3,578 97¢ $3.9K +$276 10-26 20:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +4,000 $3,630 94¢ $3.7K +$110 07-18 12:55
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,000 $1,866 70¢ $2.1K +$219 10-26 10:00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,200 $2,019 94¢ $2.1K +$38 10-12 02:35
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,900 $1,744 94¢ $1.8K +$32 09-26 09:17
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,360 94¢ $1.4K +$58 10-09 06:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,500 $1,088 82¢ $1.2K +$142 10-13 05:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,200 $1,110 97¢ $1.2K +$52 09-18 20:47
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $969 99¢ $994 +$24 10-29 19:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +1,100 $931 86¢ $940 +$10 10-06 19:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +900 $799 94¢ $842 +$43 10-28 20:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,400 $1,170 57¢ $805 -$365 10-28 06:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $755 80¢ $795 +$40 10-24 07:10
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +750 $714 98¢ $733 +$19 09-15 15:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +745 $717 97¢ $725 +$8 07-18 09:25
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +700 $616 95¢ $665 +$49 07-08 13:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +750 $548 86¢ $649 +$101 08-29 14:19
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +600 $522 92¢ $555 +$33 09-13 09:51
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +552 $546 98¢ $544 -$3 10-29 19:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +600 $468 85¢ $511 +$43 09-01 22:32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +500 $482 97¢ $485 +$4 10-03 07:45
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +500 $237 92¢ $457 +$220 10-21 09:19
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +500 $355 86¢ $432 +$77 07-19 14:17
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +600 $444 70¢ $423 -$21 10-10 13:21
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +450 $353 94¢ $421 +$68 10-12 09:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +400 $372 96¢ $382 +$10 10-26 12:02
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +400 $301 92¢ $369 +$68 08-08 05:38
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $352 92¢ $366 +$14 10-12 18:02
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +500 $365 70¢ $352 -$12 10-11 05:06