Sardonic-Archer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$193

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,191

lifetime

Volume

$161.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-19 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 100% +$214

Politics

47% 100% +$3

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-410

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	30	$9.7K	9,300	1,300	+8,000	open	—	02-02 20:58
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	117	$6.2K	3,965	3,830	+135	open	—	01-26 12:34
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	12	$5.7K	4,800	1,000	+3,800	open	—	02-27 10:31
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	8	$5.0K	4,000	1,000	+3,000	open	—	01-04 22:45
will danish peoples party win the second most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	10	$4.9K	2,901	2,000	+901	open	—	03-24 23:39
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	57	$4.6K	3,167	3,300	-133	open	—	03-16 20:07
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	11	$4.5K	4,599	0	+4,599	open	—	02-07 14:45
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	16	$3.6K	2,088	1,800	+288	open	—	01-27 18:14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	17	$3.6K	3,437	1,500	+1,937	open	—	02-28 19:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	31	$3.3K	2,550	2,219	+331	open	—	02-27 20:00
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	24	$3.3K	2,739	1,300	+1,439	open	—	03-08 18:55
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	25	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-12 06:28
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	39	$3.0K	10,489	7,688	+2,801	open	—	01-07 16:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-06 07:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	17	$2.9K	2,784	600	+2,184	open	—	01-29 20:18
will seguro win all of portugals districts	25	$2.8K	2,296	500	+1,796	open	—	02-15 23:18
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	28	$2.7K	2,200	1,700	+500	open	—	01-29 19:14
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	16	$2.6K	1,800	1,000	+800	open	—	01-25 15:15
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	2	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	06-07 07:37
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	13	$2.3K	2,501	0	+2,501	open	—	02-27 18:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$2.1K	2,100	300	+1,800	open	—	05-28 15:14
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	11	$2.0K	1,000	1,200	-200	open	—	01-16 12:51
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	8	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	07-11 08:24
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-07 09:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	3	$1.9K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	06-17 18:46
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-21 19:33
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	32	$1.8K	123	5,198	-5,075	open	—	01-17 09:25
Will the US strike Somalia next?	5	$1.7K	1,727	0	+1,727	open	—	01-13 22:03
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	17	$1.6K	1,800	934	+866	open	—	02-22 10:56
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	2	$1.6K	0	1,611	-1,611	open	—	01-06 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:48:24	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x8b0f38…
07-19 21:12:18	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	88	92¢	$81	0x77e721…
07-19 21:04:55	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	600	92¢	$552	0x129342…
07-19 18:42:01	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xa9207e…
07-19 14:58:31	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x0e87d6…
07-19 12:07:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x3540c5…
07-19 07:51:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xcb49d0…
07-13 20:21:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$283	0x9db717…
07-11 08:24:26	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	903	99¢	$891	0xb02107…
07-11 07:53:28	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0xfbc2e5…
07-11 07:39:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x673580…
07-10 13:25:10	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	400	98¢	$390	0x171633…
07-10 10:06:55	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	600	74¢	$441	0x6271d9…
07-10 08:53:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xd4904c…
07-10 08:53:52	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x089a2b…
07-10 07:41:23	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5e7721…
07-10 06:33:01	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x80cc56…
07-09 20:25:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	636	79¢	$503	0x4daa6d…
07-09 20:25:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x06d52c…
07-09 20:25:04	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	273	79¢	$216	0xaeff56…
07-09 19:44:49	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x34ad26…
07-08 17:55:05	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	SELL	75	85¢	$64	0xded8b0…
07-08 11:31:08	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x212c02…
07-08 11:26:34	will graham platner drop out by july 8	No	BUY	264	85¢	$224	0x4a65bd…
07-08 11:22:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x4b925c…
07-08 11:22:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x90f531…
07-06 08:33:20	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x73f548…
07-06 08:20:55	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x99fc05…
07-06 07:50:04	Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$15	0x9e3bbc…
07-06 07:49:20	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x957f5f…
07-06 07:47:50	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x61f8c8…
07-06 07:47:43	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x72b032…
07-06 07:46:38	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x46a995…
07-04 13:24:22	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0x2d54e4…
07-04 13:10:08	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3105b5…
06-27 05:21:25	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	320	86¢	$275	0xd09d24…
06-26 22:17:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x38ed1f…
06-26 22:15:32	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	71	86¢	$61	0x5a20d7…
06-26 21:52:40	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x9547a0…
06-25 19:07:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0xa03e61…
06-25 11:15:41	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	194	83¢	$161	0x1110ba…
06-24 10:27:07	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa7dbad…
06-24 08:06:43	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xf24a7d…
06-24 08:06:11	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	75	43¢	$32	0x822967…
06-24 03:54:56	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	300	83¢	$249	0x95bf5d…
06-22 09:44:37	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by june 30 20260607234650335	No	BUY	600	91¢	$546	0x5255e0…
06-21 20:16:07	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$955	0x3640ec…
06-21 20:05:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xa70ed7…
06-21 19:33:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0x056c0f…
06-18 12:54:38	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	199	93¢	$185	0xff755d…
06-18 12:48:14	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3a71f5…
06-18 12:44:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x3ea764…
06-18 12:43:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	700	87¢	$609	0x687f8c…
06-18 12:42:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xe39b8c…
06-18 12:41:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0x70f343…
06-17 18:46:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x6a4aea…
06-17 18:43:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0x9daabb…
06-16 17:59:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	275	94¢	$258	0x5be157…
06-16 17:49:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	225	94¢	$212	0x86f92c…
06-15 16:38:31	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	191	46¢	$88	0xeb4a14…
06-15 14:20:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	97¢	$484	0xe4eab0…
06-14 12:08:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$52	0x76d084…
06-14 09:38:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xe32ca5…
06-13 19:21:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	400	67¢	$268	0xdf9891…
06-13 08:47:07	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	232	86¢	$200	0x4c8f69…
06-13 08:46:46	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	68	86¢	$58	0x269e6a…
06-13 07:39:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	61¢	$183	0x520fca…
06-11 18:19:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0x654814…
06-08 08:21:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x902ddd…
06-08 08:21:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x902ddd…
06-08 04:16:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	150	47¢	$70	0x55ffc5…
06-08 02:44:36	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	495	97¢	$482	0xcf93a4…
06-07 19:05:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xf09cf4…
06-07 18:55:15	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$283	0xfdd036…
06-07 18:49:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x7e4fe2…
06-07 18:36:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x90045b…
06-07 18:27:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x4392f9…
06-07 17:42:28	Epstein client list released by June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x239f6b…
06-07 17:39:30	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0xfa686c…
06-07 16:00:10	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0xdb6c86…
06-07 14:56:52	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0x4daddb…
06-07 08:10:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	600	85¢	$510	0xd603b9…
06-07 08:02:42	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xcb8cce…
06-07 07:37:21	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$490	0xd220f8…
06-07 07:28:57	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5ec06f…
06-07 07:23:19	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	347	75¢	$260	0xb7bb4d…
06-07 07:21:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	25¢	$62	0xdff049…
06-06 16:15:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x1b6ffb…
06-05 19:05:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	87¢	$66	0x37f187…
06-05 18:37:24	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xe38661…
06-05 18:26:13	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0xd7b7c8…
06-05 18:18:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x2b7dbe…
06-05 18:04:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0xd244e4…
06-05 18:03:40	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	2,000	98¢	$1,962	0xca14d5…
06-05 18:02:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x38836b…
06-05 18:00:33	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x69aba4…
06-03 16:09:00	Will Union Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x572590…
06-03 16:08:33	Will Denmark Democrats be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0xd843e7…
06-03 16:08:12	Will Union Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x1a86bd…
06-03 16:08:03	Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x223524…